Mark Straton

Do the Math: Five Mathematical Reasons Trump Beats Harris in 2024 The math doesn’t lie. Trump will win the national popular vote, all swing states and 312 electoral votes becoming the 47th President of the United States. See the five data points and historical analysis that suggests a Trump victory. 1) The current RealClear Politics direction of the country right track / wrong track average of polls at 63.1% wrong track and 26.7% right directions suggests the incumbent party will lose (footnote 1). The Cook Political Report historical analysis (footnote 2) shows that the incumbent party loses the election when they have high wrong track and low right track numbers. Incumbents have lost with an average of 70% wrong track and 24% right track. 2) According to Gallup, Republicans have a stronger party identification with 48% identifying as Republicans or leaning Republican versus 48% for the Democrats (footnote 3). The Republican party is winning the battle for the hearts and minds of voters for the first time in the modern era. 3) Republican early voting rates have significantly increased from 30.5% in 2020 to 36% in 2024 while Democrat rates has fallen from 44.8% in 2020 to 37.9% in 2024 (footnote 4). The Republican disadvantage in 2020 was a key reason for their lose. The former campaign manager for Barack Obama, Jim Messina, said that the early voting figures from Republicans are "a little scary" for Democrats. 4) Republicans have massively increased national and swing state Republican voter registrations by margins that would have changed the outcome of the 2020 Presidential election (footnote 5). Republicans have improved their registrations by 198,006 or 3.92% in AZ which Biden won by only 10,427 votes in 2020, 440,288 or 5.37% in GA which Biden won by only 11,779 votes in 2020, 97,674 or 1.16% in MI which Biden won by 154,188 votes in 2020, 71,734 or 2.98% in NV which Biden won by 33,596 in 2020, 311,587 or 4.06% in NC which Trump won by 74,481 in 2020, 585,957 or 6.4% in PA which Biden one by 81,660 in 2020, and 86,571 or 1.59% in WI which Biden won by 20,608 votes in 2020. In all States except Michigan, these new registered Republicans would have given Trump the edge and the Presidency in 2020. See footnotes 5 and 6. 5) RealClear Politics November 4th average of polls has Trump tied with Harris for the national vote and leading in five of the seven swing states with enough electoral votes to win the 2024 election (footnote 7). In 2016 Trump over performed the polls by 2.5% and in 2020 by 2.9% (an average of 2.7%). When the RealClear Politics average national and seven swing state polls (AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA and WI) are adjusted by this average, Trump wins the national popular vote, the electoral college and all seven swing states. Only tomorrow’s election will tell if the pollsters improved, but their 2020 performance declined over 2016. When these five mathematical points are understood and coupled with the significant Democrat disadvantages on the key issues of inflation, economic performance, immigration, foreign wars and crime, it’s hard to see how Harris can win. #DeSantis2024 #RD24 #DeSantisForPresident #RonDeSantis #NikkiHaley2024 #Trump2024 #Trump #TeamTrump #TrumpVance2024 #PatriotsUnite #HarrisWalz2024 #RFK 1. realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of…. 2. cookpolitical.com/analysis/natio…. 3. news.gallup.com/poll/651092/20…. 4. newsweek.com/early-voting-f… 5. x.com/elonmusk/statu… 6. abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-…. 7. realclearpolling.com/polls/presiden…

🚨How Weak Republicans Are Surrendering YOUR VOTE To Democrats: This is the case right now in South Carolina where the State Senate REJECTED to extend the legislative session for redistricting. In New England voting 40% Republican; and getting NO SEATS. Meanwhile Democrats in the South are guaranteed “safe” districts carved out by courts and activists so they never lose representation. Every seat weak Southern Republicans allow Democrats to hold in deep-red strongholds further dilutes the voting power of nearly HALF the country elsewhere. So one side gets locked out entirely while the other gets federally protected seats. How is that representative government? Nearly HALF of New Hampshire votes Republican and ends up with ZERO voice in Congress. That’s not democracy. That’s a rigged map. South Carolina GOP leadership needs to stop SURRENDERING, stop playing by rules Democrats ignore, and start FIGHTING to actually represent Republican voters. Gov. McMaster MUST call a special session NOW.

The SAVE Act is the ultimate litmus test for this Congress. If they can’t pass legislation that is supported by nearly 90% of Americans they are effectively useless. So much so you could argue they’ve rendered the Constitutional argument for checks and balances null and void.

Shameful GOP Senators.

This should be the Republican Senate’s number one priority.

ARE YOU INTERESTED IN THE NUMBERS? John Thune is holding up around 47 bills and over 33 judicial appointments. He will not allow recess confirmations as every other Leader has done in the past. He won't force a talking filibuster so we have a chance to pass 'The Save America Act'. Somebody figure out how to take him down as Leader. .@realDonaldTrump - Have you seen these numbers? Are you going to put up with this dereliction of duty?

You know what is more astounding… The Republican Senate hasn’t passed the SAVE ACT or voted John Thune out as leader. Not one Senator has called for him to resign. The Republican Senators are pathetic. @GOP @VP @POTUS @GOPSenate @SenMikeLee @SenRickScott #RemoveThune

Only Donald Trump. No other human being on Earth could pick up the phone, summon the top 30 most powerful CEOs alive ... Tesla, Apple, Nvidia, Wall Street, AI, aerospace, the whole damn roster ... and have every single one clear their schedule to fly into Beijing with him. Only Trump could land in China after a decade of manufactured hate and get handed the ultra-rare “State-Visit-Plus” treatment that Beijing created specifically for him and has never given anyone else. Cheering students. Temple of Heaven. Great Hall of the People. Beef trade reopened as a welcome gift. While career politicians and globalist benchwarmers spent years turning U.S.-China relations into a slow-motion dumpster fire, only Trump walks in like he owns the room and turns it into a high-stakes power move for America First. This isn’t Biden’s pathetic weakness. This isn’t the War Party’s fever-dream confrontation. This is Trump doing what only Trump does: showing up with overwhelming strength, elite leverage, and zero fear. The rest of them talk. Trump assembles legends and rewrites the script in real time. Nobody else even comes close. Not now. Not ever. This is why they hate him. This is why the world watches him. This is why history keeps bending in his direction. The Trump era is back, bigger and bolder than before. (article below)

Epic ad.

@SenAshleyMoody @JDVance No one cares. Focus on the only thing that matters - get the SAVE ACT passed and replace the inept John Thune. Until you call for his removal publicly, no vote or money from lifetime Republican.

Hey @JDVance - I’ve got a bill that’s right up your alley. My STOP Fraud in Medicaid Act will give state AGs the authority to go after fraudsters bilking the system and cheating hardworking Americans. Everybody should be on board with fighting fraud. It’s a 100-0 issue.

You bore me Scott. You're a coward. Prove the voters wrong and step forward to remove Thune

@honeymoon250 All 20.

9 for me!!! I feel confident nobody Has all 20 How many for you???

Louisiana Senator Bill Cassidy voted to remove Trump from office. He fucked around. On May 16th, he will find out. Bill Cassidy is about to LOSE his primary race to Julia Letlow, who leads by a whopping 8 points. This will HURT TRAITOR John Thune too. HeII YEAH.

Remove Thune.

Thune MUST resign. @VP @POTUS @GOPSenate @GOP #RemoveThune

Another example of Thune’s ineptitude. He needs to replace the parliamentarian who is a Democrat. He’s living in a fairly tale world where his opponents act with fairness, integrity and the best interests of the United States. He’s in love with Senate rules and processes that never made any sense and aren’t in the constitution. If he were in the private sector, he would be fired for his lack of leadership and results, which are beyond pathetic. He should resign and his leadership team to. @VP @GOPSenate @POTUS @GOP @SenMikeLee @SenRickScott @SenAshleyMoody

I believe part of problem w Thune & Cornyn is they are wanting to see world as it was 50 years ago; not as it is today. Democrats are not going to follow the US Constitution - Democrats are not interested in Robert’s rules of order - Thune & Cornyn - they are advocating political pacifism at time when it will be unimaginably destructive consequences for our culture & society. The social compact is largely broken- Democrats will no longer respect process over results unless they know political actions are met accordingly. I am extremely disappointed with Thune’s endorsement of Cornyn. We as conservatives are currently in a (culturally speaking) cold civil war. Democrats are one trifecta election away from DC & PR becoming states & packing the courts. We need a war time general not a peace time gardener sympathizing with the enemy. We need a Senator that has a heart to trade cowardice for courage and confusion for clarity. Ken Paxton has one and it’s obvious that John Cornyn does not. We need a leader that will speak truth to power and put the needs of others before his own; Ken Paxton will - John Cornyn will not. We need a messenger that will provide contrast between freedom & bondage, right & wrong & left & right; Ken Paxton will and John Cornyn has not; cannot and will not. “Democrats - They only care about power and they will not hesitate to take it and use it until you can no longer resist.” -Auron MacIntyre

@POTUS @VP @LeaderJohnThune @SenateGOP

Michigan 2020 election worker found that EVERY Military Ballot that was logged into the system had a birthday of 1/1/1900. When she asked the election supervisor to challenge the military ballots, she replied, "We're not doing that." The 2020 election was stolen.

@ShadowofEzra @Louise84494139 Cut it all. UN is worthless.

U.S. Ambassador Mike Waltz announces that $1.8 billion of U.S. taxpayer money will be sent to the United Nations to fund emergency humanitarian assistance. This comes on top of the $2 billion already pledged in December 2025. They told us USAID was dismantled to cut waste and put America First, yet now billions are being pledged to the failed United Nations.