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Narratives are cheap. Incentives are not.
I write about policy shocks, capital flows, governance risk, and AI as operating leverage.
Mechanism first. Consequence next.
Follow if you want signal, not comfort.
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Radian Bimaputra
3.2K posts
Radian Bimaputra
@radianbp
I dissect incentives, not narratives. Policy, capital flows, AI operations. Mechanism. Consequence. Positioning.
Katılım Haziran 2017
206 Takip Edilen37 Takipçiler
Elon's silence is i think the biggest support to Iran that he can muster. That and the relative freedom x users can post about the war, including any OSINTs helping Iran.
Julian Dorey@juliandorey
elon musk been quiet as a church mouse about this war where you at big dog
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@cirnosad And the deadline extension by trump was to allow the SOF to get into position for whatever they were planning to do. These SOFs can effect attacks from Iranian soils via any of 31 separate regionals to a) undermine cease fire, b) justify casus belli to US public
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@cirnosad I have an assumption in my head that a company (or 2) of SOF were dropped by the c130 during the alleged csar ops and are now up to no good.
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It seems the treacherous Iranian diplomats did not consult with the IRGC.
The war continues.
MonitorX@MonitorX99800
🇮🇷🇶🇦🇧🇭🇮🇱⚡️NOW: Sirens in Bahrain and Qatar, Also additional launches from Iran towards Israel.
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@bendmn16 2 mh6 can fit into a c130. C130 delivered the 4 birds and probably dropped special operators + equipment + supplies. Insertion is 2ndary mission rescue was primary (or vice versa).
Heads up. You have foreign operators on your soil now.
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also, i am certain that there's additional seal team or delta in Iranian soil, inserted by these c130, with unconventional ordnance.
They'll link up with Israeli assets already there.
They'll do recon, surgical assassinations, sabotage, "enhanced" interrogations.
Radian Bimaputra@radianbp
A crazy ops would be to carry 4 mh6 birds in 2 c130. Land as close to the pilot's loc (Abt 100km, well within range). Pick him up. Got back to the landing strip. Cannot take off under heavy fire. Ordered anothrt transport. Leave. Blow up the c130s and mh6s.
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@LembagaKERIS @id_tahu42782 Memang jos air superiornya min. Cuma ada yang ganjel kenapa 2 pesawat herculesnya harus di ancurin?? Selain biar gak jatuh ke tangan lawan apakah sudah gaada kesempatan terbang lagi
Indonesia
Kalau 2-2nya beneran diselamatkan, berarti memang US air superiority di Iran itu faktual, kejadian jatuhnya F-15E itu anomali aja
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
Fires continue to burn at the site of a forward operations base utilized by U.S. Special Forces in Southern Iran during last night’s operation to rescue the Weapons System Officer (WSO) of a downed F-15E Strike Eagle. Reports indicate that forces suffered problems while attempting to extract from Iran, ultimately resulting in the destruction of two transport aircraft, likely C-130 Hercules, in order to prevent them falling into the hands of Iranian Forces.
Indonesia
@HarshithLucky3 Gemma e4b still gets it wrong unfortunately.
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Despite this decidedly neutral sounding post, my position is that Israel is the scourge of current world order. They inflict too much cost for their sense of security and desire for optionality when they could've just play nice with their neighbors.
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There are lessons for both belligerents. One is feasibility of an all out ground incursion. The other is of timely territorial awareness.
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A crazy ops would be to carry 4 mh6 birds in 2 c130. Land as close to the pilot's loc (Abt 100km, well within range). Pick him up. Got back to the landing strip. Cannot take off under heavy fire. Ordered anothrt transport. Leave. Blow up the c130s and mh6s.
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KALO BELOM SIAP JANGAN DIDEPLOY BANGSAT
RepublikRakyatDelusi@RRDelusi
Update dari IGRS igrs.id/news-detail/85
Indonesia
Now that Komdigi pissed off untold number of computer supernerds, the real work can start.
The nerds', I mean.
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@cirnosad What happens when a group of armed highly trained battle hardened group of individuals lose respect of (and doubt the legitimacy of the orders of) their Commander in Chief? When these individuals have undying respect of their subordinates?
I don't know.
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You piece of sh*t motherf**ker Trump.
He's trading blood for tweets.
Korobochka (コロボ) 🇦🇺✝️@cirnosad
By the way, I have nothing but respect for the commandos who were sent on this suicide mission and nothing but disdain for the people who sent them on it. Also the onlookers who don't appreciate what has actually happened to them, buying the lie instead. Trump needs to be couped.
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Model orang yang minta desain bagus tapi gak mau bayar atau pakai harga teman, tapi setelah jadi merespon "gambar gini doang kok mahal?"
👀
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It's not that during super topics, people are becoming experts in whatever subjects that catch their fancy.
It's that they have been closeted geeks on the subject before, and now is their time to shine.
People can walk and talk at the same time.
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