Mark Straton

Do the Math: Five Mathematical Reasons Trump Beats Harris in 2024 The math doesn’t lie. Trump will win the national popular vote, all swing states and 312 electoral votes becoming the 47th President of the United States. See the five data points and historical analysis that suggests a Trump victory. 1) The current RealClear Politics direction of the country right track / wrong track average of polls at 63.1% wrong track and 26.7% right directions suggests the incumbent party will lose (footnote 1). The Cook Political Report historical analysis (footnote 2) shows that the incumbent party loses the election when they have high wrong track and low right track numbers. Incumbents have lost with an average of 70% wrong track and 24% right track. 2) According to Gallup, Republicans have a stronger party identification with 48% identifying as Republicans or leaning Republican versus 48% for the Democrats (footnote 3). The Republican party is winning the battle for the hearts and minds of voters for the first time in the modern era. 3) Republican early voting rates have significantly increased from 30.5% in 2020 to 36% in 2024 while Democrat rates has fallen from 44.8% in 2020 to 37.9% in 2024 (footnote 4). The Republican disadvantage in 2020 was a key reason for their lose. The former campaign manager for Barack Obama, Jim Messina, said that the early voting figures from Republicans are "a little scary" for Democrats. 4) Republicans have massively increased national and swing state Republican voter registrations by margins that would have changed the outcome of the 2020 Presidential election (footnote 5). Republicans have improved their registrations by 198,006 or 3.92% in AZ which Biden won by only 10,427 votes in 2020, 440,288 or 5.37% in GA which Biden won by only 11,779 votes in 2020, 97,674 or 1.16% in MI which Biden won by 154,188 votes in 2020, 71,734 or 2.98% in NV which Biden won by 33,596 in 2020, 311,587 or 4.06% in NC which Trump won by 74,481 in 2020, 585,957 or 6.4% in PA which Biden one by 81,660 in 2020, and 86,571 or 1.59% in WI which Biden won by 20,608 votes in 2020. In all States except Michigan, these new registered Republicans would have given Trump the edge and the Presidency in 2020. See footnotes 5 and 6. 5) RealClear Politics November 4th average of polls has Trump tied with Harris for the national vote and leading in five of the seven swing states with enough electoral votes to win the 2024 election (footnote 7). In 2016 Trump over performed the polls by 2.5% and in 2020 by 2.9% (an average of 2.7%). When the RealClear Politics average national and seven swing state polls (AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA and WI) are adjusted by this average, Trump wins the national popular vote, the electoral college and all seven swing states. Only tomorrow’s election will tell if the pollsters improved, but their 2020 performance declined over 2016. When these five mathematical points are understood and coupled with the significant Democrat disadvantages on the key issues of inflation, economic performance, immigration, foreign wars and crime, it’s hard to see how Harris can win. #DeSantis2024 #RD24 #DeSantisForPresident #RonDeSantis #NikkiHaley2024 #Trump2024 #Trump #TeamTrump #TrumpVance2024 #PatriotsUnite #HarrisWalz2024 #RFK 1. realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of…. 2. cookpolitical.com/analysis/natio…. 3. news.gallup.com/poll/651092/20…. 4. newsweek.com/early-voting-f… 5. x.com/elonmusk/statu… 6. abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-…. 7. realclearpolling.com/polls/presiden…

🚨 BREAKING: Sen. Mike Lee just amplified the fact that Vice President JD VANCE has the FULL AUTHORITY to overrule the Democrat-linked Senate Parliamentarian SCOTT PRESLER: "There will come a time that Vice President Vance needs to overrule the parliamentarian. It’s within his authority to do so." 🔥 JD is President of the Senate. She is a HUGE roadblock to passing bills like SAVE America! Thune should just fire her. This would be a MONUMENTAL move: The last time a sitting VP — the President of the Senate — over ruled the parliamentarian was in 1975 Any means necessary! @BasedMikeLee @ScottPresler

Five Filthy Failures: Ashley Moody, James Lankford, Steve Daines, Ron Johnson, Pete Ricketts. Can't find the energy or the time to pass the SAVE America Act or the 50+ bills passed by the House, that would help America. But they meticulously show up like clock-work to gavel in those Pro Forma sessions to block their own President. Refuse to listen to their own constituents who are screaming at them to STOP doing this sh*t!

Finally! Now call for John Thune to step down and refuse to gavel in Pro Forma Senate sessions.

Never forget this battle.

Why aren't all 52 Republican Senators calling out Leader Thune for not allowing President Trump to make recess appointments? @SenateGOP

Hey, why don’t you focus on your job. You’re not very good at it and it needs 100% of your attention. And facts matter, you are villainizing ICE when they were doing their job. Lorenzo Salgado Araujo was an illegal alien and he had 35 years to naturalize. Here’s what happened: He was driving a work van with construction crew members to a job site when ICE agents tried to conduct a traffic stop during a “targeted enforcement operation.” Araujo died from a gunshot wound to the abdomen after being taken to a hospital. Official ICE/DHS Account According to statements from ICE and the Department of Homeland Security: • Araujo (identified as undocumented) refused verbal commands and attempted to evade arrest. • He allegedly rammed an ICE/law enforcement vehicle and “weaponized” his van by trying to run over an agent. • The agent fired in self-defense. Before you make political statements, you should let the facts play out.

Lorenzo Salgado Araujo called Houston home for 35 years. On Tuesday, an ICE agent shot and killed him. His family learned of his death from a video before anyone bothered to knock on their door. New York City stands with the Salgado family in demanding a full, independent investigation and real accountability. To the Salgado family and any immigrant family in this city living in fear: we grieve with you and we will continue to stand beside you in the pursuit of justice. Abolish ICE.

@ScottforFlorida A. Remove Thune.

The Senate needs to come back in session and PASS THE SAVE America Act. Tell Senate leadership what’s more important? ⬇️ A: Securing our elections B: Giving Schumer and Dems paid vacation The choice seems clear to me

Useless.

Thune is a clown. Remove Thune. @GOPSenate

Call for Thune’s resignation. @GOPSenate

We, The People, are watching you congress members and we know how you’re blocking President Trump’s legislation.

SCOTUS got birthright citizenship wrong. I hope the Court will reconsider.

I see evil when I look at his face. I see a corrupt liar in his eyes. His whole family are Democrats. @LeaderJohnThune If you love America, you would remove him immediately. @SenateGOP, or we will remove you. @POTUS @VP #RemoveJohnThune #SaveAmericaActNow

The Senate’s defiant, self-destructive attachment to its own convenience is what has transformed the true filibuster into the Zombie Filibuster. That’s sad. But it also explains so much about the reluctance to re-invigorate the true filibuster.

🚨 JUST IN: Rep. Anna Paulina Luna publicly states that Senate Majority Leader John Thune is "actively working to BLOCK the SAVE AMERICA ACT" by planning to file his own version of the NDAA SAVE needs to get DONE by any means necessary! LUNA: "This will now have to be done in conference. A Manager’s Amendment from the Chairwoman Fox of rules can Force this in once the Senate sends us their version."

Mamdani's decision to leave out Little Italy on his map of enclaves within New York is beyond shameful. Italian-Americans contribute so much, not just in New York City, but the entire nation. He also left out Irish and Jewish enclaves. We all know what's going on here...

Italian blood built New York City. Our grandparents and great grandparents came here with nothing and built everything. They laid the roads, dug the subway tunnels, raised bridges, carved stone, poured concrete, and helped build landmarks like the Brooklyn Bridge, Grand Central Terminal, the Empire State Building, and countless churches, schools, and neighborhoods that still define this city today. Little Italy wasn’t handed to us. It was earned through generations of sweat, sacrifice, and relentless hard work. No stupid Muslim from Uganda gets to erase that legacy or rewrite our history. Mamdani, GO FUCK YOURSELF. Italian Americans helped build New York City, and we’ll never let anyone forget it.

100%.

@SenAshleyMoody you’re gaveling in pro Forma Senate sessions that stop Trump from being able to make recess judicial appointments and you are not aggressively promoting the SAVE ACT or calling for John Tune’s removal. I’m a long-term Republican and donor and I can’t support you. Show some guts and leadership and support Trump. @GOPSenate @SenRickScott @SpeakerJohnson @VP @FloridaGOP

This should be really simple. Nuke the Filibuster. Pass the SAVE America Act. Codify EVERY @POTUS EO. We have the majority for the next 6 months… USE IT.