Philippe Mongrain

588 posts

Philippe Mongrain

@p_mongrain

Chercheur postdoctoral / Postdoctoral researcher @m2p_be @UAntwerpen | @CLESSN_UL | Public opinion, Voting behaviour, Election forecasting 🗳 | PhD, @UMontreal

Katılım Ocak 2020

538 Takip Edilen525 Takipçiler

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Philippe Mongrain@p_mongrain·4 Şub

🚨 New publication with @NFrchet, @BrianTh18524140, and @yannickdufresne! I am happy to share that our new paper on citizen forecasting and the wisdom of crowds is out in @CJPS_RCSP! 🇨🇦 🗳 @pol4casting @m2p_be @Sciencepo_UdeM @pol_ulaval Check it out 👇 doi.org/10.1017/S00084…

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Brian Thompson@BrianTh18524140·27 Oca

I am pleased to announce that our article on citizen forecasting in Central America has been published in @RevistaLOP. A big thank you to my co-author @p_mongrain and my supervisor @yannickdufresne. doi.org/10.14201/rlop.…

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Semih Çakır@mascakir·19 Kas

Do policy preferences of voters and non-voters differ in European democracies? My new article in @EJPRjournal finds: Yes, sometimes, but this is not the norm. Let's break it down. 🧵 1/10

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EJPR journal@EJPRjournal·12 Ağu

🌅📙 64.3 As you wish? 🧞‍♀️ Looking at 13 countries @p_mongrain, @NinoJunius & @NathalieBrack ask who calls the shots, with most citizens preferring delegate-style reps who follow #PublicOpinion. But how do MP's see themselves? #Democracy 🔗ow.ly/59P650WwKoM

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SciencePo_ulaval@pol_ulaval·1 May

[ À LIRE ] Avec Éric Bélanger, @p_mongrain et @thomasgareau, la professeure Valérie-Anne Mahéo vient de publier l’article «A Party that Went Viral? The Drivers of Support for the Parti conservateur du Québec in the 2022 Election» dans la @CJPS_RCSP. fss.ulaval.ca/actualites/nou…

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Mary Stegmaier@MaryStegmaier·29 Nis

Delighted to see the new issue! Thanks to my co-guest editor @p_mongrain & all the contributors for their forecasts.

Cambridge University Press - Politics@CUP_PoliSci

NEW ISSUE from @ps_polisci - PS: Political Science & Politics - Forecasting the 2024 US Election - Volume 58 - Issue 2 - April 2025 - cup.org/42yjlz1 @APSAtweets

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Cambridge University Press - Politics@CUP_PoliSci·28 Nis

#OpenAccess from @CJPS_RCSP - A Party that Went Viral? The Drivers of Support for the Parti Conservateur du Québec in the 2022 Election - cup.org/3EKltdH - Éric Bélanger, @p_mongrain, @thomasgareau & Valérie-Anne Mahéo #FirstView

Cambridge University Press - Politics tweet media

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Cambridge University Press - Politics@CUP_PoliSci·28 Nis

NEW ISSUE from @ps_polisci - PS: Political Science & Politics - Forecasting the 2024 US Election - Volume 58 - Issue 2 - April 2025 - cup.org/42yjlz1 @APSAtweets

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Cambridge University Press - Politics@CUP_PoliSci·4 Şub

#OpenAccess from @CJPS_RCSP - Working the Crowd: Citizen Forecasting, Sophistication and Diversity in Canadian Federal and Provincial Elections - cup.org/4aMdVTx - @p_mongrain, @NFrchet, Brian Thompson Collart & @yannickdufresne #FirstView

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Peter K. Enns@pete_enns·30 Kas

Cornell Professor Led Presidential Election Forecast That Correctly Predicted Results for All 50 States cornellsun.com/2024/11/26/cor…

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Mary Stegmaier@MaryStegmaier·26 Kas

Today @p_mongrain & I presented an analysis of the @ps_polisci 2024 US election forecasts @NuffieldCollege @UniofOxford. Thanks to @RayDuch & @RobertoCerina for organizing such a fantastic workshop!

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CÉRIUM@CERIUdeM·12 Kas

🗞️Kamala Harris a-t-elle perdu les élections américaines parce qu’elle est une femme? Avec les analyses de notre chercheuse @r_dassonneville. 24heures.ca/2024/11/12/kam…

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Michael Lewis-Beck@mlewisbeck·8 Kas

Please read. Learn about what political science can achieve.

Mary Stegmaier@MaryStegmaier

The Electoral College prediction map in our @ps_polisci Special Issue introduction published in mid-October looks just like the actual results. Election fundamentals & scientific approaches work! doi.org/10.1017/S10490…

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Philippe Mongrain@p_mongrain·8 Kas

@kamil_marc @MaryStegmaier Thank you @kamil_marc!

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Kamil Marcinkiewicz@kamil_marc·8 Kas

Congratulations to @MaryStegmaier & @p_mongrain on editing this amazing issue on forecasting and bringing together top scientists able to offer a clear, unbiased perspective in this extremely emotional campaign.

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Mary Stegmaier@MaryStegmaier·7 Kas

Philippe Mongrain@p_mongrain

We are obviously still waiting for the final results, but the average Electoral College forecast from state-level models in the @ps_polisci Special Issue on Forecasting the 2024 US Elections is looking quite accurate! 🇺🇲 🗳 @m2p_be @Sciencepo_UdeM @McGillPoliSci @MizzouPoliSci

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Peter K. Enns@pete_enns·6 Kas

My 2024 election forecast published in @ps_polisci @CUP_PoliSci with @JuliusLagodny, @jcolner99, and Anusha Kumar correctly forecasted 45/45 called states 100 days before the election using @verasight_data: bit.ly/40vsasH.

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J.-F. Daoust@jf_daoust·4 Kas

New pub in @n_nationalism: How attitudes towards independence reshaped 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 elections: A longitudinal analysis (1999–2021)🗳️ We quantify some massive changes in the role of independence for citizens' vote choice 👇👇 🔓onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/na… with @thomasgareau @PolStudiesAssoc

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Philippe Mongrain@p_mongrain·6 Kas

If you haven't already, check my intro with @MaryStegmaier and the contributions from a great group of forecasters 👇 doi.org/10.1017/S10490…

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Philippe Mongrain@p_mongrain·6 Kas

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SciencePo ULB@SciencePoULB·6 Kas

[OUT] 'Politicians’ Theories of Voting Behavior', new paper by @NathalieBrack and @jbpilet, researchers at SciencePo ULB (#Cevipol) in collaboration with Jack Lucas, @LiorSheffer, and other colleagues, in @apsrjournal cambridge.org/core/journals/…

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Keşfet

@RevistaLOP @yannickdufresne @EJPRjournal @NinoJunius @NathalieBrack @thomasgareau @CJPS_RCSP @ps_polisci