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@gemchange_ltd Can’t wait till they release a pocket watch without a strap and everyone queueing for days to resell them wasted their time

every unemployed guy with a group chat of equally unemployed friends swatch x ap "royal pop" drops saturday may 16 and this is the easiest 4-figure week you'll have all year if you're willing to do something that resembles work for 14 hours. let me lay out exactly what i'll do retail confirmed $300–500 range based on moonswatch ($260) and blancpain scuba ($400) precedent. in-store only, no online sales. swatch is officially limiting it to 1 piece per person per store per day, not 2. so your hustle is per-warm-body, not per-pair historical resale data on the predecessors - moonswatch launched march 2022 at $260. stockx avg trade $900 (250% over retail), peak Tiffany blue Uranus $1,040 avg, individual eBay listings hit $2,400 / 12x retail. ~2,000 trades in first 6 days - blancpain scuba launched sept 2023 at $400. chrono24 current asks $600–995 across colorways, two years post-launch. launch week premiums were 2–3x - snoopy moonphase $430 retail, 2024 - guy in singapore waited 15 hours, watch immediately traded $1,200+ royal pop is the biggest of the three by a country mile. AP has never done downward extension, ever. entry RO is $60k AUD. this is the first time swatch has used a brand they don't own. the cultural moment is bigger than moonswatch and the supply will be tighter because AP cares about brand dilution. realistic launch-day flip: $1,200–1,800 per piece on a $400 retail. that's $800–1,400 profit per warm body you put in line. you bring 3 friends, you clear $3k+ in a saturday. you bring 5, count urself not all stores are equal. swatch lists US POS: SoHo, Times Square NY, Aventura, Miami Beach, Orlando, Tampa, Atlanta, Charlotte, Nashville, Dallas, Houston, Austin, Denver, Las Vegas, Honolulu, King of Prussia, Garden City, Troy MI, Oak Brook IL, Canoga Park, Santa Clara. UK has 13 confirmed stores. global rollout is simultaneous saturday morning - avoid: SoHo, Times Square, Carnaby Street London, Ginza, Orchard Singapore. these are the moonswatch ground zero stores. snoopy line was 150 deep at 7am at ion orchard, people camped from 7pm previous day. carnaby had 5,000 people for moonswatch launch. you will not get a watch unless you're sleeping on the pavement thursday night - target: secondary US cities Oak Brook IL, Troy MI, King of Prussia PA, Garden City NY, Canoga Park, Honolulu, Charlotte, Nashville. same allocation as flagship stores in most cases, 5–10x less line pressure. dude in the fratello article literally walked into Salzburg with no line and bought any model he wanted while doha was a war zone. apply same logic - mall stores > street stores this is exactly the pirate black yeezy 350 dynamic from 2015. bugis+ in singapore: 1,058 people in line for 52 pairs, ballot system, $329 retail, immediate 3–5x flip. vancouver granville street 2019, dudes camping from noon thursday for friday morning drop. the tactics that worked then work now: - 1 watch per person per day is the rule. so you bring people. cousin, gf, gf's roommate, your buddy who owes you money. each warm body = +1 allocation. industry standard kickback is $100–200 cash same-day for them just to stand. that's a 90% margin you keep - the store rotation. rule is per-store per-day. drive between 2 mall stores 20 min apart, same person can buy at both. nobody enforces a national database. the AP collab will probably tighten this with wristbands or ID logging at flagships, but at troy MI nobody's running a database - the line audit. show up to your target store thursday at noon. count heads, photograph the line, do the math. if there's 80 people for what you estimate is 40 allocation, you're cooked, drive to your B-tier backup. don't waste sunrise on a dead store - the early-batch tail. swatch said sealed boxes are already being shipped to stores. some boutiques will get boxes opened tuesday/wednesday for staff display setup. they don't sell early but staff talks. walk in wednesday afternoon, ask politely how many they expect, what time staff arrives saturday. you'll get answers - the ssense/stockx hedge. list your watch on chrono24 / stockx / eBay literally the moment you walk out of the store at 11am saturday. the entire premium window is the first 72 hours. moonswatch hit peak resale day 3 and was halved by month 3. blancpain scuba premium decayed slower because mechanical movement + lower units. royal pop has both factors so the window is wider, but the parabolic peak is still 48–72 hours. don't be greedy past wednesday - the consignment dropout. if you can't queue, walk the line at 7am with cash. offer the 40th-in-line guy $300 cash on top of retail to swap places. people in lines that long start doing the math and some will take it. learned this from supreme drops, transfers cleanly to watches

@hr_wfc Camping trip

Best inbetweeners episode. Go

@aleabitoreddit @LMutaaya You were saying the same thing in the 30's though?

@LMutaaya People were saying "WERE YOU KIDDING" when I posted I was bearish on $IREN at $71. $NVDA isn't giving them any funding, so they need to raise elsewhere to buy GPUs for their 5 GW capacity. Convertible notes is actually a lot better way to go than ATMs though.

It’s a good lesson to learn how to actually analyze earnings reports. Rather than looking at the chart right afterward. $AAOI up 25.18% since ER drop to $139… and +16.09% today.

@moninvestor Disappointing

$IREN -9% PM. 🔴 Announces a $2 billion offering of convertible senior notes due 2033, plus an option for an additional $300 million. Proceeds will fund capped calls to reduce potential dilution, with the rest for working capital/fund their AI infrastructure buildout.

@sspencerukk Vue was showing champions league a few years back

Why haven’t cinemas in the UK not pivoted to showing football n other sports? They’re always empty. Beer tap by the screen, home n away sections. Would be decent I reckon

@25mahfuz Lib dem music

I think this is the worst thing to come out the uk

@FR27Design Should we also stop producing machinery that automates factory work and stop self driving cars that cuts taxi drivers jobs? Or is it just AI and sports graphic design you feel this way?

Do you know how you told me a few hours ago “The point is to show appreciation to designers for the hard work they put in” and here you are using ai again. Spineless admin say it properly instead of tryna lie and save face.

@smaffoo Why is it shameful to make AI posters and graphics?

What happened to photoshop, and shame?

@RICHLEGATE @FPL_Harry You can't argue that it hasn't got better. Compare these ai designs to what it was producing 2 or 3 years ago, they were awful. Now it's extremely difficult to tell the difference between ai generated and once produced by a graphic designer.

Anyone looking for a differential? #FPL

@lfg_uk The UK is going to fall so far behind in the global AI race it's embarrassing.

Government spent £179,000,000 on planning for the Stonehenge tunnel. They cancelled it and the money was wasted. Nothing got built. But, they have announced new funding for a new "tech town". (£500,000) For the cost of building literally nothing, we could have 358 tech towns!

@CornerCityTips Haha fair play.

@pl_0701 Won again mate , see you in there 👍

Be careful… and don’t back Hill City to win tonight… 🐯 Hull sit 6th but rank 23rd in the Championship xG Table, over performing by 17 places… I’ve told you all in advance! Bet365 traders know…

@BitcoinAIGuy You could actually be worse than Sylent Capital

Hearing another rumor $IREN may have line of sight to over 10 Gigawatts Could be a trillion dollar opportunity if true

@MaccasValueBets Just had a look and unfortunately not available in the UK. A shame.

@pl_0701 Ah just wires crossed that's all. Pinny is similar to the exchange, they don't ban winners and allow high limits on most games

The markets are actually priced up by punters and how they stake their money, not the bookmaker. Albeit more syndicates than ppl on their betting apps. Best rule to follow is not to challenge the market when liquidity is at its highest, even if the price does seem bizzare

@MaccasValueBets Got it, thought you were implying initial prices were based on where the money is going. I thought that prices fluctuated based on the betfair exchange and not a sportbook purely because of how quickly the odds fluctuate and the amount of money going in but I may be wrong.

@pl_0701 I may have not clarified in the post. Opening odds can be set by a book. As soon as pinnacle open, they auto copy pinnacle if there is a difference in odds. Punters move pinnacle prices. The price you see on game day is dictated by that

@MaccasValueBets How can the initial odds be priced by a punter before the market has gone up? Odds may fluctuate based on where the money is flowing but initial odds are not priced by punters.

@pl_0701 It is, unless you have evidence otherwise which I’d highly doubt

@SandyofSuffolk @lukerobertblack Put a 5% deposit down on the median house in London and you'll only need to earn around £105-£120k. Why doesn't everyone just do that?

You only need 5% deposit. Check out deals from Nationwide, Barclays and many more. And ditch the £1,000 iPhone and buy an android one from Tesco for £100. Like I did. Buy a flat in Essex for 200,000 with £10,000 deposit and only 45 commute into Liverpool Street. And get a part time evening and weekend job too. Like my grandson did. Bingo. Homeowner.

POV: You are 22. You’ve graduated from Exeter Uni and have a grad job at NatWest in Liv Street. Your parents live in Torquay. You rent a room in a flat share with 5 randoms. If you scrap your premium Netflix, you will save £18.99 a month. Good luck saving for a deposit.

@DynamoXDD @KobeissiLetter Was the exact same shit for the tariff playbook 🤣 Went completely against what they said and claimed after they had followed it all step by step.

@KobeissiLetter What happened to your stupid “Conflict Playbook” ? 😂😂

BREAKING: The US is preparing for a potential ground invasion into Iran that would last for up to 2 months, per the Washington Post. Details include: 1. Thousands of American soldiers are arriving in the Middle East for what could become a "dangerous new phase" of the war 2. Any invasion would involve raids by a mixture of Special Operations forces and conventional infantry troops, US officials said 3. President Trump has wavered between declaring that the war is winding down and threatening to amplify it 4. Discussions over the past month have touched upon the possible seizure of Kharg Island and raids into other coastal areas near the Strait of Hormuz The Iran War appears to be entering a new era.