Average Dad Investing

625 posts

Average Dad Investing

Average Dad Investing

@notarichtrader

Mid 30s dad investing where I can and sharing my journey. Engineer by trade. Ex defense tech. Data analyst @ F500 tech.

Katılım Şubat 2026
78 Takip Edilen116 Takipçiler
Average Dad Investing
Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
Seems all the Mag7 earnings may just end up being net neutral…still have oil & war to deal with but market doesn’t seem to care as much about those anymore so IMO still very much in a bullish state. More ATH ahead? $SPY $QQQ
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Average Dad Investing
Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
$SPY some sell off but recovering pretty quickly. Looks fine overall so far 🤷‍♂️
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Average Dad Investing
Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
Don't really have a feeling one way or the other on Mag7 earnings today. If they do well w/ strong guidance, entire port pumps. If they miss and we get a 1-3% pullback, I have $$ waiting to add to names that I believe will go up long term. Win/win either way... $SPY $QQQ
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Average Dad Investing
Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
Probably the one corner of FinX that you dont want angry at you but $IREN looks awful chart-wise, right now. I own a bunch of it in multiple accounts but breaking below the 30W SMA & approaching the 200D SMA are not positions of strength. It's at the golden pocket level, which coincides with the 200D SMA. Need to see a strong bounce here, IMO.
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Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
100 followers! Small milestone but fun nonetheless. Just a regular dude rambling on the internet, thanks for following along!
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Average Dad Investing
Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
I fully expect earnings to be bullish overall but think there are other issues with oil + overextension, like I said…true gamble.
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Average Dad Investing
Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
I am gambling on some EOW SPY puts here. Do not recommend at all, it’s literally gambling
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Average Dad Investing
Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
I'm an Engineer by nature (and degree) and am always looking for optimizations in daily workflows. Thought I would share the TradingView setup that I look at 95% of the time - it's fairly simple & works great for my style of investing. 1 view, 2 panes. Left side is weekly, right side is daily. Weekly - focused on long term trends & a zoom out mindset: 30SMA (Weinstein's framework) in Purple Volume bars Mansfield RS line (tied to SPX) in Yellow Daily - focused on a shorter timeframe & usually used for entrys/drawing fibs/following reactions at key levels & MA's: 9EMA - Red 20EMA - Yellow 50EMA - Orange 150SMA - Pink 200SMA - Purple Volume bars RSI (I don't use this a ton but my OCD brain needs something there for now to fill the void). In one view on any ticker I'm watching, I can quickly see A) is the long term trend still in tact and is it a market leader / rising and B) what is the day to day doing in relation to the rest of the market / how are key levels reacting. Hope this helps someone out there, would love to see other views & what you find most useful in TV! $SPY $QQQ $RKLB $ONDS $NBIS $IREN $OUST $MRVL $MU $AAOI $LUNR $AMPX $LPTH
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Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
$ONDS really is struggling as of late. Getting really close to breaking below the 30W SMA again...
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Average Dad Investing@notarichtrader·
Added my 2nd X sub today with @Venu_7_ and can easily see why he has the following he does. Looking for one more really good account to sub to - please drop me your best below!
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Ren@Ren_aramb·
Excellent list by @ParadisLabs Out of all of this companies I’m invested in $SIVE, $IQE $NBIS, $LPK, $M7U, $ARM, $ASML. The one that I find more and more compelling over time is $NOK Nokia is trading at levels that still carry a telecom discount. The business in front of us today is something else entirely. Here’s why is is different this time: Nokia is no longer a telecom equipment story waiting for a 5G cycle. It’s an optical transport, coherent pluggables, and AI network infrastructure story with hyperscaler demand pulling it forward. 1.800G ZR and ZR+ coherent pluggables shipping, multiple design wins, scaled deployments live 2.AI and cloud business up 36%, optical business up 14% 3.Book-to-bill above 1 in both Optical and IP Networks 4.Infinera acquisition adds in-house photonic and DSP capability, vertical integration in fab and packaging 5.Optical product cycles compressed from 4 years to under 2, AI is changing the tempo not just the market size Compute improved 60,000x over 20 years. Networking improved 30x. AI traffic doesn’t stay inside one rack. It moves across clusters, across data centers, across regions. Nokia sits across every layer where that traffic travels. Q1 2026 just confirmed this: Optical Networks grew 20%. AI and Cloud net sales grew 49% and now account for 8% of group sales. Nokia booked €1B in AI and Cloud orders in a single quarter. Operating profit surged 54%, beating analyst consensus. Shares hit a 16-year high. Full year guidance for Optical and IP Networks raised to 18-20% growth. Management is straightforward about this: data centers are the number one growth target for the coming years. The re-rate is early if AI keeps raising the value of connectivity. I don’t hold any shares but when the time to trim some winners comes, I might buy some.
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs

Basket of 20 European stocks I like right now (and probably still will be in 2030): 1. $NBIS - everyone knows? Premier European neocloud w/ exposure to non-US sovereign AI demand. Imo, a mini US hyperscaler. 2. $RR (Rolls-Royce) - more than just sexy cars…nuclear propulsion + space tech support SMRs for AI power & orbital systems. Huge UK/European govt contracts. New management team is phenomenal. 3. $SIVE - @X’s favourite company rn? InP lasers into the SiPho qualification cycle. Their lasers are pretty crucial to companies like $MRVL, & therefore to hyperscalers downstream. 4. $BESI - hybrid bonding qualified at $TSM, Samsung & $INTC for HBM4 and 3D logic. Hyperscaler orders + optical transceiver tailwinds = outsized European semi-equipment leverage. 5. $ASML - GOATed European company of the last decade? EUV lithography monopoly - required for every advanced AI logic chip manufactured worldwide…even though $TSM aren’t buying their new machines rn. 6. $ARM - their CPU IP licensing model powers the most efficient AI inference at the edge & in data centers. 7. $NOK - I’m loving the Nokia renaissance atm. Re-rating as a cloud infra leader w/ ~3x order growth from hyperscalers for AI networking. EU industrial & defense contracts compound through the decade. 8. $AIXA - their MOCVD equipment dominates compound-semis production for 800G & 1.6T optical transceivers + photonics. 9. $SPOT - share price is kinda in the gutter rn, but wow, what a company. No-one’s able to overcome Spotify, especially as they’ll probably win on the AI-Audio front. 10. $IQE - one of my favourites. Their epitaxial wafers are the key material for photonics & VCSEL lasers. InP/GaAs leadership makes them a critical enabler in the AI supercycle. $MTSI investment solidifies them for the future. 11. $SMHN (SUSS MicroTec) - their imprint lithography & bonders enable next-gen AI packaging + photonics. Sole-source temporary bonders for CoWoS-L; capacity-constrained through 2027 against $TSM advanced packaging build-out. 12. $RPI (Raspberry Pi) - cos it tastes great. But no, they do cheap single-board computers & semis power edge-AI + robotics prototyping. AI-agent demand is/will drive them. Recent secondary offering anchored by $ARM turns them into a “legit” company for the future. 13. $IFX (Infineon) - their power management semis & analog chips are in every AI server, EV and industrial robot. Their AI power segment forecasted to grow >25% annually through 2030. 14. $M7U (Nynomic) - LayTec subsidiary sits at a crucial chokepoint in InP/GaN MOCVD via $AIXA ramp. Basically a European chokepoint in yield optimization. 15. $ABBN (ABB) - ABB’s electrification, robotics, and motion portfolio directly benefits from AI-driven factory automation and humanoid deployment. Factory automation is already here…and maybe we’ll all have a humanoid bestie at some point in the future? 16. $SOI (Soitec) - their SOI & SmartSiC substrates are the enabling material for power-efficient AI chips and photonics. AI-driven demand for 300mm SOI capacity has already made it Europe’s top-performing large-cap stock of 2026 w/ multi-year ramps locked in. 17. $SU (Schneider Electric) - cleanest direct beneficiary of $2T+ global data center capex through 2030; switchgear/UPS backlog at record. Power management and liquid-cooling infrastructure are the rack-scale backbone for European AI data centers. Grid-modernization + hyperscaler co-location deals compound multi-decade visibility. 18. $LPK - yes, despite my “bear thesis” lol. Glass substrates are a huge bottleneck due to shortages. Their laser systems allow for structuring of PCBs and advanced packaging for AI servers and optical interconnects. 19. $STM - their analog, power and microcontroller leadership powers edge-AI inference in humanoids, autos, and industrial IoT; strengthening pricing and diversified end-markets position it as Europe’s most resilient AI-chip winner. 20. $SMT (Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust) - ok, this one’s cheating a little lol. They’re a FTSE100 listed Trust (kinda like an ETF) with holdings in companies like $TSM, SpaceX, $NVDA, and $META. A lot of these are AI/tech focussed = more fun. Lots of smaller MC names I've left off just due to the uncertainty. Europe has a ton of huge names that won't see any growth over the next decade. In sectors like banking, manufacturing, automotives, pharmaceuticals.....very boring investments.

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