Pekka Lanerva
18.1K posts
Timeline — Continuity of Russia Contact, Exposure, and Policy (2014–2026) Origin of Conflict February–March 2014 — The Russian Federation, led by President Vladimir Putin, annexes Crimea from Ukraine and begins a sustained campaign of military, cyber, and information operations targeting Ukraine and Western political systems. Pre-Election Access and Cultivation Phase July 11–12, 2015 — Maria Butina (Russian national later convicted in the United States as an unregistered agent of the Russian Federation, working under Russian Central Bank official Alexander Torshin) attends FreedomFest in Las Vegas, seeks access to presidential candidate Donald Trump, and publicly asks a question about lifting sanctions on Russia. May 19–21, 2016 — Alexander Torshin (Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Russia with Kremlin connections) and Maria Butina pursue contact with Trump campaign officials at the National Rifle Association convention in Louisville, Kentucky. Election-Year Contact and Exposure Phase June 9, 2016 — Donald Trump Jr., Jared Kushner (Senior Advisor to the campaign), and Paul Manafort (Campaign Chairman) meet Russian nationals at Trump Tower after being told the Russian government would provide damaging information on Hillary Clinton. August 2, 2016 — Paul Manafort meets Konstantin Kilimnik (identified by the U.S. Senate Intelligence Committee as a Russian intelligence-linked operative) in New York and shares internal Trump campaign polling data. July–October 2016 — Russian military intelligence (GRU) conducts cyberattacks, steals Democratic Party emails, and releases them publicly during the election. Early Presidency — Direct Contact and Exposure January 20, 2017 — Donald Trump is inaugurated as the 45th President of the United States; Sergey Kislyak(Ambassador of the Russian Federation to the United States) attends as Russia’s official diplomatic representative. May 10, 2017 — President Donald Trump meets in the Oval Office with Sergey Lavrov(Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia) and Ambassador Kislyak and discloses highly sensitive counterterrorism intelligence; reporting later identifies Israel as the originating source. December 1, 2017 — Michael Flynn (National Security Adviser to President Trump) pleads guilty to lying to the FBI about communications with Ambassador Kislyak regarding U.S. sanctions. Investigation, Accountability, and Institutional Findings April 18, 2019 — Special Counsel Robert Mueller releases his report documenting Russian election interference, numerous contacts between the Trump campaign and Russia-linked individuals, and counterintelligence risks; the report does not establish a prosecutable criminal conspiracy. December 18, 2019 — The U.S. House of Representatives impeaches President Donald Trump for abuse of power related to pressuring Ukraine. February 5, 2020 — The U.S. Senate acquits President Donald Trump. March–April 2020 — President Donald Trump sends medical equipment to the Russian Federation following direct communication with President Vladimir Putin; later reporting states Trump also sent Putin COVID-19 testing machines (reported, disputed). August 18, 2020 — The U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (bipartisan) concludes the Manafort–Kilimnik relationship posed a “grave counterintelligence threat.” November 25, 2020 — President Donald Trump pardons Michael Flynn. December 23, 2020 — President Donald Trump pardons Paul Manafort. Domestic Institutional Breakdown January 6, 2021 — Supporters of President Donald Trump attack the United States Capitol during certification of the 2020 election, temporarily halting the constitutional transfer of power. January 20, 2021 — Donald Trump leaves office. Post-Presidency — Alignment Signals and Reported Contacts February 22, 2022 — Donald Trump publicly describes Vladimir Putin’s Ukraine actions as “genius” and “very savvy.” February 24, 2022 — The Russian Federation launches a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. February 10, 2024 — Donald Trump states he would “encourage” Russia to act against NATO members that do not meet defense spending targets. October 2024 (reported) — Journalist Bob Woodward reports that Donald Trump held up to seven private calls with Vladimir Putin after leaving office; both Trump and the Kremlin deny the claim. Second Presidency — Direct Policy and Material Impact (2025–2026) Immediate Diplomatic and Strategic Shifts January 20, 2025 — Donald Trump is inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States. February 11, 2025 — The Trump administration returns Alexander Vinnik (Russian national charged with cybercrime in the United States) to the Russian Federation in a prisoner exchange. February 12, 2025 — President Donald Trump speaks directly with Russian President Vladimir Putin and announces immediate U.S.–Russia negotiations over the war in Ukraine. February 12, 2025 — Pete Hegseth (U.S. Secretary of Defense) states that restoring Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders is “unrealistic.” February 12, 2025 — Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth states that NATO membership for Ukraine is “unrealistic.” February 18, 2025 — Marco Rubio (U.S. Secretary of State) meets Sergey Lavrov (Russian Foreign Minister) in Riyadh without Ukraine present and discusses restoring U.S.–Russia diplomatic and economic relations. February 18, 2025 — President Donald Trump states that Ukraine “should have never started” the war. February 19, 2025 — President Donald Trump calls Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy “a dictator without elections.” Institutional and Diplomatic Breaks with Allies February 24–25, 2025 — The United States, under President Donald Trump, refuses to explicitly attribute responsibility to Russia at the United Nations and splits from European allies on Ukraine resolutions. February 28, 2025 — President Donald Trump confronts Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the Oval Office; the meeting collapses without agreement. Material Military, Intelligence, and Economic Actions March 3, 2025 — President Donald Trump orders a pause in U.S. military aid to Ukraine. March 3–4, 2025 — Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth pauses offensive U.S. cyber operations targeting the Russian Federation. March 5, 2025 — The Trump administration pauses U.S. intelligence sharing with Ukraine. March 3–10, 2025 — The White House directs the U.S. State Department and Treasury Department to prepare options for sanctions relief for the Russian Federation. March 25, 2025 — The United States agrees to support efforts to ease restrictions affecting Russian food, fertilizer, and shipping exports. Continuation Phase — Negotiation-First Policy May 16, 2025 — U.S. officials confirm that offensive cyber operations against Russia remain paused during negotiations. July–September 2025 — The Trump administration continues bilateral negotiation tracks with the Russian Federation without Ukraine as a co-equal negotiating party. October–December 2025 — Additional U.S. sanctions packages against Russia are delayed during ongoing negotiations. Late-Phase Economic and Strategic Effects January 2026 — The Trump administration maintains a negotiation-first posture and does not introduce new major sanctions against Russia. March 12–13, 2026 — The Trump administration temporarily eases enforcement of sanctions affecting Russian oil shipments already in transit. March 2026 — Reporting indicates the Russian Federation provides intelligence to the Islamic Republic of Iran relevant to targeting U.S. assets; U.S. officials publicly downplay the significance. March 20, 2026 — Robert Mueller (former FBI Director and Special Counsel) dies; President Donald Trump states Mueller “hurt innocent people,” reiterating his rejection of the investigation. …eintellectualistofficial.substack.com/p/the-mueller-…
Donald Trumpin päättömän koheltamisen todistaminen on surullista seurattavaa, Iltalehden ulkomaantoimittaja Jari Himanen kirjoittaa. ✍️ #Echobox=1774285374-3" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">iltalehti.fi/ulkomaat/a/7f2…
Persut miksi ette poista dieselveroa?
Donald Trumpin täydellinen kunniattomuus kääntyy karusti häntä itseään vastaan, kirjoittaa toimittaja Onni Kari. #Echobox=1774179047-1" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">iltalehti.fi/ulkomaat/a/2c5…
Erittäin vahva lukusuositus. Lukijan mielipide | Ydinaseita ei pidä normalisoida. hs.fi/mielipide/art-…
President Donald Trump cheering the death of Robert Mueller - an American citizen, public servant and veteran
NEW: “Israel's defense minister said he ordered ‘an acceleration in the destruction of Lebanese homes in contact-line villages...in accordance with the model of Beit Hanun and Rafah in Gaza.’” That’s an open admission of intent to commit ethnic cleansing. jpost.com/israel-news/de…
🛑 CNN report: "Israeli police attack journalists in Jerusalem, fracturing wrist of CNN producer" "Nir Gontarz said: it was not a mistake. The police marked the journalists as targets, and attacked them,it was an intentional attack on journalists.” edition.cnn.com/2026/03/21/mid…
The Israeli military has been deploying in Lebanon the techniques of healthcare destruction it developed in Gaza. In less than three weeks, 128 medical facilities and ambulances bombarded, 40 healthcare workers killed and 107 wounded. Medicide.
Former Trump White House attorney Ty Cobb blasts Trump’s “shameful” and “despicable” post about Robert Mueller’s death: “He’s a demented narcissist. You know, seriously hates anybody who stands in opposition to him, has reworked the justice department into a revenge machine, and rules the country in a very authoritarian manner with the assistance of a cowardly cabinet and even more cowardly Republicans in Congress.”
Saksa käänsi selkänsä Israelille timesofisrael.com/germany-pulls-…
Trump has long claimed Mueller's report completely exonerated him, which it did not. Mueller's report into Russian interference in the 2016 election, and his campaign's links with figures in Moscow, uncovered extensive criminal activity. It produced 37 indictments, seven guilty pleas or convictions and evidence that Trump obstructed justice on multiple occasions. It found evidence that Russia engaged in extensive attacks on the US election system in 2016, and found "numerous links between the Russian government and the Trump campaign". In it, Mueller, serving as special counsel, explicitly stated that his report "does not exonerate" the president, but acknowledged that Department of Justice policy is that a sitting president could not be indicted. mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…
Trump in Iran is threatening to commit the same war crime -- attacking civilian power plants -- that the International Criminal Court has charged four of Putin's military commanders with committing in Ukraine. trib.al/X2bAnhT
