Oaky

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Oaky

Oaky

@oakycapital

just trying to escape the wage cage

New York, NY Katılım Mayıs 2025
1.3K Takip Edilen93 Takipçiler
SuspendedCap
SuspendedCap@ContrarianCurse·
The long Ant / short OAI is getting unwound fast
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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@al_xdpg Appreciate your analysis man thanks
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Alan Cohen
Alan Cohen@al_xdpg·
$QQQ We have had a 13 day rally that most won't see again in a lifetime (probably). Forgetting TACO & geopolitics when to look for a bottom was pretty clear. Now where do we go? That 1.618% Fib Ext looks pretty good to me, 5% higher. Maybe that upper chanel. But no straigt line.
Alan Cohen tweet media
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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@TheStalwart Right as twitter was as bearish as I’ve ever seen it
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
Incredible *S&P 500 RISES 0.5% TO HIT FIRST RECORD SINCE JANUARY
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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@ecommerceshares Taste is apparently in short supply, it seems! But I agree
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Wasteland Capital
Wasteland Capital@ecommerceshares·
@oakycapital Yes, and I just simply don’t understand why the others can’t get it right. It’s literally the technically easiest part. You just need some taste and human understanding.
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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@ecommerceshares With Claude Code / CoWork they really nailed UI/UX better than anyone else and have just been running with it ever since
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Craig Lawrence
Craig Lawrence@clawrence·
@SnazzyLabs When did we decide $30+ was ok to pay for some vegetables and a grilled chicken breast.
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Quinn Nelson
Quinn Nelson@SnazzyLabs·
would you like to add protein to your $21 salad for just $9 more
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
Stocks went green on the year
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Conor Sen
Conor Sen@conorsen·
On Hyperliquid the S&P 500 is down 50 handles on no deal:
Conor Sen tweet media
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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@ChrisKartalia @bubbleboi I tend to agree but I think the issue is, the threat will always be there. And it will keep a lot of otherwise buyers on the sidelines an keep a lid on the stocks
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Chris Kartalia
Chris Kartalia@unterseegunther·
@bubbleboi How exactly does Anthropic destroy Intuit, for example? The moat is huge. Or Salesforce, you think Fortune 500 companies will shift to something vibe coded to save money? And, all these companies will use AI to make their offering better… I just don’t get the panic
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bubble boi
bubble boi@bubbleboi·
There probably is some alpha in SaaS left but it’s not going to be in these big names. The SaaS days are over. Only real moat left is data, distribution, & network effects it’s why we see Meta & Google are thriving. Amazon & Microsoft not as much but will probably turn around once the capex tapers off.
Jeff Farley@TradeInTheZone

In all my years I can't remember where 1 company - Anthropic- has destroyed so much market cap. Software death spirals

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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@TheStalwart Miamified is a good adjective
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
It’s so sad what happened to crypto twitter. Guys like Adam Back et al are just so much cooler than than the Miamified Web3 type who took over like 5 years ago.
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Paul Yacoubian
Paul Yacoubian@PaulYacoubian·
i know dozens of dudes who locked in for last 5-7yrs who have given up friendships to build shit that no one gives a fuck about 😭
Startup Archive@StartupArchive_

Brian Armstrong explains how he built Coinbase on nights and weekends while working at Airbnb Brian first advises those who are currently employed to not build your project on company hours or on your company laptop: “If you build it on company time or on the company hardware, the company probably owns the IP.” Then he describes his schedule for working on Coinbase while still working full-time at Airbnb. “I would often work [at Airbnb] until 7pm. I’d come home, eat dinner, and then I would work from 8pm to midnight. I would do that maybe 3-4 days a week on weekdays. And then on the weekend I’d work Sunday afternoon for 7-8 hours.” Brian did this consistently for about a year and a half until Coinbase was far enough along for him to get seed funding from Y Combinator. “It sucked. I mean I was tired after the full day of work [at Airbnb]. But this is where determination comes in… At that moment in time, I was in my late 20s, and I was like, ‘I really want to try to build something important in the world.’” When asked how he maintained friendships during this time, Brian replies: “I was pretty intense about it. I would say I sacrificed friendships for it. It’s not like I was just never responding to people, but I’ve seen this happen to various people. They get to a certain point in their life. Sometimes they turn a certain age where they thought they would have more done by then or maybe someone in their family passes away and they’re like, Oh my god, time is finite. It’s precious. And something happens where they’re like, ‘I’m going to get this done, no matter the cost.’” Brian tells those out there who might be in a similar situation: “Go hard at it. Finish your book. Launch your thing. Just start doing stuff - and even if you don’t know what to do, just do anything, because action will produce information and it’ll help you get to the right thing.” Video source: @StevenBartlett (2022)

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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@DragonFieldInvt @Chartfest1 Tbf it’s been going down all year before the war started. Why shouldn’t it keep going
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Dragon Field
Dragon Field@DragonFieldInvt·
@Chartfest1 Seems low for such a strong rally. Also, I am puzzled by $IGV's refusal to join the party.
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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@jbulltard1 You’ve been posting for weeks about how “he can’t taco this time”, what do you mean “you knew he would”?
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jbulltard
jbulltard@jbulltard1·
This guy is hilarious. The golden age of the Middle East includes the regime who caused all the terror remaining in power. We got nothing material done. We set them back a few years. The citizens of Iran are still fukt. He pivoted to save stocks, you knew he would.
jbulltard tweet media
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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@jbulltard1 Thoughts on if this reclaim of 21 and 200 ema will hold?
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jbulltard
jbulltard@jbulltard1·
All praise to Allah we just pumped the market on that headline
jbulltard tweet media
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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@AdamMancini4 This will be the most hated rally in a long time if it continues. The level of bearishness on twitter has been extreme over the last few weeks
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Last night, we got the standard Sunday long trigger in #ES_F, given live 6:15PM and in Friday's newsletter. Gap down, into Failed Breakdown. I posted 6592 recovery sees 6604, 6616, 6624. All hit Plan today: Just ride runner. 6624, 6604=supports. 6638, 6646, 6670 bonus. Sell<6592
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Its the typical Sunday gap down in #ES_F and everyone knows the drill. 6592 remains key support which was gapped below at the open. Bulls need to backtest it now and recover to see 6604, 6616, 6624+ If the dip continues, 6553, then 6525-30 are next supports down from here

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Oaky
Oaky@oakycapital·
@emollick It’s an existential problem for this site (and all socials I guess). So far it seems like they are losing the battle.
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Ethan Mollick
Ethan Mollick@emollick·
The replies here are terrible meaning-shaped slop. Don’t bother me reading them (sorry, couple of good human commenters)
Ethan Mollick tweet media
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Ethan Mollick
Ethan Mollick@emollick·
Big deal paper here: field experiment on 515 startups, half shown case studies of how startups are successfully using AI. Those firms used AI 44% more, had 1.9x higher revenue, needed 39% less capital: 1) AI accelerates businesses 2) The challenge is understanding how to use it
Ethan Mollick tweet mediaEthan Mollick tweet media
Hyunjin Kim@hyunjinvkim

🚨 Excited to share a new working paper! 🚨 AI can improve individual tasks. But when does it improve firm performance? Our paper proposes one key friction firms face: the "mapping problem" -- discovering where and how AI creates value in a firm's production process. 🧵1/

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Iain Dunning
Iain Dunning@iaindunning·
@TheStalwart Broadway above W84th or so... So much commerical sq ft and I just have no idea what could plausibly fill it, at any plausible price. We have so much coffee, nail/hair salons, restaurants, groceries already... "Stuff" is online... What demand is not met?
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