un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place

This makes total sense once you realize atlassian has to use jira and linear gets to use linear

Colossal Biosciences raised $200M at a $10.2B post to bring back animals from extinction They're on track for a Woolly Mammoth calf in 2028, and are also working on the dodo and Tasmanian tiger This is super cool but beyond my pay grade... what is the business opportunity?

@OisinDuffy15 The average video game story is terrible - being “as well written as a marvel movie” puts a game in the top 10% at least

What's fascinating about Baldur's Gate 3 is it's a bad game that's so finely crafted it becomes good.

@octonion 2, assuming the bet pays the same for either option - 2 is more likely if there is any difference in skill

Note - this is all the information you're given. In a best-of-three tennis match, the first player to win 2 sets wins the match. For a best-of-three tennis match, would you bet on the match finishing in 2 sets or in 3 sets?

@waitbutwhy The respondent is half of the

Thoughts below

@Jonathan_Blow If your idea of programming is googling what you want to do +stackoverflow and pasting shit into your IDE until it work then LLMs speed you up Otherwise they just create a lot of sneaky bugs for you to fix later

I keep hearing on podcasts all these people raving about how AI is revolutionizing programming and I just don't see it. At all. (I think this may happen eventually, but what is being done right now is not really on the path to it). Originally I thought, okay, these are just people who don't understand programming saying this stuff. It'll fizzle out once people try it and realize it doesn't work that well. But that was almost 2 years ago and it is still going, and the claims keep getting bigger.

@tunguz If there’s no cap on what “really advanced” means, there’s no cap on its value

What is the most that you would be willing to pay per month for access to a really advanced AI system?

@wanyeburkett @fromavineleaf Building a foundation isn’t particularly difficult if you use ICF - I did it before/during undergrad as a summer job. Like building a big LEGO house

@wordgrammer Neat theory - explains why everyone has also heard of all the people that went to school with von Neumann perfectly

Being a math prodigy has more to do with finding teachers that let you get ahead than it does with having a high IQ. Von Neumann never would have been a prodigy if he went through rural Mississippi public school system

@tenobrus @duntsHat It’s not - depending on your age, you probably face the risk of the button (a one percent chance of one of the 20 people closest to you dying) approximately every 2-3 months Still think button is bad but people have bad intuitions about tail probability

@duntsHat nope it's orders of magnitude lower #fn1" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">ssa.gov/oact/STATS/tab…

why the actual fuck would anyone press this. how is it at nearly 40% right now. if u voted yes to this u are either retarded or a sociopath

@levie No chance he wrote this

He’s getting… polite?

@gorgonigal @tunahorse21 A true story, unfortunately And I’ve only ever taught university students

Nobody believes me lol But if you actually hire you know how cooked the market is

@TrungTPhan basically anything that Excel can do and Google Sheets can't is something you shouldn't be doing in either

TIL: The rationale for why Google Sheets didn’t clone more of Microsoft Excel (and appeal to more hardcore finance users).

Some of them are simply not useful for deciding whether a relationship is causal - i'm thinking of analogy (this one was just never a good idea), strength (if anything, for modern problems, smaller effects are more plausibly causal), specificity (most diseases have multiple causes, and many exposures can cause multiple diseases - this one is just outdated), consistency (multiple estimates give us a better estimate of the association that is being estimated but is not really evidence for causality) ... I just think in general they're a product of their time and the types of problems epidemiologists were concerned with then. Cutting some of the less relevant ones seems long overdue

@randyboyes @EpiEllie I don't think so - they are very useful - why do you think?

If you teach epidemiology, public health, or statistics, this is your official notice that "Hill's Criteria" is now called "Hill's List of Standards". Just like Sir Austin Bradford Hill always intended. #EpiAnIntro #UpdateYourSlides

@ggkuhnle @EpiEllie I think they should just be discarded at this point but Temporality at least can definitely bring definitive evidence against causality

@EpiEllie He actually referred to them as "viewpoints" or considerations.

@DeanBaker13 Hard to untangle the real cause here since the true answer to all of these “favors democrats” - need some contrasting statements where the true statement makes democrats look bad

I hate to put a lot of highly paid pundits out of business, but look at this f**king graph

I swear if I get one more call from Google asking me to discuss my cloud needs I'm migrating everything to AWS out of pure spite

@tunguz Not a criticism of the people doing that - just a symptom of someone overseas making decisions about what people need in a culture they don’t understand

@tunguz Probably - I spent a few months in Sudan in the 00’s and saw quite a few “emergency tents” being used to dry out donated grain to be used to make alcohol

My prediction: this will do far more for the economic development of Africa than all those decades of wasteful “aid”.