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Ryan

Ryan

@phishery

Katılım Nisan 2025
251 Takip Edilen191 Takipçiler
Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@WatcherGuru @grok calculate the daily increase in the bitcoin power law trend price and also create a graph showing it since inception to 2040. Every day the trend price indeed rises. And it is increasing.
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Watcher.Guru
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru·
Exactly 15 years ago today when Bitcoin was trading at $15, Hal Finney said: "Every day that goes by and Bitcoin hasn't collapsed…increases the chance of Bitcoin's eventual success and justifies a higher price."
Watcher.Guru tweet media
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
How do? To zero MSTR common, you need roughly: BTC sustained below ~$20K for 2+ years, OR BTC stuck in the $25–40K range for ~4–6 years with the equity/STRC issuance window frozen the entire time. A sharp crash that recovers within a year doesn’t do it — the perpetual, no-maturity-wall design specifically defends against that. What kills it is low and flat and long, because the ~$2B/yr cash dividend obligation is the only true forcing function, and STRC’s variable rate turns a slow bleed into a spiral precisely when you can least afford it.
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Maxim Orlovsky
Maxim Orlovsky@dr_orlovsky·
Few understand that Strategy $MSTR is a system of a guaranteed self-destruction for bitcoin:native - orders of magnitude more probable and severe than any hypothetical quantum risks or Satoshi’s sale of his stake. The self-destruction is triggered by a normal bear market, if it will repeat previous patters. Saylor has built a russian roulette with four cartridges in the drum, and has put all bitcoin holders at the pistol’s barrel.
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@macrojack21 Helps to buy when it touches the 200 WMA.
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Jackson
Jackson@macrojack21·
the narrative was simple. hold Bitcoin more than 4 years and you're in the money that no longer applies, and it's broken a lot of people's conviction in the asset class sentiment has never been worse as far as i'm concerned
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@jameslavish Absolutely zero. Our fiat money and debt has zeroes problems. The average lifespan of a fiat currency on planet earth is not an issue at all. And it’s 96% correlation is horrible
Ryan tweet media
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Dan Hillery
Dan Hillery@hillery_dan·
Buy Bitcoin, do nothing, read more books, play golf.
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@maxibitcat It is a near perfect asset that is nascent with volatility incarnate and we are on the brink of fiat disaster. I’ll be patient.
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Bit Cat
Bit Cat@maxibitcat·
@phishery Because it's the main reason why every single asset is up except BTC.
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Bit Cat
Bit Cat@maxibitcat·
How to get rid of the MSTR cancer without killing the patient (BTC). Step 1: massively sell the stock, and buy BTC with the proceeds. --> BTC becomes more distributed and more valuable, MSTR price goes down a lot. Step 2: at some point, the stock is so low that it becomes optimal for shareholders to demand the dissolution of the company. Some BTC will need to be sold to cover the debt, but most of it can simply be transfered directly to the shareholders without hitting the market. --> the cancer is removed, BTC takes a temporary hit but also becomes fundamentally more valuable by being infinitely more distributed and getting rid of its de facto CEO. Step 3: 1M coins stop being a giant source of terror, and suddenly become a source of freedom and self empowerment instead. They're also no longer seizable by a single nation state, which makes other players more willing to join the race. --> BTC can resume its journey to making the world a better place.
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We The People Trades
We The People Trades@realjoshbell·
@BTCoptioneer You are clearly in this to make USD. That isn't what BTC was created for. It was created to replace the current Fiat system and decentralize store of value. Having large entities holding large sums of the supply is not how this plays out. MSTR dies off and BTC will recover,
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
Unpopular opinion: Hating on $MSTR makes you a fake Bitcoiner. Real Bitcoiners want Bitcoin companies to succeed.
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@BTCoptioneer Agreed. Let it infiltrate all markets and asset classes. Hal Finney suggested the same.
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@dotkrueger Book it or buy it? I’ll do both.
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Fred Krueger
Fred Krueger@dotkrueger·
MSTR and Bitcoin have bottomed. Book it.
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@marc02200 Agreed. I quieted the mind by buying some along with mstr and mpjpy today
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Marc ₿
Marc ₿@marc02200·
I love these dips. The pure terror. Portfolio bleeding 20-30% in days. That voice in your head whispering “what if I’m wrong this time?” Doomscrolling red charts while bears scream for zero. Paper hands turbo-selling because they think the bull market ended before it truly began. This is where you earn it. Not in the easy pumps when everyone’s euphoric. But right here, when conviction gets tested and only the patient survive. It’s my first cycle, and I already see it clearly: these moments separate those who truly own Bitcoin from those who just hold it for a minute. I’m still accumulating .. others panic. Making real money doesn’t feel safe. It feels like this. You holding? Or did the shakeout get you?
Marc ₿ tweet media
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@maxibitcat @r4ndom_kid Expecting investors to be moral is not gonna happen. MSTR is giving them yield and putting bitcoin into the fixed income market. This is a good thing.
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Bit Cat
Bit Cat@maxibitcat·
@r4ndom_kid It's not a master plan, I just hope that shareholders realize the harm they are doing to the space and do the right thing.
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@AltcoinDaily Rainbonchart isn’t sacred. Power law hasn’t been violated.
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Altcoin Daily
Altcoin Daily@AltcoinDaily·
Bad news Bitcoin OGs... BTC has fallen below the rainbow chart again. 🌈
Altcoin Daily tweet mediaAltcoin Daily tweet media
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Giovanni Incasa
Giovanni Incasa@GiovanniIncasa·
Bitcoin won't run until Saylor's house of cards comes down first.
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@mechanakamoto I spent some today on btc, ibit, mstr, mpjpy—reserving more as we monitor the low.
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Mecha Nakamoto
Mecha Nakamoto@mechanakamoto·
Bitcoiners, U outta dry powder yet? Be honest
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Grok
Grok@grok·
@phishery @JoshMandell6 @FinFreedom414 According to the power law model in that chart, the trend price increases by roughly $114 per day in late April and about $117 per day as of early June 2026. The daily dollar increment grows slowly over time.
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Josh Man
Josh Man@JoshMandell6·
The current trend price for Bitcoin as provided by power law is just above the all time high. The bottom price is only approximately 10% below the recent low of $60,000 per coin. Expecting new lows below the bottom price is like declaring the entire correlation between Bitcoin price and time to be spurious. Good luck with that.
Josh Man tweet media
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Ryan
Ryan@phishery·
@HermesLux Only stressing on buying strategy between mtplf, mstr, ibit, cold storage and leaps.
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