Philip Wallach

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Philip Wallach

Philip Wallach

@PhilipWallach

Senior Fellow, @AEI. Studying America's separation of powers. Formerly @RSI, @BrookingsInst. Author of Why Congress, https://t.co/NbK86BtcWv

Washington, DC Katılım Şubat 2011
668 Takip Edilen3.1K Takipçiler
Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
@MikeCrespin ChatGPT finds models that make predictions from oral arguments, but can't locate any mock-opinion generators yet.
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Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
First it's a joke, then an experiment people scoff at, then a "best practice" people shrug at, then a routine accepted, then a choice seen as self-evidently superior. (Not likely in this context anytime soon! But: coming soon to a low-trust environment near you.)
Peter Henderson@PeterHndrsn

From oral arguments today!

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Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
Both Labour & Conservatives reeling after a century of joint dominance in U.K. politics. Currently polling 3rd and 4th. As if Perot’s Reform Party and Nader’s Greens had the GOP and Dems teetering on the brink… but Zach Polanski makes each of them look like George Washington!
Ross Kempsell@RossKempsell

Just catching up with the old Politico poll of polls and the Greens are in second You have got to hand it to the Greens and Polanski, they are making remarkable progress My sense is the incumbent Labour elite class are v complacent about this

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Bernard Stanford ✡︎
Bernard Stanford ✡︎@stanfordNYC·
@PhilipWallach No, worked up from James using public/commercial records + obits + census etc. His actual great-grandfather appears to be Clifford Lincoln Fishback Sr. (1889-1972), the son of John Howard Fishback (1866-1933), both of DC, precluding the Ark. governor.
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Bernard Stanford ✡︎
Bernard Stanford ✡︎@stanfordNYC·
James Fishback really is just a completely compulsive liar. Yes, this is untrue. Yes, it's easily publicly verifiable. But think about how deep into lying you would have to get before coming up with "my great-granddad was a one-term governor of Arkansas."
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Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
Is it a disservice to the excellent Rep. Jeff Hurd to circulate this story? I'm not sure, but generally nobody pays much attentions to my tweets anyway, so allow me to share this rare good news story about an American political party actively working to ensure a broad coalition!
Charles Hilu@charleshilu73

How Republican leaders successfully influenced Trump to re-endorse an anti-tariff Republican in a swing district. New in @thedispatch with @DavidMDrucker thedispatch.com/article/trump-…

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Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
@binarybits But he’s so close to the camera, he must be telling it straight
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Timothy B. Lee
Timothy B. Lee@binarybits·
The data errors are subtle enough to not be obvious to most people. For example, median *family* income in 1980 really was $21k, but if you use that you need to use the 2024 *family* income number of $105k, not the 2024 *household* income number of $83k.
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Timothy B. Lee
Timothy B. Lee@binarybits·
3 million views for this video that starts with wrong numbers for 1980 (median household income was $17k not $21k and median home sale price was $64k, not $47k) and then "proves" that homes used to be more affordable. youtube.com/shorts/OPGi4XW…
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Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
French municipal elections yesterday: National Rally did moderately well. Gives them more chances to prove they are a governing party.
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Rachel Bovard
Rachel Bovard@rachelbovard·
Just depends on the details of what’s negotiated. Schumer and Durbin have both said in the last two days that D’s support voter ID, it would make sense for Rs to start testing those parameters and then have the floor reflect how close or far they are from agreement. This is how a determined majority passed major legislation for years, it’s not novel or unusual until recently. In any case it doesn’t seem like any of that is happening, but a girl can dream. 🫠
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Rachel Bovard
Rachel Bovard@rachelbovard·
Also it just puts a bullet in the swamp argument that “we could never wait Dems out in a talking filibuster they would just go on forever! All of them would give two 8 hour speeches!” Mmmkay.
Rachel Bovard@rachelbovard

DC types get very mad when I say the Senate is lazy but senators couldn’t even senator for one week. DHS isn’t funded and they’re in the middle of the first real deliberative fight in a decade and 16 of them just bailed.

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Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
@MattGlassman312 @rachelbovard The politics of the sensible compromise are also a little strange, since it’s entirely possible that an ID only law could benefit Ds
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Matt Glassman
Matt Glassman@MattGlassman312·
@rachelbovard Right or wrong, I think most of them privately don't think the law would do much, and think the issue makes for good base politics before and after the election.
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Philip Wallach retweetledi
Ben Brody
Ben Brody@BenBrodyDC·
NEW: The White House has unveiled its proposal for Congress to put in place comprehensive AI regulations whitehouse.gov/articles/2026/…
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Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
Reminder of where Joe Kent has fit into GOP politics...this is the graph from my December 2022 @washingtonpost look at GOP underperformance in the House races that year. Kent lost a district that the GOP should have won 55-45.
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Philip Wallach
Philip Wallach@PhilipWallach·
@MattGlassman312 @ringwiss If someone actually wanted to get a significantly amended (stripped down) version passed, what would be the correct next move now? Try to dispose of Thune’s amendments?
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Matt Glassman
Matt Glassman@MattGlassman312·
@ringwiss It's filled with substantive amendments at least!
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Matt Glassman
Matt Glassman@MattGlassman312·
Senate is now on the SAVE Act. Thune did not file cloture. He did fill the tree. A Republican has the floor and is debating. Are we now in a talking filibuster? A regular order consideration of a bill? A 60-vote Senate charade? Trick question, it's in the eye of the beholder!
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