Emma ik Umeh (Tcee )🇳🇬@emmaikumeh
The fact is Atiku or Peter Obi can't win the 2027 Presidential election on their individual own.
First of all, I am not a member of any political party so my opinion is my personal right.
If you look at the leadership composition of the ADC, majority are from the North.
Party membership-wise, the North has more numbers than the South, in ADC.
As for Obidients that are already pairing Peter Obi and Kwankwaso and think it is a winning ticket. It is not a winning ticket. He is only popular in Kano and maybe a bit in Jigawa.
The ticket will excite the South but not the North as the North does not really trust Kwankwaso.
Most of the stakeholders in South-South are supporters of Tinubu. Compare the numbers to the number of leaders in the North that are in ADC.
In Southeast, many of the leaders may be in APC but there is an emotional attachment to Peter Obi.
People don't much have much emotional attachment to Peter Obi in South-South, compared to Southeast.
The South-West is a no-go area. We all already know.
In South-West, I predict that alot of votes will be pumped out in frightening proportion.
North Central have always been non-aligned. They gave the three major candidates in the last Presidential election, I think up to a million votes each.
So this assumption that with Obi/Kwankwaso ticket, the election will be won by the opposition before 12noon is a big joke.
This over-reliance on Kwankwaso is a big joke. What are you offering the North? The North loves power. Even the Kwankwaso is not that popular even in North West and in majority of the States in the North.
And as for the Atiku supporters; one thing is true, Atiku is currently not that popular in the South.
Atiku needs somebody to help him out in the South.
Like I said earlier, the strength of ADC is their unity. If they are not united, the coalition is finished. I don't see that unity in ADC yet because the three Presidential aspirants are over-ambitious.
So anyhow they want to arrange the ticket, without unity to get the campaign works done, before 12noon on election day, the opposition will lose the election.
In Southeast, there are patterns ongoing in which many people are entrenching themselves in APC because of 2031 and 2039.
It is part of why ADC is battling for acceptance in the South. Most of the places that ADC events have been attacked so far are in the South, e.g Cross River, Rivers and Edo.
I advise the ADC to get its acts together. It's strength is its unity and not in the over-ambitiousness for power by any of them regardless of any ticket arrangement.
