Mandar

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@Berlinergy I see $SIVE at $10B+ in 2027. Don’t think most people or markets realize how many hyperscaler suppliers they map to yet… also they didn’t factor in TAM expansion with IP acquisition yet either.

@aleabitoreddit Thank you for explaining in simple words.

Pretend $SIVE, $LITE make specialized blue and red maine lobsters. Very rare, not many people can do. $POET steams the lobsters and prepares it in a ready-to-go container. $MRVL buys those lobster tails, puts it together on a plate with broccoli and steak. Then serves it at the highest price to high end customers. Marvell is famous for serving Blue lobster tails. But can always serve Red ones, and it’s easier to keep serving Blue that they’re used to. And it’s also possible for the Red lobster farmer to shift to Blue lobsters with some effort, but it takes time to raise those lobsters. But… it just so happens Marvell’s competitor Nvidia bought out all the Red Lobsters for their restaurant. In the end, they still need those rare blue Maine lobsters. But just decided to steam it themselves. That’s $POET and $MRVL situation. It’s likely they’ll just go buy lobsters directly since you can’t just spawn Blue lobsters.

@aleabitoreddit So this $poet bad news is actually positive for $sive ?

I've always maintained $POET can get designed out and likely would in a few years for $MRVL. Especially as hyperscalers tend to vertically integrate upstream, I just didn't expect it so soon. For me to be bullish, $POET would have needed to multi-source to multiple hyperscaler supply chains rather than just Marvell. However, this goes this show: There's a reason why all the Laser companies are worth tens of billions. Laser design and fab is much more difficult than companies like $POET buying the lasers to package them. If $MRVL were completely reliant on $POET, they wouldn't break off the engagement despite the NDA, so it does feel like an excuse. Poet was just the fastest time to market given it's already designed into Celestial, but serves more as a Gen-1 bridge. Regardless all the hyperscalers require a light source (which is much much more difficult to vertically integrate): And after $NVDA went and bought out allocation for $LITE, $COHR... There's not many laser suppliers left aside from $SIVE. There's a lot of nuances markets might miss, but packaging layers are different than laser layers. It's highly likely now $MRVL just buys lasers directly from Sivers (which is even more bullish) given they already match Celestial specifications. And also highly likely Marvell multi-sources with $MTSI and $LITE (if there's any capacity left).

Still think $SIVE is vastly undiscovered. Feels like markets are only slowly starting to realize the likely laser supplier for $AMD? The only two public laser companies were $SIVE and $LITE on the $GFS presentation by the way…. after AMD’s CPO program went the way with GFS. And $SIVE is the only one left alongside GFS on Ayar’s website after they silently removed $LITE and $MTSI from their partner section. AlChip and GUC also happen to be pretty big for hyperscaler suppliers too.. Feels like Sivers lasers are going to end up everywhere next year.

Agreed, and glad DNB, one of Europe's leading banks, went out to defend $SIVE valuations alongside me. I still think $SIVE can reach $10B MC in 1 year time as their laser growth scales proportionally to: - $AAPL Watches - $JBL 1.6T Volume - $MRVL CPO Volume - Ayar Volume - $POET Volume Depending on how their qualification plays out into volume ramp. As Sivers supply lasers to all the next generation of 1.6T/CPO players in the space (into ~ $AMD, $NVDA, $AMZN, $MSFT type supply chains). These are EXISTING players at a ~990M MC. Not even including TAM expansion or more partnerships coming up. Especially now with NASDAQ listing, US institutions are forward looking and price in ~12M ahead of time, compared local European valuations that mainly look at previous 12 months. Banks usually provide very conservative targets (eg. 3 years for a 10x), but I do see potential for this company to be the next $LITE very soon. Europe should embrace positive-sum growth of their own companies that supply to hyperscalers. As their frontier companies provide back to locals through taxes, economic growth, and job growth.

@CludioNune67383 Yeah? That means $SIVE is actively doing the steps to list on Nasdaq not just “thinking about it”

I'm amused by Swedish culture at this point. That their retail/journalists are crying every day when someone posts a supply chain mapping of $SIVE lasers to: -> $MRVL CPO -> $AMD CPO -> $JBL 1.6T LRO -> $NVDA -> $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT -> Tencent, Baidu, Alibaba for ELS. Then they go crying even further... When someone shows $AAPL is secret hyperscaler customer of Sivers lasers for their next-gen Apple Watch development (which requires 50,000,000 units annually). Does supplying to hyperscalers... Hurt locals's feelings that much to the point they try and self-destruct? It's hilarious that a "Swedish professional" went out and said CPO is nothing new and nothing special, so Sivers is nothing special. Meanwhile $NVDA is just funding every CPO program $2B from $MRVL to $LITE to $COHR left and right. Cool thing about X is you learn something new every day interacting with global audiences.

@aleabitoreddit @YCM47233993 Anthropic, OpenAI etc will be bailed out by US govt. They are the new "Banks" - everything is now connected to them. If they go down then whole national security will become riskier, major companies (who invested in them) will face massive losses etc

@YCM47233993 Yeah OpenAi has so much contagion set up if they go down. But good thing is, they raised enough to last another year…

I'm sorry, but how does this work? > Softbank takes out $40B bridge loan to invest in OpenAi > OpenAi paper valuation goes up > Softbank gets margin loan off OpenAI's new valuation... maybe to pay back original loan? I'm getting PTSD from the FTX equity/FTT token but with OpenAI equity.

This is actually my favorite $SIVE TA setup. I name this: "Transferring ownership of the company from Swedish locals to American investors/institutions." Good timing right before US Nasdaq listing and hyperscaler 2027 volume ramp. Special thanks to the media over there.

@leglock140448 I have high conviction in $SIVE. All my historical high conviction picks are green by a lot like $HOOD back at $20 or $RKLB in the 10’s.

All the hyperscalers $SIVE likely ends up in 2027-2028 is staggering at a $900m MC. Markets don't understand what's coming. From speculative mapping: > $SIVE -> $POET -> $MRVL -> 1. $AMZN (purchase agreement/warrants with photonic fabric from celestial) 2. $MSFT (maia) 3. $GOOGL (recent development talks with Marvell) $SIVE powers Poet Starlight/optical interposers, and Poet's CFO confirmed they're supplying to Marvell few days ago. > $SIVE -> $POET -> "NDAs other hyperscaler suppliers" 1. Western Hyperscalers > $SIVE -> $JBL (1.6T LRO)-> 1. $META (Jabil $INTC SiPH inheritance, maps to Meta LRO program) 2. $NVDA (NVIDIA possibly OEMs optical transceivers) -> $MSFT | AWS | hyperscalers $SIVE is the confirmed laser source for $JBL 1.6T optical transceivers. > $SIVE -> Ayar ($500m fundraiser last month for volume ramp) -> 1. Alchip (Joint CPO) 2. Intel 3. GUC/Wiwynn -> $AMZN (Alchip) -> $AMD (CPO from $GFS partnership) possible. $SIVE is known laser supplier to Ayar, and Ayar removed $MTSI / $LITE from their website recently. Only showing $GFS + $SIVE, likely showing Sivers was primary laser supplier. As $GFS x $AMD partnered up recently, that makes Siver a possible core laser supplier for $AMD's CPO program if they go with Ayar. > $SIVE -> Enablence -> O-Net (massive Asian OEM)-> Asian Hyperscalers 1. $AVGO ELS (possible) 2. $META and $GOOGL ELS 3. ByteDance (possible) -> ELS 4. Tencent (possible) -> ELS 5. Alibaba (possible) -> ELS $SIVE ELS partnership with O-Net/Enablence around OFC. Sivers lasers is mass produced by foundries like Win Semi... and they're validated in $GFS CPO supply chains too from their recent image presentations. It's not about what Sivers is forecasting today from qualification revenue that everyone models off of. Alpha comes from future revenue proportional to demand from every Western/Asian hyperscaler for CPO/1.6T in 2027, 2028, 2029, and onward. $SIVE looks like one of the most unknown photonic stocks on the market that's yet to come.

@88magalhaes Yeah I thought $SIVE could reach $10B in 2 years time... but maybe by next year it's a real possibility now? Markets usually look forward 12M, so if there's massive 2028 volume ramp projections, it's a possibility in 2027.

@aleabitoreddit Even if $SIVE rises 10x from its current price, it would still be the smallest company on this list. Once it reaches a $10 billion market cap, those sitting on the sidelines will be left in awe.

Global Foundries photonics/CPO ecosystem list: 1. $GFS - $30.5B 2. $CDNS - $85.9B 3. $SEIGY - $217.2B 4. $SNPS - $84B 5. $KEYS - $57.3B 6. $ATEYY - $130.4B 7. RoboTechnik (ficonTEC) - $11.4B 8. $GLW - $141.2B 9. $LITE - $63.8B 10. $SIVE - $950m 11. $FN - $24.7B 12. $ASX - $63.3B For publicly traded names. Equal weighted long on the ecosystem from their presentation might not be a bad idea? I still find it funny how everything publicly listed is trading in the tens of billions. Then there's some small Swedish laser company there next to $LITE.

@MacnBTC $SIVE & $ALRIB and $IQE are still under 1 Bil $ Market cap! 10x more to go....

made more money on 1 stock than I did in last 4 months in crypto (haven’t traded for 4 months)

$SIVE - Sivers 🇸🇪 is not a single-story company. It sits across “two” critical infrastructure layers: Compute (AI photonics) & Communication (SATCOM / defense) Great article 👇

Veteran buried his eldest and it’s not looking good for his two others. Posting for any connections, help that can be made while they fight for time.

Everyone talks about $SIVE and AI photonics. But few talk about this: They lost a SATCOM RFQ to MixComm… then acquired them a year later. Now they sit across: • AI compute (photonics) • SATCOM/Wireless (defense, satellite, 5G/6G, DoD) Two mega trends. One story. New post to educate about SATCOM ⤵️ andersstorm.substack.com/p/sivers-semic…

How to buy $SIVE (Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm) at Interactive Brokers (IBKR): 1. Fix Market Data For Sweden Exchange (Most Common Issue) - Log into Client Portal → Settings → Market Data Subscriptions. - Click the gear next to Market Data Subscriber Status → Select Non-Professional (answer questions honestly; most retail users qualify). - Subscribe to Nordic Equity (L1) or Sweden / Stockholm market data (~€2–4/month for non-pros; delayed data is often free). This removes the "no market data" error. 2. Add Trading Permissions - In Settings → Trading Permissions (or Account Settings → Trading). Under Stocks, add Europe or specifically Sweden. - Submit and wait for approval (usually fast, minutes to 1 day). Quick Tips - Fund your account and convert currency to SEK if needed (via FX Trader) to avoid extra fees. - Commissions are low (~0.05% + small min in SEK). - You can place orders even with delayed data, but real-time quotes are better.

@Ren_aramb Yeah, I can see $SIVE easily 10xing from current levels.

@MoodyWriter13 -30% after doing 3-4x in 2 weeks is just natural profit taking.

That aged well, -30% for $ALRIB since this post this Morning. What happened? Fundamental reality (finacial statements) has asserted itself, it works like gravity. It has slowed the euphoria that was previously pushing against it. I was told today that there are 19 orders for the ROSI 2 platform. But I’ve only read about two. also that revenue could reach €120 million this year. But there isn’t even any guidance yet…