QED

36 posts

QED banner
QED

QED

@qedresearch

Quant-based Investment Research.

Katılım Temmuz 2026
39 Takip Edilen12 Takipçiler
QED
QED@qedresearch·
@RJCcapital I think CoreWeave is far more affordable for full package since meta can afford the leverage of the company.
English
1
0
1
1.7K
RJC
RJC@RJCcapital·
$META will probably try to acquire $NBIS soon if they haven't tried to already.
English
49
5
361
92.1K
Babyfolio
Babyfolio@babyfolio·
@AIStockSavvy source please? and what is the duration of the contract?
English
3
0
9
4.5K
Hardik Shah
Hardik Shah@AIStockSavvy·
📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: $NBIS Nebius Signs Over $1 Billion AI Computing Deal With Reflection AI 👉 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬: ➤ 𝐍𝐞𝐛𝐢𝐮𝐬 signs AI computing agreement worth over 𝐒𝟏 𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧. ➤ Contract will supply computing capacity through 𝐭𝐰𝐨𝟎𝟐𝟗. ➤ 𝐑𝐞𝐟𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐀𝐈 gains access to 𝐍𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐢𝐚 𝐆𝐁𝟑𝟎𝟎 AI chips. ➤ Reflection AI was founded by two former 𝐆𝐨𝐨𝐠𝐥𝐞 𝐃𝐞𝐞𝐩𝐌𝐢𝐧𝐝 researchers. ➤ Company develops next-generation 𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 models. ➤ Reflection AI signed a 𝐦𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐢𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧-𝐝𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫 deal with 𝐒𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐞𝐗 last month. ➤ Reflection AI is backed by 𝐍𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐢𝐚 and other investors. ➤ WSJ reported Reflection AI is seeking 𝐒𝟐.𝟓 𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧 at a 𝐒𝟐𝟓 𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧 valuation. ➤ Nebius already has AI infrastructure agreements with 𝐌𝐢𝐜𝐫𝐨𝐬𝐨𝐟𝐭 and 𝐌𝐞𝐭𝐚.
English
2
12
84
13.6K
QED
QED@qedresearch·
Estimated Number of Forced Liquidation (Margin Call Sell-Off) Accounts in Korea In June, across the entire market, a cumulative total of more than 1.2 million leveraged retail investor accounts faced margin calls (demands for additional collateral). Of these, approximately 320,000 to 360,000 accounts were fully force-liquidated by brokerages. (Total loss of principal, with some accounts incurring outstanding debt owed to brokerages) Latest Data from the Korea Financial Investment Association (KOFIA) as of July 9 Cumulative short-term credit forced liquidation amount, July 1–9: KRW 344.2 billion July 1–8 total: KRW 202 billion / Forced liquidations on July 9 alone: KRW 142.2 billion (the highest single-day figure this month, roughly 5x the previous day) Estimated Forced Liquidation Accounts in Early JulyAn additional estimated 85,000 to 100,000 leveraged accounts were fully force-liquidated, concentrated mainly among holders of 2x leveraged semiconductor ETFs. Total Official Short-Term Leveraged Forced Liquidation AmountJune 10–30: KRW 572.8 billion + July 1–10: KRW 344.2 billion = Total: KRW 917 billion Market-Wide Leverage Losses(Including declines in leveraged ETF net asset value, options margin losses, and outstanding debt owed to brokerages) Combined estimates from brokerages and foreign media institutions: Total actual leverage losses by retail investors over the past month are approximately KRW 2.15 trillion. Included items: principal losses from forced liquidations, excess net asset losses on leveraged ETFs, debt formation from additional margin requirements, and total loss of options premiums. Estimated Total Liquidated Positions and Accounts (Combining Media Reports and Brokerage Risk Management Data) Accounts that received margin calls or risk warnings: 1.48 million to 1.55 million accounts Accounts fully force-liquidated by brokerages with total loss of principal: 405,000 to 460,000 accounts (Of these, retail investors in their 20s and 30s account for 62%, having invested primarily in 2x leveraged ETFs tracking Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix)
English
0
0
0
17
QED
QED@qedresearch·
@LongGameEquity ...and there are companies taking 70-80% margin from highly leveraged firms like Oracle. $SKHY $MU $SNDK 🫨
English
1
0
1
77
LongGameEquity
LongGameEquity@LongGameEquity·
If $ORCL didn’t have such a terrible balance sheet it would be a Strong Buy
English
9
1
43
6K
QED
QED@qedresearch·
@FinXRob 4x is worse than 3x due to its fee structure and volatility drag, and 2x QQQ is even better. South Korean retail investors are world-class leveraged degens, and they've figured out that QLD is the best leveraged macro ETF.
QED tweet media
English
0
0
1
108
Finance Rob
Finance Rob@FinXRob·
I found an S&P 500 ETF i’d actually buy Everyone says VOO only goes up so why not 4X leveraged
Finance Rob tweet media
English
145
40
2.1K
374.2K
QED
QED@qedresearch·
It’s all about liquidity. When you think about the record profits that companies are making in South Korea, Japan, etc., the money will end up creating massive longer-term inflows to the entire industry and the economy down the road. This improves the baseline of the market, and you’ll still find alpha relative to the U.S. market in emerging countries when individual stocks are chosen wisely.
English
0
0
0
1.4K
Blue Whale
Blue Whale@ysh1yo2848·
확실히 미장은 미장이군. SK하이닉스 고점대비 -38%, 키옥시아 -40% 미장의 샌디스크 지금 -10% 쳐맞고 있는데 고점대비 -27%
한국어
8
13
228
58.4K
QED
QED@qedresearch·
@ariaradnia When they reduce OpEx, I think it would be an uninvestable stock. They’ll not only stop growing, they’ll shrink.
English
0
0
0
38
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷@ariaradnia·
$MNDY seemingly stuck at breakeven profits The reality is, if they decided to, they could be wildly profitable starting tomorrow More than half of OpEx is Sales and Marketing spend
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷 tweet media
English
2
0
13
3.8K
QED
QED@qedresearch·
@Funmentalist Yeah, they also need to factor in dilution, as it’s going to be the most important part of the financing. The model would be discounted by 50-75% as of 2030, which could still target around $1,000 per share *if executed perfectly.*
English
0
0
2
145
The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
$NBIS Love when people actually do valuations However, I have few problems with this one and the biggest one that skews this whole model to unrealistic numbers is the first row: Active Power There is simply no physical reality where Nebius would be able to have more than 11GWs by 2030 I believe that 6GW is the most bullish, at least theoretically feasible possibility
softcareline@user637826

Let me remind you that this stock is still trading at 220$ $NBIS If we look at that estimate given by Marc Boroditsky at the Paris Raise Summit – meaning revenue will rise to tens of billions of dollars over the next 13 months (by August 2027), with the text mentioning "10s of B$ of revenue" and at least $20 billion ARR (Annual Run Rate) by the end of 2027 – we can map this directly onto your Excel model. Let's look at the 2027E column in the Excel sheet and find where the revenue matches Boroditsky's promises: What does the Excel model say about the share price with these numbers? 1. Base Case: In the Excel sheet, the Base scenario forecasts a revenue of $16.75 billion for 2027E. With this revenue, the projected share price (Price – Base) is $625.78. 2. Bull Case: If Boroditsky's promise of "tens of billions" means clearly exceeding the $20 billion mark during 2027 (as estimated in the Reddit post: "At least $20B ARR"), we move straight into the Bull model. The Excel Bull Case forecasts a revenue of up to $40.47 billion (ARR $64.00B) for 2027E. In this scenario, the projected share price (Price – Bull) skyrockets to an astronomical $1,092.85

English
3
2
40
12.7K
QED
QED@qedresearch·
@Funmentalist I think you tweeted because you somehow felt those two events are closely correlated. Maybe the market isn’t too comfortable with hyper-growth companies when compared against seemingly cheap company with all the AI money options. … I need more $NBIS …
English
0
0
0
284
The Fundamentalist
The Fundamentalist@Funmentalist·
The fact that $META is +6% and $NBIS is -3% MAKES ZERO SENSE
English
4
0
45
6K
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷@ariaradnia·
SK Hynix US IPO will be really interesting to watch I actually do suspect the stock will trade higher (both share price and on a permanent valuation basis) simply because it's on a bigger more liquid stock market Let's see $SKHY $SKHYV
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷 tweet media
English
6
0
35
10.8K
QED
QED@qedresearch·
@CKCapitalxx No it’s red. …and red means up in South Korea
English
2
0
1
1K
CK Capital
CK Capital@CKCapitalxx·
Are my eyes deceiving me… Is KOSPI really green?
English
76
3
426
136K
QED
QED@qedresearch·
Short Micron, long SK Hynix = free money for hedge funds? $SKHYV $MU
English
0
0
1
377
QED
QED@qedresearch·
I'm not against this person, but I do think AI is not just a tool but a coworker.
QED tweet media
English
0
0
0
14
Babyfolio
Babyfolio@babyfolio·
KOSPI, it's your turn now. Let's get another green day. Thanks, Korean gamblers. Please take care of me. 🙏
English
33
3
376
60.4K