nonsense king 👑

@PollTracker2024 not that it matters but you reversed the voter enthusiasm crosstab

Big Data Poll | 5/15 US House 2026 | Kentucky’s 4th congressional district Republican primary crosstabs 🟩Green: Massie 🟪Purple: Gallrein Enthusiastic to vote? 🟩Extreme: Massie +2 🟩Very: Massie +12 🟪Moderately: Gallrein +22 🟪Not at all enthusiastic: Gallrein +32 --- 🟩Overall: Massie +1 🟩No religion: Massie +42 🟪Evangelicals: Gallrein +19 🟩Jewish: Massie +9 🟪Muslim: Gallrein +22 🟩No college: Massie +42 🟩College: Massie +22 White: Tied 🟩Black: Massie +29 🟩Men: Massie +10 🟪Women: Gallrein +10 🟩Gen Z: Massie +63 🟩Millenials: Massie +37 🟩Gen X: Massie +6 🟪Boomer/Silent: Gallrein +24

@PredMTrader taiwan? the Chinese province?

I am not a geopolitical expert but sources tell me this is a bad word to say in China

per the Kalshi contract, interdimensional beings only count if they are also from another planet

@GaetenD @atrupar

@atrupar My primary voting criteria in 2028 will be to pick a president who knows how percentages work.

Trump: "Grocery prices are way down, used car prices are way down. Look at eggs. Eggs are down by four, even five times."

@GaetenD @migold house was supposed to recess this week instead but they changed the schedule a few weeks ago

@GaetenD @migold no house is also

fwiw - the House is set to leave on Thursday. if they do not address DHS funding before they go, the shutdown could last through May 12 when they return. that would be 87 days.

@DjsokeSpeaking maybe, but aren't cornyn's best demographics high turnout (older and more educated)?

@DjsokeSpeaking doesn't cornyn's first round overperformance contradict that narrative

@burgessev politico already reported the dem counteroffer would come tomorrow morning

Spox for Thune says no counteroffer yet from Democrats on DHS funding

based

@Georgesantos flaky ass mf

Due to a opportunity I could not pass up and the conflict in schedule it created I will not be hosting the citizen Journalists bash this year but we will be back in 2027. Thank you for your understanding and thank you for the support.

@theduckguesses i did not enjoy getting rinsed by insiders on nick shirley and david ellison. i did enjoy bantering with george santos.

Really enjoyed the SOTU attendance market -- just wish I stuck to my guns as I thought George Santos was completely lying the whole time. Also calling Ketanji and Gorsuch not attending was a sweat until the very end.

2026 is proving to be even better than 2025 -- I reached 600k profit on Kalshi last month on the back of the Super Bowl and the State of the Union markets.

@GaetenD warsh nomination being pulled is probably more comparable. probably 100x+ more likely than shelton becoming fed chair but still <<1%

Which bet had a better chance of resolving Yes? 1. Judy Shelton becoming Fed Chair after Trump announced his pick as Kevin Warsh 2. Trump winning the presidency after the SC ruled against him in December 2020

@GaetenD @Kalshi

@Kalshi will the next bill that Trump signs into law be the SAVE America Act?

@financialjuice @grok how?

Iran's Larijani: A number of American soldiers have been taken prisoner.

@KevinKileyCA are you still a member of the Republican Party

Gerrymandering is a plague on democracy, one that Gavin Newsom has brought back to California. But there’s a way we can fight back and protect our democracy from his partisan games: by removing partisanship from the equation. Today, I filed for reelection as “No Party Preference.” This means I will not have a party affiliation on the ballot or as an officeholder. That’s how it already is with most offices in our state: mayors, city councilors, school board members, county supervisors, sheriffs, and DAs are all nonpartisan. As an elected representative, I’ve always seen my role as being an independent voice for our community, holding politicians in Sacramento and Washington accountable to serve my constituents. I answer to you, not party leaders. That’s the kind of representation I believe the newly-drawn Sixth District deserves. It is no secret I’ve been frustrated, at times disgusted, by the hyper-partisanship in Congress. In the last year it’s led to the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, a massive increase in healthcare costs, and of course, a pointless redistricting war. The epidemic of gerrymandering has spread from Texas to California to states all across the country. Both parties are complicit. If there is one thing Americans agree on, it is that political division has become a serious problem for our country. We need to find ways for politics to bring us together as Americans rather than tear us apart as partisans. That means, for example, finding pragmatic solutions to make life more affordable rather than each side blaming the other for why it isn’t. We are also living in a moment of dramatic transformation, where technological change could bring incredible opportunities along with unfamiliar risks and dislocations. The ordinary rituals of partisan politics are simply inadequate in these extraordinary times – are simply incapable of meeting this generational challenge. Our ability to work as one team, serving all Americans, is now more important than ever.