shean 🐒
201 posts

shean 🐒
@monkeybzz
cooking @HyperGambitX | @embrdotfun




We analyzed 125 token launches and spoke with 25+ founders to learn why 85% of tokens launched in 2025 ended the year negative. Only 9.4% of tokens that declined in their first week ever recovered. What drove Week 1 relied on decisions founders often overlooked. The guide covers the decisions that actually mattered, how to model them, and a framework for keeping your token out of the 85%. 👉 Read the Practical Guide to TGE: arrakis.finance/tge-guide

we built a dashboard to shed light on ADL mechanics on HIP3 markets, esp with the silver crash end of jan liquidation on HIP3 is different than regular HL markets. HIP3 has no backstop liquidator vault, so if book liquidity is depleted in the liquidation process, it goes straight to ADL -- now HIP3 traders can calculate rank in the ADL queue for each position - how many people get ADL'd before you - how much notional the other users have (blue line) see what price might trigger an ADL - estimate how much liquidation can the orderbook absorb - evaluate the excess hits the ADL (red line)














