MarketWisdombyNSFidai

23K posts

MarketWisdombyNSFidai banner
MarketWisdombyNSFidai

MarketWisdombyNSFidai

@nsfidai

Trainer/Mentor - Passionate Technical Analyst I don't buy every stock I like. I invest, but don't trade much. NO Advisory / NO PMS. #NoCapitalNoCapitalMarkets

Mumbai, INDIA Katılım Ocak 2010
311 Takip Edilen46.5K Takipçiler
MarketWisdombyNSFidai
MarketWisdombyNSFidai@nsfidai·
One bad day.. isn't a bad life! Life is full of problems, the more problems that come your way, the more you are destined to rise. It's all about facing those problems, just like in a video game, to progress; you need to cross the levels. As you progress, you face even bigger obstacles.. and your job is to tackle them one by one. The way forward & upward is never easy, but I can assure you it will be worth it. Walk or climb, slow or fast; but make sure not to stop. Stopping means you are either satisfied or given up. Giving up, should never be a choice, rather when you abandon a particular thing or position, it should be for much better. Keep working on yourself, keep walking towards your goal. #weekendmotivation #weekend #Motivation #LifeLessons #LifeIsBeautiful #problems #Challenges #nevergiveup #keepwalking #BeStrong #problemsarelife
English
1
0
11
827
BHARAT
BHARAT@SyedJN5·
@nsfidai Illiquid Stocks he wants to Exit?
English
1
0
1
129
MarketWisdombyNSFidai
MarketWisdombyNSFidai@nsfidai·
An Interesting Stock Chart that caught my attention... Consolidating between 110 - 180 and making a good base over the period of 12 - 13 months. Flag pattern. Amazing strength in most volatile market conditions of past few weeks. Only area of concern is, it has very low volumes. Even Fundamentals are quite good... Markolines Pavement Technolgies Limited Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Navi Mumbai, Markolines Pavement Technologies Ltd. (MPTL) is India's largest and only listed pure-play Highway Operations & Maintenance (O&M) specialist. The company has executed maintenance across 5,140+ lane-km of national highways, state highways, and expressways across India. Revenue Extrapolation (Expected Growth) : Order-to-Revenue Translation Model Base Case Assumptions: The unexecuted order book of ₹400 Cr is assumed to be executed over 15–18 months, consistent with the company's observed execution velocity of ₹70–95 Cr per quarter. The ₹600 Cr pipeline converts at a 60–70% win rate over 18–24 months, supported by repeat client relationships and government procurement momentum. FY26E — ₹320–340 Cr Revenue, ₹22–24 Cr PAT: Nine-month actuals of ₹243.34 Cr already confirm +31% YoY growth trajectory. Q4FY26 is expected to contribute ₹80–95 Cr based on order book depth and the historically strong Q4 construction season. PAT margin should recover to 11.5–12% in Q4 as higher-value projects complete, yielding FY26E PAT of ₹22–24 Cr vs ₹19.9 Cr in FY25 (+10–20%). FY27E — ₹400–430 Cr Revenue, ₹30–34 Cr PAT The ₹100 Cr Trans Metalite annuity contract begins full-year contribution (~₹20 Cr/year). Pipeline wins of ₹350–400 Cr expected to convert by Q1–Q2FY27. Margin improvement to 12.5–13.5% as large-format projects increase share of revenue. FY27E EPS estimate of ₹14–15 implies a forward P/E of ~10.5–11× at CMP ₹158 — deeply undemanding for a 25%+ growth company. FY28E — ₹500–560 Cr Revenue, ₹42–48 Cr PAT. Management's stated target of 100% revenue growth in 3 years from FY25 implies ₹560 Cr. Tunneling and concrete road contracts (higher ticket size, 15%+ margins) are expected to contribute ₹80–100 Cr. The pending merger of Markolines Infra Ltd. (subject to BSE/NSE approval) would add ₹40–60 Cr of consolidated revenue. At 13.5–14% OPM, FY28E PAT could reach ₹44–48 Cr, implying an EPS of ₹20+ and a current P/E of ~8×. Risk Factors: Debtors at 215 Days — Working Capital Crisis Risk [HIGH] Government and NHAI clients are notoriously slow payers. Debtors days have bloated from ~140 to 215 days over three years, while working capital days surged from 102 to 154 days. MPTL is effectively financing government agencies for 7 months at a time. This forces higher short-term borrowing, eroding PAT. If collections deteriorate further or a major client disputes a bill, cash flow could be severely constrained. This is the single most important risk to monitor. #NoCapitalNoCapitalMarkets #StockMarkets #StockMarketsIndia #Markolines Disclaimer: Not a recommendation to buy or sell, do your own research and analysis.
MarketWisdombyNSFidai tweet mediaMarketWisdombyNSFidai tweet mediaMarketWisdombyNSFidai tweet media
English
1
5
37
5.4K
MarketWisdombyNSFidai
MarketWisdombyNSFidai@nsfidai·
🫟🫟 🫟🫟🫟🫟🫟🫟🫟🫟🫟🫟🫟 उन लोगोंको सबसे पहले होली की शुभकामनाएँ, जिन्होंने आज तक रंग नहीं बदला! HAPPY HOLI 🦚🦚🦚
MarketWisdombyNSFidai tweet media
GIF
हिन्दी
0
1
8
1.1K
ajay patel
ajay patel@ajaycan·
Nifty IT is getting crushed. Coforge -22% LTIM -19% Infosys -19% Persistent -18% Mphasis -16% Tech Mahindra -16% TCS -16% Wipro -15% HCL Tech -15% OFSS -14% This is not stock-specific weakness. This is sector-wide repricing. What this usually signals: Global demand slowdown fears US recession pricing Margin compression concerns USD move impacting earnings expectations Institutional de-risking Remember: Indian IT is heavily dependent on US enterprise spending. If US liquidity tightens and yields rise, discretionary tech budgets get cut first. Now zoom out: US volatility high Silver exploding China metals ripping Indian IT collapsing This smells like cross-asset regime shift, not random rotation. When defensive assets bid and growth proxies sell off together, liquidity is being repriced globally. Watch: USD index US 10Y yield Nasdaq FII flows Rupee If IT continues to underperform while hard assets outperform, the market is telling you capital is moving from growth duration to tangible scarcity. Transitions rarely ring a bell. They just start bleeding in one corner first.
Bengaluru South, India 🇮🇳 English
1
0
2
642
MarketWisdombyNSFidai
MarketWisdombyNSFidai@nsfidai·
Most Indian IT stocks are trading below Major Monthly Moving Averages... haven't traded below those averages since past 6 years. It's not presenting a great picture. It could mean that long term tops are in place; upsides are going to face very strong resistances. Tread with extreme caution. Disclaimer: not a recommendation to buy or sell, do your own research and analysis.
MarketWisdombyNSFidai@nsfidai

Y2K ... Year 2000 is it BACK AGAIN ..in the play? We Indians missed the AI /Semiconductor bus, completely. Right now, the Y2K type meltdown is happening in the US Markets. S&P is down just 2% from ATH but most technology (read SaaS stocks are down 30% - 50% or even more. A few notable & marquee names.. Microsoft $MSFT: -30 Synopsys $SNPS: -36 Palo Alto Networks $PANW: -36 CrowdStrike $CRWD: -38 Palantir $PLTR: -38 AppLovin $APP: -50 Salesforce $CRM: -52 Intuit $INTU: -57 ServiceNow $NOW: -59 Oracle $ORCL: -60 Adobe $ADBE: -65 Should we Indians thank our stars ... not so easily, our IT sector is caught in the middle of the storm. Our IT Heavyweights too have lost big and continue to do even more in tandem with their US brethren, though they never really enjoyed the fun. These numbers below are since January.. from their peaks they too are down more than 35 to 50%... and maybe today's fall will add more depth. It's like ... Khaya Piya kuch nahi glass phoda.. moment. Now, read the earlier post, go check the charts and then decide .. what to do with the IT pack? Disclaimer: Not a recommendation to buy or sell, do your own research and analysis. #NoCapitalNoCapitalMarkets #ITstocks #TechnologyStocks #SaaS #Stocks #Stockmarkets #SPY #IndiaEquityNetwork

English
2
1
47
19.5K