Neil Schreiber
381 posts


🚨 BREAKING: The most expensive spacecraft ever built.. $93 billion to get us back to the moon.. is being rotated toward the sun because the $30 million toilet vent froze and filled the capsule with the smell of frozen piss..
it’s 2026.. astronauts are peeing into backup bags because the high-tech plumbing on our return-to-the-moon mission needs sunlight to thaw.. apollo guys did this in 1969 with duct tape and a prayer.. we came back half a century later with a $30 million toilet that still can’t beat zero degrees..
they built an entire launch system over seven years.. spent more than the GDP of 100 countries.. and the mission is being run like a student housing maintenance request..
“can you turn the heat up.. the bathroom is frozen again.”
nasa is fighting physics.. it’s also fighting a procurement machine that charges taxpayers $93 billion to deliver the same bathroom the apollo boys had when richard nixon was president..
this is the most expensive smell in human history.
Polymarket@Polymarket
JUST IN: The Artemis II toilet’s vent froze over, potentially causing the terrible smell astronauts reported. NASA is tilting the space ship toward the Sun to try & thaw it out.
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@PlanetOfMemes Call the gambling hotline and say “my friends bet me I wouldn’t call you”
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@SlavicNetworks For those saying NATO is just a defense alliance, which NATO country was attacked by Russia?
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🚨 BREAKING NEWS: USA THREATENS TO LEAVE NATO — Poland, Spain, Italy, France, Germany, Belgium, Hungary & Slovakia All Say “NO” to Helping Fight Iran!
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has issued a strong warning:
“You don’t have much of an ALLIANCE if you have countries that are not willing to stand with you when you need them!”
European NATO countries that have said “NO” to helping America against Iran (including refusing airspace and military bases):
- Poland – Refused to send requested military equipment
- Spain – Closed airspace and denied use of bases
- Italy – Denied US aircraft landing rights at key bases
- France – Refused airspace for US/Israeli planes
- Germany – Showed strong reluctance and limited support
- Belgium – Refused deeper involvement
- Hungary – Blocked aid and refused military involvement
- Slovakia – Reluctant to send weapons and criticized involvement
This has caused major anger in Washington. Some US officials are now openly threatening that America may leave NATO if European allies keep refusing to help — not even with basic airspace or base access.
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Neil Schreiber retweetledi

@KobeissiLetter @grok how much oil does Israel move through the Strait
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There are widespread reports on Iran allowing "any country aside from the US and Israel" to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
If this is true, China and India alone will be able to restore nearly 7 million barrels of oil supply PER DAY.
In other words, ~39% of the 18 million barrels per day of supply currently offline due to the Strait of Hormuz closure would return to the market.
This would be massive news if confirmed.
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@toddsaunders It’s actually been that way for awhile, this is not just an AI phenomenon. The challenge is breaking down the bureaucracies and risk aversion in many corporations. But AI has made certainly increased and facilitated this.
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The token cost to build a production feature is now lower than the meeting cost to discuss building that feature.
Let me rephrase.
It is literally cheaper to build the thing and see if it works than to have a 30 minute planning meeting about whether you should build it.
It’s wild when you think about it.
This completely inverts how you should run a software organization. The planning layer becomes the bottleneck because the building layer is essentially free. The cost of code has dropped to essentially 0.
The rational response is to eliminate planning for anything that can be tested empirically. Don’t debate whether a feature will work.
Just build it in 2 hours, measure it with a group of customers, and then decide to kill or keep it.
I saw a startup operating this way and their build velocity is up 20x. Decision quality is up because every decision is informed by a real prototype, not a slide deck and an expensive meeting.
We went from “move fast and break things” to “move fast and build everything.”
The planning industrial complex is dead.
Thank god.
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Neil Schreiber retweetledi
Neil Schreiber retweetledi

The recent accusation by Tucker Carlson claiming that @Chabad @Lubavitch is somehow behind the war in Iran is not merely bizarre. It is a repackaging of one of the oldest antisemitic tropes in history.
When Tucker says “Chabad,” his intention is obvious. Chabad is the largest, most vibrant, and most visible Jewish movement in the world. Its emissaries live openly as Jews in thousands of communities, serving Jews of every background and often helping their neighbors of every faith. To single out Chabad in this way is simply a way of saying “the Jews,” while pretending otherwise.
And Tucker knows this narrative is false. Over the years he himself has acknowledged—just as presidents, prime ministers, and world leaders across the globe have—that Chabad’s work is extraordinary: building schools, feeding the hungry, caring for the lonely, teaching faith, and strengthening communities in every corner of the world.
From the very first day of his leadership, the Rebbe, Rabbi Menachem Mendel Schneerson launched not a campaign of war, but a campaign of goodness and kindness. His call was simple and radical: that every person adds one more mitzvah, one more act of light, one more moment of compassion to make this world a better and more peaceful place.
That is the “plot” of Chabad. Not conflict, but kindness. Not domination, but dignity. Not war, but Goodness.
The Rebbe taught that the proper response to hatred is not silence but more light. This Shabbos, every Jew should show up to Chabad. Stand together proudly. Pray together. And take on one more mitzvah—one more good deed—inspired by the Rebbe’s vision to transform the world through goodness and kindness.
Join the Rebbe’s revolution, not to topple a government, but to uplift the world. Wrap tefillin. Light shabbos candles. Donate to your local Chabad.
Because the answer to lies is truth, and the answer to darkness is light.

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This makes sense but the challenge here will be reproducibility. Since by its nature ai is a probabilistic process. It’s not a simple matter of saving prompts, fixing the model and parameters. There can be hardware dependency. Prompting is an iterative process, and a myriad of other variables.
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Elon Musk predicts that AI will bypass coding entirely by the end of 2026 - just creating the binary directly
AI can create a much more efficient binary than can be done by any compiler
So just say, "Create optimized binary for this particular outcome," and you actually bypass even traditional coding
Current: Code → Compiler → Binary → Execute
Future: Prompt → AI-generated Binary → Execute
Grok Code is going to be state-of-the-art in 2–3 months
Software development is about to fundamentally change
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@elonmusk Imagine what FSD + Starlink in an RV would do. Throw in a solar array on roof
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@jeremyjudkins_ Agree, I’m amazed and even somewhat saddened that many people don’t know (and some intentionally don’t want to know) that they could do this. I think to many it seems like sci fi and they just can’t believe it’s a real thing.
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@EFischberger I’m not sure why Ambassador Huckabee would do this interview. TC is not credible and clearly has an agenda. It’s a waste of time and energy to humor and legitimize him.
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@elonmusk I’ll wait until it’s possible to do while using FSD.
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I don’t disagree with the assessment or the reality of what is happening, but what companies are missing is the other reason for the pipeline. Its purpose was to future proof the organization by growing young talent into future mid to high level talent. The key is not as much training them to be high level developers but to train them on the underlying business.
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Big Tech just quietly repriced the value of a college degree to near zero.
The Magnificent Seven (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, Tesla) went from new grads making up over 50% of new hires pre-pandemic to 25% in 2023 to 7% today. Entry-level positions across all of tech saw a 73% decrease in hiring rates in the past year alone, per Ravio’s data. This isn’t a cycle. This is a structural elimination of the junior role.
The reasoning is cold but defensible. 37% of managers say they’d rather use AI than hire a new grad. 89% actively avoid hiring recent graduates. Lack of real-world experience (60%), poor teamwork (55%), high training costs (53%). When a Cursor subscription costs $20/month and a junior dev costs $120K loaded with 6 months of ramp time before they’re net-positive, the math stops working.
Here’s what actually changed. Pre-pandemic, junior hires were cheap labor that eventually became mid-level talent. The training cost was the price of the pipeline. But AI tools collapsed the productivity gap between a senior engineer with Copilot and a team of three juniors. One senior dev augmented by AI now ships what used to require a senior plus two juniors doing the scaffolding work. The junior role wasn’t eliminated by malice. It was eliminated by margin pressure.
Computer science grads now have a 6.1% unemployment rate, on par with fine arts graduates. 52% of college grads work jobs that don’t require a degree. Unemployment for 20-to-24-year-olds hit 8.3%, more than double the rate for workers 25-54.
The university system is still selling a $200K product optimized for a hiring pipeline that no longer exists. Four years of coursework preparing students for entry-level roles that companies have decided they don’t need to fill.
This 7% isn’t a temporary dip. Every CS program still telling freshmen “learn to code and Big Tech will hire you” is selling a map to a city that moved.
First Squawk@FirstSquawk
NEW GRADUATES NOW ACCOUNT FOR JUST 7% OF NEW HIRES AT BIG TECH, DOWN FROM 25% IN 2023 AND OVER 50% PRE-PANDEMIC, PER FORBES.
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@MikeBales Or a universal color code.
Yellow-body was
Blue-shampoo
White-conditioner
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The soc media hearings are interesting. It seems so obvious that facebook/meta etc would eventually be subject to legal action analogous to the tobacco industry. In scope it’s probably magnitudes more harmful not just to individuals but also to societies, as tobacco ever was.
This seemed obvious to me a decade+ ago, probably beginning with Obama presidency and then amplifying to whole new levels with Trump. When I saw references to Hitler, Nazi, Racist, Fascist just grow into the common lexicon, it seemed obvious that we had crossed a rubicon.
The legal process will probably take as long as it did for Tobacco. Ungodly $s at play and it’s so intertwined with politics now.
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NYC taxes explained for people who don't pay attention:
Property tax. Income tax. Sales tax. Unincorporated business tax. Commercial rent tax. Hotel tax. Mortgage recording tax. Mansion tax. Utility tax. Congestion pricing. Twenty-plus taxes.
And the mayor wants more.
Let me show you what that actually feels like.
You're 26. First real job. $85,000. You feel rich.
Then you see your paycheck.
Federal takes a cut. Fine. Then New York State takes 6%. Then New York City takes another 3.5%. Then there's a "metropolitan commuter mobility tax" you've never heard of.
Your $85K is now $54K before rent.
You grab coffee. 8.875% sales tax. You take an Uber to the airport. Congestion pricing just added $9. Your landlord raised rent, he's passing along a property tax increase you'll never see on a bill but you're paying every month.
You're not rich. You're not even comfortable. You're just surviving. But fine. It's New York. You chose this.
Now here's the part nobody talks about.
In 2000, NYC's budget was $40 billion for 8 million people. That's about $5,000 per person.
Today it's $121 billion for 8.5 million people. $14,244 per person.
Population grew 6%. Inflation was 82%. Spending per person nearly tripled.
So things must be three times better, right?
In 2017, 51% of New Yorkers rated quality of life as good. Today it's 34%.
Only 12% think the city spends money wisely. Only 22% feel safe on the subway at night. Felony assaults hit a 24-year high.
They spend $31,000 per student on education. Less than half kids can read at grade level.
They tripled the spending. Everything got worse.
Where'd the money go?
Pensions up 115%. Outsourced contracts up $7 billion. A brand new $5 billion asylum seeker expense that didn't exist three years ago. Social services doubled. 302,000 city employees. Debt ballooning.
And the new mayor doesn't look at this and say "we need to spend better."
He says "we need to tax more."
A 2% income tax hike that would push the combined state and city rate to 16.8% -> the highest in the entire country. Tax increases that impact everyone.
His supporters chant "tax the rich" at rallies. The top 1% already pay 40% of the city's income tax. And they're leaving anyway. NYC's share of the nation's millionaires dropped from 7% to 4%. They have accountants. They have Florida.
You know who can't leave?
Your uncle with the restaurant. Your parents in that house. You, watching your paycheck disappear into twenty taxes before you can save a dollar.
You need to make $312,000 in New York to live the same lifestyle as someone making $125,000 in Houston.
Houston spends $2,850 per person. No state income tax. No city income tax. Population growing.
NYC spends five times more. Worse results.
NYC is a Netflix subscription that keeps raising the price while the product gets worse.
And you can't cancel.
$40 billion wasn't enough. $60 billion wasn't enough. $80 billion. $100 billion. Now $121 billion.
It will never be enough. Because the problem was never revenue.
There is enough money. There has always been enough money.
They don't need more of yours. They need to do better with what they already take.
I hope you understand what's at stake.

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