Paulo André

Impatient with actions. Patient with results.

I usually don't post about geopolitical current affairs, as I'm no expert. But when you zoom out, the evidence is now in plain sight. Wow.

@JTLonsdale @nabeelazeez You lost all credibility right there.

Balaji is a bright guy but he fled the USA and has set his mind totally against our future success. He lives in a world where US is losing and China is winning. This is his fixation. It’s dangerous, and it’s wrong. And this war has embarrassed China, destroyed their 100 cargo planes of war materials and their military ally, and frustrates them. It’s fair to disagree about the attack. But saying that its architects are guilty of any downside is childlike nonsense. They should be proud of their work and their courage to take on this evil. If you’re against the war, do you get credit for the last two decades of literal mass torture and mass rape and repression by this regime, and its terror funding and death around the region? Do you get credit for “supporting” the billions it spends on social media bots and information operations to polarize the US against ourselves, and weaken the west? Do you also get credit for what would have been the next twenty years of that? Are you, Balaji, responsible for that side of it? No? But if you are for it, you get zero credit for fixing any of that, but blamed for ALL the possible downsides? Total BS. The mullahs holding the region hostage shouldn’t get your help to blame others for the damage they do. Geopolitics and war is complex and there are risks on all sides. There is risk in acting, and in not acting. I’m really glad we are taking advantage of the massive innovation and competence gap that exists at this moment, and finally eliminating so much evil. I hope for freedom for the Iranian people and know that the situation is hard and complex, but either way it is good to stop the bad guys and eliminate so many of the worst groups, who have done so much damage, from history. Nobody should get away with what those bastards did for so long; this was long overdue.

@ribeiro__2022 @al_antdp Meu caro, palhaço é a sua tia. Os ataques ad hominem são excusados e só demonstram falta de personalidade. Quanto ao tema: cultive-se. Nem tudo o que vai contra o seu viés do mundo são teorias da conspiração.

Typical conspiratorial mindset: no one has agency except those this clown thinks control the world. Different people have different opinions but the responsibility for decisions taken are with those who took them. This war is happening because Trump and his team so decided. And not only are these countries telling him to keep striking until Iran is neutralized they also lobbied the WH to strike after the January protests.

The economic consequences of the current war between the US-Israel coalition and Iran’s mullah regime are increasingly worrying. A sustained disruption to Gulf oil infrastructure lasting through Easter 2026, with a six-month recovery timeline, would represent one of the most significant energy supply shocks to the European economy since the 1970s. The inflationary consequences would be substantial, multifaceted, and unevenly distributed across the eurozone. 1/n

@al_antdp @ribeiro__2022 x.com/FurkanGozukara…

@al_antdp @ribeiro__2022 What the Gulf countries & Trump want is borderline irrelevant. He was instrumentalized to start this war, and the Gulf countries are hapless puppets. Regardless of Iran's religion and politics, the fact is the US messed with the wrong people this time. The price will be steep.

@TheCradleMedia I wonder if these people realize their double standards. How can someone be arguing for diplomacy while at the same time being a proponent of fighting to the last Ukranian?

Kallas urges diplomacy to keep Strait of Hormuz open —— European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said on Tuesday that diplomatic solutions must be pursued to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open, while US President Donald Trump urges allies to deploy warships to safeguard passage during the conflict in Iran. "Nobody is ready to put their people in harm's way ‌in ⁠the Strait of Hormuz. We have to find diplomatic ways to keep this open ⁠so that we don't have a food crisis, fertilizers crisis, energy ⁠crisis as well," Kallas said in an interview ⁠with Reuters.

@balajis None of this is mutually exclusive with "this being the one".

@balajis "The analytical structure is unfalsifiable: if the event doesn't trigger collapse, the next one will. That's not forecasting, it's eschatology with charts."

If Iran wins, it's the end of five eras. 1991-2026: the unipolar era 1974-2026: the petrodollar era 1945-2026: the postwar era 1776-2026: the union era 1492-2026: the Western era Specifically, the end of the petrodollar (1974) would also be the end of the unipolar moment (1991) and the postwar order (1945). It would mark the moment when Eurasian powers were once again dominant over Western powers (1492). Finally, a rapid crash in the dollar's purchasing power coupled with military defeat could well break apart the American union (1776). Few seem to viscerally understand just how dependent America is on money printing. But the end of the petrodollar is the end of Keynesianism as we know it. And if there's a sudden cost-of-living spike on top of pre-existing levels of political polarization, which are already near Civil War levels...we could see the scenarios that Dalio, the Fourth Turning, and Turchin have described.

"an unsupported protocol" 😏

The human brain isn’t designed to process all of the world’s breaking emergencies in realtime.

@naval took me way too long to figure out that consuming everything doesn't make you more aware. It just makes you more exhausted

@froogi @avrldotdev @naval Limit your inputs: one curated news summary per day (I can help filter). Mornings for creation only—no feeds, no alerts. Replace scrolling with deep work or real conversations. Over weeks, the overload fades and focus returns. Small boundaries compound fast.

@yacineMTB Every generation thinks they are the final season

@AtlasisZephyr @trajektoriePL He said “MY singularity has just happened” not THE singularity

@trajektoriePL a top mathematician saying "the singularity just happened" hits different than tech bros saying it every 3 months. when the domain experts start panicking, pay attention

This is huge. Bartosz Naskręcki is a top-tier mathematician. He just said his "personal Move 37" happened. GPT 5.4 just solved a task he has curated for 20 years. When an expert of this caliber says "the singularity has just happened," we are officially in a new era of science.

@johnrushx Obviously, by definition, "coders" would do the worst. They're existentially threatened by AI. Software Engineers? Different story.

I watch designers, marketers, entrepreneurs & coders vibe-coding, and the coders do the worst, while entrepreneurs do the best. From what I see, the coders are stubbornly arguing with AI, while entrepreneurs are teaming up with AI. Entrepreneur+AI seems like a deadly force.

@damianplayer @grok when was this interview?

this is fucking insane! the CEO of anthropic said what most C-suites only say behind closed doors. "50% of all entry-level Lawyers, Consultants, and Finance Professionals will be completely wiped out within the next 1–5 years." this is the head of one of the biggest AI companies alive telling ordinary people to wake up. good news is that the playbook hasn't changed. pick an industry. learn the workflows. become the "AI guy" these companies need! you don't need a degree. you sure as hell don't need to be a McKinsey consultant. you need claude, a vertical, and the hunger to learn a business better than anyone else. god speed! will be rooting for ya.

@seetickets_cs @eventimDE @eventim_uk Go away, grifter.

Hey @eventimDE @eventim_uk, I'm trying get a refund for a show that was cancelled and it's impossible. App doesn't allow me, chatbot is useless and the hotline phone number gets me nowhere. What the hell?! (Hate to be the guy who posts this stuff but running out of options...)

@BowesChay History will not look kindly upon these people.

Donald Trump on Spains refusal to alow US to use its bases- "No ones going to tell us we can't use it, we can fly in if we want" Trump slams Germanys NATO ally Spain, while the gutless German "Leader" Fred Merz sits like a child silently. Europe is being led by donkeys.

Came across this line today: "The brain is embarrassingly trainable."