Matthew Thomas

New York City awaiting google announcement in person!! #madebygoogle

@tdcpropz No one from cubs today with 22mph winds blowing out Come on man Happ, Pete?

Top 10 HR Targets for tomorrow 💣 (Ranked) 1. Aaron Judge — HR Score: 96 18% Barrel | 60% Hard Hit | 46% FB | 31% Pull Air 2. Kyle Schwarber — HR Score: 93 11% Barrel | 50% Hard Hit | 50% FB | 29% Pull Air

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@BallparkPal The more obvious here is the challenges for strike zone calls here Huge difference

Two of the worst home run days in the last decade happened recently, and teams are averaging fewer than 1 HR per game so far in 2026. Here is some insight on the current state of home runs, using the various Ballpark Pal models (long post below, tldr at the bottom): Sim Results: Before getting into the analysis, it's worth noting that the Ballpark Pal sims have been pretty close to actuals when it comes to homers this year. Before yesterday's abysmal HR day, BP had projected 327 HRs so far this year vs 326 actual (now 4.8% higher after yesterday). This is without adjusting for any changes to the baseball and simply accounting for the normal important things like weather, stadiums, matchups, etc. I point this out because if a huge external factor had been introduced this season, the sims would probably be consistently overestimating the number of homers. Changes to the Baseball: MLB has appeared to introduce different performing baseballs nearly every year since 2016 (see the chart). The ball in most recent years hasn't flown as far, with the 2025 ball showing more drag than any year previously. So is there more drag this year than in 2025? Maybe - but it isn't dramatically different. This year's ball is producing 17% fewer homers than "expected" after accounting for weather and stadium factors. That's 3 percentage points lower than last season - enough to keep an eye on but not a big enough difference to make any conclusions this early in the year. Changes in Pitcher Approach: This is the most interesting difference. Pitchers appear to be less risky in aggregate in 2026. The various BP pitch models assign labels to every pitch, based on location and physics of the pitch itself (ignoring the batter outcome). Here are some changes this year: "Non-Competitive" pitches ⬆️ 12% to 16% "Likely Balls" ⬆️ 19% to 21.5% "Squarely in the zone" ⬇️ 33% to 29% HR chance per Pitch ⬇️ 0.77% to 0.67% Hit chance per Pitch ⬇️ 5.7% to 4.9% Home Run Candidate Fly Balls A ball can't be a home run if it isn't hit well in the air. For example, yesterday had only 11 home runs, but there were *only* 16 fly balls hit with > 50% chance of clearing the fence. Home Run Candidate fly balls as a % have been going up consistently since 2016. But...this year they're down 13% vs 2025 (independent of the weather). This supports the idea that it's less a "baseball drag" issue and more a result of pitchers being less risky with their offerings. tldr - The lack of home runs this season has been mostly predictable just from how bad the weather has been (BP sims are close to actuals). This year's baseball might have a bit more drag on it (too early to say for sure). The clearest difference is that pitchers are taking a less risky approach - which is leading to fewer fly balls that have a chance of being a home run.

@JacobsVegasLife Stay at golden gate or the D You get free passes to stadium swim every day at circa Also parking is free at o e of those

Pros & Cons Hotel Stays: Circa

@JacobsVegasLife Lava palazzo

Las Vegas Strip Hotels with buffets open: Circus Circus Wynn Las Vegas Caesars Palace Bellagio Cosmopolitan MGM Grand Excalibur

@StatDrivenProps This is incorrect most anyone has in 5 hr on season

🏟️ MLB Home Run Leaders - Sunday Cal Raleigh: 14 Byron Buxton: 9 Aaron Judge: 9 Rafael Devers: 9 Shohei Ohtani: 8 Eugenio Suarez: 8 Wilyer Abreu: 7 Mickey Moniak: 7 Addison Barger: 7 Miguel Vargas: 6 Freddie Freeman: 6 George Springer: 6 Zach Neto: 6 William Contreras: 6 Royce Lewis: 6 Ben Rice: 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 6 Kyle Schwarber: 6 Francisco Lindor: 6 Salvador Perez: 6 Kyle Stowers: 5 Nick Kurtz: 5 Colson Montgomery: 5 Jackson Holliday: 5 Brooks Lee: 5

@TopTierND Coach should have been fired weeks ago Embarrassing

Expected Wishing Burton the best and hope he gets his chance in March

@jacksoble56 Coach need to be fired weeks ago

Offically official: One of the most prolific Notre Dame men’s basketball players in recent memory, as well as a Mishawaka native, is headed elsewhere. Burton was playing his best basketball before an ankle injury ended his 2025-26 season in December.

@BradBiggs @AlbertBreer Corruption at the highest level Bears easily desired a pick

NFL announced the #Bears will not receive compensatory draft picks. "The matter is now closed following the club’s appeal. The NFL informed the Bears today they will not receive compensatory picks. (1 of 2)

@BGInews @jacksoble56 Um right not because of unhappiness with coaching staff What spin

Notre Dame's top freshman scorer Jalen Haralson is entering the transfer portal, and it's not because of unhappiness with the program or coaching staff 🤷‍♂️ @jacksoble56 has the details: on3.com/teams/notre-da…

Mylan Graham from CJ Carr. Probably happening a lot. Graham has been outstanding this spring.

@BallparkPal Send him to aaa lol Jk

It's only the 2nd time Paul Skenes has allowed 5+ runs and it happened in 0.2 innings

@paulsaladinomd Ty

Creatine optimization protocol: 1) 5g creatine monohydrate daily. 2) Dissolve FULLY in water (warm helps). 3) Use after workout (some data suggests slight benefit) 4) Consume with carbohydrates (50-100g) & salt (200-500mg) to improve absorption. 5) Use a 3rd party tested brand.

@NFL_DovKleiman Bad

The Bad Bunny Super Bowl show is ______!

All in $15,000 on the Seahawks to beat the Patriots If Seattle wins, i will be giving 1 person who likes this tweet $2,000.

@Schultz_Report 33-21 final score pats

💰 $1,000 Super Bowl Giveaway 💰 Here's your chance to win BIG! Rules: 1. Follow @Schultz_Report 2. Like this post 3. Predict the final score

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