MOCHA

121 posts

MOCHA

MOCHA

@onlyforchengren

AMD 2026 TARGET 320~350 AMD TO THE MOOOOON

Katılım Kasım 2021
67 Takip Edilen8 Takipçiler
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TBC
TBC@TBC_on_X·
The 50 Shades of JP Morgan teaser looks so wild...
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Sean
Sean@Sean14978416·
Edgewater with some channel checks on $INTC, $AVGO, $NVDA, $QCOM, etc. "CPUs becoming larger bottleneck than DRAM in server, partially due to some customers trimming content (shift 64GB from 128GB)."
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Edward Lawrence
Edward Lawrence@EdwardLawrence·
Walking out of his last news conference as Fed Chairman Jay Powell says. “Thank you very much, everyone. I won't see you next time.” #FederalReserve #Powell
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高级分析师
高级分析师@techeconomyana·
微软云毛利64%,有所下滑。 财报电话会上CFO点名说是因为GitHub Copilot被人薅秃了。 还记得轮子哥 @geniusvczh 推荐的一个请求干一个小时,39套餐一个月用掉1000美元额度。
The Transcript@TheTranscript_

$MSFT CFO: "Microsoft cloud gross margin %ge should be roughly 64%, down YoY driven by continued investments in AI and increased GitHub, co-pilot usage. Just this week, we announced a business model transition in GitHub co-pilot that will align pricing with usage and value."

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✧ 𝕀𝔸𝕄𝔸𝕀 ✧
看了很多博主对谷歌的分析,没到点子上,这个推文才是谷歌财报后胜出的真正原因,TPU 8i 在 Agent Workflow 上具有了明显优势,而英伟达 GPU 目前在需要频繁切换上下文的 Agent 任务上只有 30-40%,因为 GPU 诞生之初就是为了高吞吐量适合干类似训练这样的重活。 Agent Workflow 的特性有循环、分支、工具调用、状态管理、多代理协作,所以需要大量 CPU 辅助 GPU,提高利用率,尤其是在数据调度、orchestration 和 pre/post-processing 环节。 不过我觉得还是要看下半年,Rubin 和 TPU 8i 都能上手测评的时候,看看 head-to-head agent 的基准测试才能下定论。
Y Combinator@ycombinator

Inference Chips for Agent Workflows @sdianahu Most AI chips are designed for "prompt in, response out." Agents don't work that way. They loop, branch, and hold context across dozens of steps, and current GPUs hit 30–40% utilization as a result. That gap is where purpose-built silicon wins.

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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
Citing UBS's AMD earnings preview: - The market is clearly aware that INTC's guidance reads very favorably for AMD. - This is particularly true for server CPU, given commentary implying that INTC is undershipping the market by roughly 20%. - The key question here is AMD's supply, but our field work throughout the quarter indicated that supply of INTC parts has been far more constrained than that of AMD parts. - We therefore see a very favorable setup for AMD and expect revenue to be guided up at least $1B Q/Q to the low $11B range (vs. Street consensus of ~$10.4B). - Intel's CY2026 outlook implies its Data Center & AI segment growing ~40% Y/Y, and we now see AMD server CPU growing as much as 80% this year, with units up ~40–45% and pricing up around 20%. - From a competitive standpoint, our checks remain constructive. AMD's CPU portfolio continues to compare favorably with Intel's offerings, and the lack of meaningful timeline updates for Diamond Rapids and Coral Rapids reinforces our view that AMD should maintain a competitive advantage across the x86 ecosystem through C2026. $INTC $AMD
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MOCHA@onlyforchengren·
@baoshu88 必须惩罚,所有盈利收归国有, 那几个创始人送朝鲜挖矿去。
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包叔
包叔@baoshu88·
Manus的交易已经事实性完成,100多名员工都已搬到Meta新加坡办公室里办公,代码也已经整合到Meta里了,原股东也收到了投资回报。如果交易撤销,相当于团队和代码免费送给Meta了。Manus创始团队和股东成了最大输家。 这次事件是对过去几年技术出海模式的一票否决,影响最大的是过去几年投资中国高科技公司的海外投资机构,恐怕之后的战略投资都要重估。企业可以出海,但是必须深深扎根于中国。从AI到新能源,严防技术外流是未来中国政策的主旋律。
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浅草不知秋~姚远
浅草不知秋~姚远@qiancaobuzhiqiu·
网飞的新剧《地狱占星师》,这个片段很棒啊。 视频切片来源:你颜。
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MOCHA@onlyforchengren·
@TJ_Research 他不是空NVDA,赔了不少了
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投资TALK君
投资TALK君@TJ_Research·
大空头Michael Burry 做多MSFT ADBE PYPL 同时做空PLTR SOX QQQ 这是非常精准的配置 微软和PLTR是IGV权重股,通常走势一致。但我同意在软件里要挑个股而不是单纯做多或者做空软件板块。 做空芯片和科技股,短期也许有收获,中期我不觉得他能赢,因为估值并不贵,除非有个啥黑天鹅。4月份没平PLTR说明他也不做短期。
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Cheddar Flow
Cheddar Flow@CheddarFlow·
Someone is adding MILLIONS worth of $SPY & $GLD calls now...
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对冲积鲸Reason
对冲积鲸Reason@chenreason·
人的直觉真的很难相信指数增长。 Anthropic 在 2025 年提交给美国政府的材料中就写了:到 2027 年,训练单个 frontier AI 模型,可能就需要大约 2GW 的联网算力集群;到 2028 年,美国光是 frontier AI 训练总需求就可能达到 20–25GW,而训练加推理合计至少需要 50GW 级别的电力基础设施。
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Ally
Ally@treasureh8nter·
Whilst KeyBanc are very bullish on $AMD, they have turned slightly bearish on $NVDA 😱😱😱 According to KeyBanc, ramp of Nvidia’s latest Rubin GPUs are delayed due to SK Hynix HBM4 qualification issues and Rubin shipments have now declined from 2m to 1.5m!!!! 👀 Because of this delay, ODM production has also now been shifted from June to September. ☝️☝️☝️ The 2025 rumours were right!!! Rubin really was delayed!!!! They now expect 60k NVL72 racks and 6k Vera Rubin racks this year ☝️ #AI
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Jukan@jukan05

Interesting. Rubin shipments in 2026 reduced from 2M to 1.5M units due to HBM4 qualification issues.

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MOCHA
MOCHA@onlyforchengren·
Iran produces about 3.2M bpd. The Saudi/UAE: They have 4.5M bpd in spare capacity. Eliminate Iran, and open the Strait of Hormuz
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