Quantify Chaos

This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset or security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Gold and Bitcoin are down, but the options market is sending some interesting signal. @DavidDziekanski and Zed Francis of Convexitas break down what the options chain for both asset classes says about volatility, positioning, and where investors may be headed next.

This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Google's $85 Billion equity issuance was the prudent thing to jump ahead of the line ahead of the massive AI IPOs, but does this signal a future crash after taking a historical look at cash rich giants selling equity for Capex?

This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Did Michael Saylor kill Bitcoin by selling a small piece of their Bitcoin holdings? @DavidDziekanski explains now it's not as dramatic as the headlines might read.

This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Zed Francis of Convexitas explains the massive drop in Bitcoin’s implied volatility, and how it contradicts realized volatility of the asset class.

Retiree money is being used as a source of leverage for private credit/private equity groups to continue their investments in AI infrastructure. @DavidDziekanski explains.

Broadcom's sell off on Friday was a product of timing and investors selling the news instead of fundamentals.

Saba Capital Management decreases their exposure in the BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Term Trust $ECAT and Clough Global Equity Fund $GLQ per recent #13D filings @boazweinstein

Bitcoin Volatility has reached almost record low levels.  IBIT’s 1 month volatility is at the 2.845% percentile, and the 1 year volatility is at the 0.846% percentile.

Mark Cuban's visit with Trump regarding TrumpRx was widely panned by people of Cuban's apparent flip flop on Trump. This criticism is misguided, as Cuban was acting in good faith for the benefit of Americans, while advancing his business.

This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

When you consider portfolio construction as productivity growth + scarcity, the bull case for Bitcoin and Gold becomes abundantly clear. @DavidDziekanski explains.

This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Did Elon Musk know that his lawsuit was doomed? Maybe it was just a slowdown tactic to get xAI ahead in the AI race.

This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Elon's loss in his lawsuit against OpenAI was silly to begin with - he suggested a for-profit structure for OpenAI years before he claimed deep knowledge of the for-profit change.

This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

@chamath from the All In Podcast has a hot take about Taiwan that ignores Taiwan's structural advantage: production scale. However, it may be the case that the US doesn't ultimately have a choice in defending the island.