
Mark Peter Davis
11.4K posts

Mark Peter Davis
@mpd
Managing Partner @Interplay: Venture Capital + Accelerator + Studio + Multi-Family Office






For the first time on record, more US venture capital money came back to investors through private share sales than through IPOs. In Q1 2026, those private sales ran at an annualized $112.2 billion. IPOs ran at about $105 billion. The instinct is to read this as another symptom of a quiet IPO market. It isn't. Private share sales have grown ~30% a year since 2022 while IPO proceeds stayed flat. PitchBook calls 2026 the year these private sales graduate from a temporary fix into a permanent piece of the market. The pool of money set aside to buy these shares hit $11.8 billion in June 2025 — nearly 3x what it was in 2022. This is a structural change. Three things worth sitting with: - Fund managers: Returning cash used to mean waiting for an IPO or sale. Private share sales let you do it years earlier — but every sale prints a real price, so wins and losses both arrive while the fund is still active. - Institutional investors: The "value" line on a quarterly report used to be an estimate. Now it's a real price someone just paid. The numbers are more trustworthy — and they can also swing 30% in a quarter without the company doing anything new. - Founders: Tender offers used to be a rare treat for the most senior people. Now they're regular events. That resets hiring expectations, founder concentration, and the question of whether you ever need to go public when $112 billion a year already moves quietly in the private market. The IPO class coming for SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic will reset this picture. It won't undo it. The plumbing is built. The new exit — secondaries — has quietly become the exit that might just matter the most. Read more here: interplay.vc/blog/the-new-e… #venturecapital #privatemarkets #ipo #liquidity





















