Nate

1.8K posts

Nate banner
Nate

Nate

@nateqnt

Macro analyst. Probabilities over prophecy. NFA

Katılım Ağustos 2012
2.1K Takip Edilen808 Takipçiler
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
@HunterAllen4 Great write-up 👏 One thing I would add is that $VIVO subsidiary Tembo is looking to IPO. Its equity in Tembo may exceed VIVO market cap depending on valuation & ownership %.
English
0
0
3
476
Hunter Allen
Hunter Allen@HunterAllen4·
$VIVO One of the more overlooked AI infrastructure setups in the market right now. Trading under 5$ with only a ~77M market cap. REPOST. BOOKMARK. DONT MISS Meanwhile the company is building a renewable-powered AI data center platform targeting: ~2GW controlled capacity by 2029 ~$1B annual revenue target ~$200M+ operating free cash flow target This is not another generic AI software story. This is a direct bet on: power scarcity grid access AI compute infrastructure hyperscaler expansion sovereign AI demand Up ~99% YTD Up ~52% in the past month Still flying under the radar compared to: $IREN $NBIS $APLD $CORZ $DGXX Recent developments are where things start getting interesting: 41.5MW operational hydro-powered data center in Norway acquired in April 2026 Asset immediately adds: ~31M annualized revenue ~10M annualized EBITDA 30MW also enrolled in Norway’s Statnett reserve markets targeting another: ~1.9M annualized EBITDA upside with effectively no additional capex Current infrastructure portfolio now includes: ~358MW total portfolio exposure 291MW secured powered sites in Finland 25MW sovereign AI platform in UAE Expansion capacity in Norway pushing total site potential above 80MW And the market is still valuing the company around micro-cap territory. What separates $VIVO from a lot of AI names: They are not trying to own GPUs. They are trying to control the hardest assets to replicate: power + energized land + renewable infrastructure. The strategy is simple: Acquire brownfield powered sites cheaply Build powered shells rapidly Lease infrastructure long-term to hyperscalers, sovereign entities, and AI operators Refinance stabilized assets Recycle capital into new projects Management states target acquisition costs of: ~50K–500K per MW Powered shell build costs: sub-10M per MW Target development cycle: ~12–18 months This becomes important because AI infrastructure demand is accelerating faster than power infrastructure can be built. The next bottleneck may not be chips. It may be: available power cooling grid access energy-secured data center capacity That’s exactly where $VIVO is positioning itself. Additional signals worth watching: ~30M strategic PIPE completed with sovereign/family office backing 13G filing tied to Dubai family office accumulation ~6.5M shares reported Former Microsoft + G42 AI leadership added to advisory network Strong interest reportedly emerging around Norway AI leasing process Technically the chart has also started improving significantly: Multi-month base breakout Relative strength improving Volume expansion building Accumulation trends strengthening AI infrastructure sector rotation continuing higher The comparison group is obvious: $IREN $APLD $CORZ $NBIS But $VIVO is still sitting at a fraction of the valuation. If management executes on scaling powered capacity and leasing activity over the next few years, this could become one of the more aggressive micro-cap to mid-cap AI infrastructure rerating stories in the market. Big money is chasing: AI compute power infrastructure energy-secured data centers And $VIVO is directly exposed to all 3. $NVDA $AMD $VRT $ANET $SMCI $CEG $VST $IREN $CORZ $APLD $NBIS $QQQ $SPY
Hunter Allen tweet mediaHunter Allen tweet mediaHunter Allen tweet mediaHunter Allen tweet media
English
17
14
105
17.3K
Cyberpunk Sense 👑
Cyberpunk Sense 👑@napoleon21st·
I think $VIVO may be the greatest asymmetrical opportunity I've found since $SIVE Market cap 80m yet customers are lined up and the Norwegian and UAE sovereign funds are involved.
English
23
21
389
126.4K
American AF 🇺🇸
American AF 🇺🇸@iAnonPatriot·
Does the moon affect stock markets.. This data is INSANE.
English
417
1K
11.7K
1.6M
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
Loads to mention but these stand out: ~$10M annualized EBITDA. Only ~$75M market cap. 41.5MW operating Norway data center. Sub-$0.035/kWh hydro power. AI tenant RFP live. Expansion path to 80MW+. 291MW attributable Finland exposure via OGDC. OGDC co-founders joining leadership. Team strong ties to hyperscalers. Large Tembo stake, with Tembo pursuing Nasdaq listing at ~$838M pre-money. GCC sovereign family office capital. Jane Street + Renaissance on holder lists. Norway acquisition closed without public equity raise. As $NVDA 's Jensen mentioned, this is the best time to invest in sustainable energy. $VIVO is capturing some of that market demand.
English
0
0
6
1.8K
Cyberpunk Sense 👑
Cyberpunk Sense 👑@napoleon21st·
I found an indirect microcap play on space. I'll buy and tell you tomorrow.
English
5
0
6
1.6K
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
Data center energy is the new oil.
English
0
1
7
2.4K
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
@x_times_1 this turned out to be the right call.
English
0
0
0
24
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
@x_times_1 Taken a similar approach but a higher cash %. Easy to get carried away in these conditions, happy to sit on the sidelines and re-evaluate. A lot of money will be lost by people chasing.
English
1
0
0
177
X_times_1
X_times_1@x_times_1·
Since today, I am about 30% cash. The last month has been like nothing I have ever seen. I need to chill for a couple days. When you have a hot hand, you can get out of control and lose all your gains. It’s always good to remember to breathe.
English
8
1
64
3.5K
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
Full moon tomorrow, and markets are looking frothy. So I tested whether there’s any pattern in market returns across moon phases, then threw “proximity to payday” into the mix. Oddly, the standout pocket was: Full moon + payday window. Average returns were higher in that overlap. Guess “to the moon” was more literal than we thought.
Nate tweet media
English
3
21
156
48.9K
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
@grok @ntsumenanga @grok Now list specific small-cap publicly traded stocks in the U.S. which might benefit in this increasingly volatile energy infra instability
English
1
0
0
35
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
@x_times_1 good point, can imagine many fund algos being activated on $inv above the $5 threshold too. also, market cap is now only ~$5M away from r/wallstreetbets minimum threshold. Expect some more eyes on the stocks from today onwards
English
0
0
5
309
X_times_1
X_times_1@x_times_1·
$inv pure unbridled speculation on my part: There are a lot of funds with a mandate that doesn't allow buying stocks under $5. The surge today may reflect a number of these funds who were waiting for the break above $5 to pounce. The volume surge was quite amazing, but so is @AccelsiusATX !! The future is cool!
X_times_1 tweet media
English
6
0
48
4.8K
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
@aleabitoreddit What do you think of $INV , for access to next generation of data center cooling tech (2-phase) via ~44% ownership of Accelsius?
English
3
0
1
733
Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks) By the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others. Short term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%. I focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out. But the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same. And I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore. But the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit

Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why: 1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security 2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count 3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai 4. $COHR - They do everything vertically integrated + captures optical cycle 5. $RKLB - the final frontier of space will be around 5 years from now and 20 years from now. 6. $DRAM - memory exposure for samsung/sk hynix 7. $AVGO - hyperscalers dont like nvidia gpu tax 8. $AMZN - nobody can compete against the overnight shipping of toilet paper. robotics will lower opex over time 9. $ARM - AGI CPUs scale revenue quite a bit over the next decade 10. $TSEM - you're going to need a foundry for light based stuff 11. $IBIT - bitcoin, we all know by now 12. $NBIS - i think it's the next AWS. Also they do self-driving cars with uber, own scaling DB companies, data labeling. It's almost like a mini Google. 13. $GOOGL - youtube is not going away, gemini is great. they're vertically integrated with TPUs and fund buildout with operating income so i like it. 14. $AMKR - super facilities coming online in late 2027-2028. benefits from made in america 15. $HOOD - i dont like short term, but long term i'm a fan of Robinhood since they captured retail + have more products like banking, etc that they're scaling up. product innovation is wild. 16. $CRCL - I happen to really like stablecoins and see them as the future for both payments/holding (depends on clarity act) 17. $META - people aren't going to stop using instagram or whatsapp, or others anytime soon. 18. $LITE - $GOOGL TPU exposure decently high part of BOM. As long as Google's AI program keeps running I think $LITE will do well. 19. $LPTH - Germanium and China export controls will always be an issue so US made engineered alternatives will always be important 20. $FN - Someone needs to assemble optical stuff 21. $JBL - same as above, but added with ip from Intel's SiPh acqusition so might end up like innolight? 22. $MP - American rare earths program is extremely important, similar to $INTC national security risks 23. $HIMS - Okay here me out they just acquired a ton of companies, and at $19 they have global DTC channel. short sellers really hate this company, but I think it's actually promising as a contrarian long 24. $SMTC - LRO/LPO transition 25. $POWL - US alternative to hammond for switchgear DC type bottleneck 26. $VPG - Humanoids will be a thing down the road maybe 2027-2028, this makes the sensors. 27. $MOG.A - Feels like i see them everywhere in robotics, to spacex supply chains 28. $MSFT - At $375, one day we'll look back and see this as a buying opportunity. 29. $CVX - oil might crash after war but these oil companies are going to be extremely important, especially when Venezulea is a goldmine. 30. $XLU - i think rate cuts might be back online, we need power/grid for AI so these names will always be improtant from $CEG to $NEE Just throwing out other thoughts aside from $AAOI and $AEHR.

English
87
82
1.5K
319.1K
Nate
Nate@nateqnt·
@joceyreyes209 What specifically about your visit made you 10x more bullish?
English
1
0
0
213
Brian Bartholomew
Brian Bartholomew@BPBartholomew·
The world's electricity infrastructure, mapped.
English
72
409
2.9K
383.9K
isabelle
isabelle@isareksopuro·
i made a map to monitor data centers all around the world tracks construction + nearby power plants + local AI legislation, and follows the politicians behind their bans (+ if they're getting paid to do so!)
English
348
6.6K
19.2K
985.3K