Nicolás Jaramillo
1.4K posts

Nicolás Jaramillo
@najarami
Building Arch, a decentralized asset manager, to onboard millions of investors to Web3
Miami, FL Katılım Kasım 2008
388 Takip Edilen777 Takipçiler

@0xNonceSense @grok explicame porque está en riesgo nuevamente el shutdown si hubo uno hace menos de dos meses
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🚨US GOVERNMENT IS 4 DAYS AWAY FROM A SHUTDOWN, AND THE MARKET IS FUNDAMENTALLY UNDERESTIMATING THE SYSTEMIC RISK.
In previous cycles, we saw gold and silver hit record highs as investors fled traditional assets. If you’re heavily allocated to equities right now, you’re ignoring a massive structural shift.
We are entering a total data blackout.
Without CPI or jobs reports, the Fed is effectively blind. Risk models cannot function in a vacuum, and the $VIX will have to reprice significantly higher to compensate for this lack of transparency.
The real danger lies in the funding markets: 👇
1️⃣ CREDIT DEGRADATION:
A shutdown creates an immediate risk of a sovereign downgrade, which forces repo margins higher and drains liquidity from the system.
2️⃣ LIQUIDITY GAP:
The RRP buffer is depleted. There is no longer a cushion to absorb shocks. If primary dealers begin to preserve capital, the funding markets will seize - mirroring the stress of early 2020.
3️⃣ MACRO CONTRACTION:
A prolonged shutdown costs roughly 0.2% of GDP per week, which could be the final catalyst for a technical recession.
The indicator to watch is the SOFR-IORB spread. If this begins to gap, it’s a signal that private liquidity is drying up while the Fed’s balance sheet remains inaccessible.
Most participants will realize the danger only after the volatility arrives.
I’ll post my next strategic move here for everyone to see 🙌

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@nicocapital Por? La única que puede hacer las reformas que se necesitan para que el país tenga un desarrollo a LP y no dependamos del político de turno.
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@bitcoinarchive @grok cuando fue esto? Donde dijo esto Jamie Dimon
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@HernanLarrain Recuerdo el 1er y 2do intento de nueva Constitución. Para que pasar de nuevo por lo mismo cuando ya tenemos dos ejemplos en que esta historia es mala para Chile. Ojalá que la ciudadanía vote pensando en el LP y no en el candidato que dice resolver todo los problemas en 18 meses
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Nicolás Jaramillo retweetledi

Esta semana se llevará a cabo Digital Asset Forum Colombia 2025 en el Radisson Bogotá Metrotel organizado por @DigitalAssetsLa
Es un evento enfocado en atraer a 150 personas de alto perfil, ligadas a la industria financiera y fintech de Colombia, para conectar y visualizar las oportunidades que los Activos Digitales están trayendo a la región.
Contaremos con paneles de conversación y charlas que te permitirán entender el escenario actual y cómo aprovechar las oportunidades.
Puedes encontrar más información acá: digitalassetshub.la/eventos/daf-co…
Además, tengo algunas invitaciones disponibles por si realmente quieres asistir, escríbeme.

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@jchervinsky Why do they move their business on chain in this case?
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@cristpereirag @ajunge_m Se maltrataron. Espero que no haya costado 10.000 BTC.
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Nicolás Jaramillo retweetledi

¿Por qué la tokenización es el tema del momento? 🤔
Descubre la respuesta este 22 de mayo, a las 17:00, en nuestro webinar exclusivo sobre la transformación de los Activos del Mundo Real (RWA).
streamyard.com/watch/Gy5k73VV…
#ActivosDigitales #Tokenización #RWA

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@Matt_Hougan Agreed in the long term. In the short term they are competing for relative upside.
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@Matt_Hougan What characteristics do you see on the winners?
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@JustDeauIt I'm curious about how much coverage you give to memecoins in the DeFi report. What role do you see they have in the ecosystem?
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Lots of hot takes out there regarding memecoins right now.
It's always fascinating to watch the pendulum swing to extremes on both ends. Crypto is so incredibly reflexive in both directions.
A few thoughts before we get to the data:
1. Memecoins are not done. If you think they are, you are probably overreacting to market sentiment right now.
2. The reason memecoins are not done is very simple. They have product market fit. People like trading memes. People like gambling. People like dopamine hits.
Don't overthink this.
3. What people don't like is feeling like they are playing a rigged game. Memes were supposed to be solution to this.
4. But what we've seen with memecoins being gamed and abused is the same thing we've seen in every crypto hype cycle. New money comes into the space. People are people. They get greedy. Do shady things. Get called out.
And then the space cleanses itself.
5. As the cleansing process commences, new opportunities emerge. For example, how many problems have we now identified with memecoins? How many entrepreneurs are out there thinking of ways to solve them?
Again. Memes have product/market fit. There has to be a way to solve these problems and give the people what they want.
6. "Blue chip" memecoins have high beta to L1 tokens. They also have lots of liquidity....meaning institutions can allocate to them.
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So step back. Observe the market. If you think memes are done, ask yourself if you're in the herd.
Smart money is emotionlessly thinking critically about how things play out from here.
To that end, it's interesting to observe that @bonk_inu has the most *outflows* to whale wallets from DEXs & DEX aggregators over the last two weeks.
While you're calling for the end of memes, I bet you there are institutional players out there looking to run back the @joemccann playbook.
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Note: data does not include holders or flows to/from centralized exchanges.
We'll continue to share data-driven updates on the "blue chip" memes in the space via @the_defi_report
If you'd like to have the latest research hit your inbox as it's published, you can sign up in the first reply below 👇

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