Paucazorla

291.9K posts

Paucazorla

Paucazorla

@paucazorla

Apostador desde 2006. Alma de periodista y de muchas otras cosas. Apuestas. Actualidad. Deporte. Política. TV. Eurovisión y demás frikezas. En ese orden. O no.

Katılım Kasım 2009
396 Takip Edilen12K Takipçiler
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
A todo esto, haced el favor de inscribiros como socios de @AEJAD_ESP. Son 10 malditos euros al año, por poder defender tus derechos de manera efectiva y organizada. No me puedo creer que no seamos ya miles. En un minuto ➡️ aejad.es/colabora/
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Tim B
Tim B@Reality_Tim·
@Panos_Zannettos Said it before but this style of data visualisation is so simple yet beautiful.
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
@Reality_Tim It's more like "oh, I have already voted and I don't wanna spend another 1/2€ voting again for this one". Most casual people just vote once or twice... though for sure it depends on the country and the cost of voting. At least in Spain is as I said haha
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Tim B
Tim B@Reality_Tim·
There are so many televoting magnets in the first part of the running order: Israel, Greece, Ukraine, Australia, Bulgaria and Moldova. There's got to be a good chance that plenty of people will have spunked all their 10 votes before Finland even takes to the stage #Eurovision
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
@simpasimpasimpa @RichB70771493 El hecho de que la pongan tercera a cantar cada año... la quieren dentro, pero no que gane... pero a la misma vez, eso es todo lo que hacen para evitarlo. Con lo cual algún año les saldrá mal y se tendrán que comer el marronazo que ellos mismos han provocado.
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
Finland only ace in the hole is that, somehow: *They match Australia in the jury. *If they don't match it, overcome that difference with the tvote. *Meanwhile, at the same time, no one with a better tv than them overcomes that difference with the jury. Possible. But 50% likely?
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
@TiagoCarva53227 We are literally trying to predict the future (with probabilities). And obviously we have to do it based on the facts that we can collect.
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
Finland, at 50% chance to win according to betting is third in a stadium full of hard-fans, behind Australia and Bulgaria and we can assume that in real life it will be behind Moldova, Israel and maybe Greece and Ukraine. #Eurovision
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Paucazorla retweetledi
Pablo O'Hana
Pablo O'Hana@PabloOHana·
My exclusive interview with Eurovision director Martin Green👇 He tells me: 💥Russia could return, even if the war in Ukraine is ongoing 💥No EBU discussion of a neutral Palestinian entry 💥No room for improvement in the way Israel debate was handled this year 💥Happy with every decision made this year 💥Invasion of another country is NOT grounds for exclusion from Eurovision
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
I was very skeptical (and I'm still a bit because its TV can flop in reality as I always thought) but we can't deny that Australia has being doing until now everything you would want to see on a very real contender. Unlike almost all the other favourites (FIN, GRE, FRA, DEN...).
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
Obviously we cannot take the audience poll as law (at all), but it's quite amazing that Australia has only decreased from a 16.5% in the semi (with 15) to a 15.5% in the final (with 25). #eurovision
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Tim B
Tim B@Reality_Tim·
@escbetting @euroepiphanies I’m more interested in YouTube views than this poll but it’s interesting nonetheless. Finland scoring 10% when Sweden had 20% last year 👀 #Eurovision
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
Tomorrow can be my best Eurovision ever or my worst Eurovision ever haha
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Paucazorla
Paucazorla@paucazorla·
We can also assume that Australia will win the jury over Finland (maybe not, but is the most likely assumption). If Finlands wins is not gonna be easy at all unless we bet a big surprise.
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