Ravi

Gold allocations are rising among central banks and private investors: Central bank gold reserves as a % of total reserves rose to 26.6% in 2025, the highest since 1993. This proportion has surged +17 percentage points since 2013. Meanwhile, private investor gold allocation increased to 2.7% of total portfolios last year, the highest since 1984. This percentage has more than DOUBLED over the last 5 years. Both central banks and private investors are steadily moving toward gold.

$btc shorts - The Iran Peace Treaty Deal, how to deal with (ignore) news and the forward pricing nature of markets. My bold claim: we will see new lows once more and the deal should be framed in bearish light, not bullish That's a mouthful of a title. But I'm getting a lot of comments re-occurring which are of the form: "Astro, why build shorts on this pump, Trump is negotiating deals for reopening Hormuz, once the deal is closed, we will go higher". Before I get deeper, I can always be wrong on the trade and we can just send and my attempt to bust the comment above could be a complete failure. But the reality is different. Ever had the feeling of closing a long because "bad news is looming?" "war threats are coming". Or ever had the feeling of closing a short because "war is about to end?". Then accepting the reality I am about to share will likely help you erase that fear for good. The market constantly prices in the current sentiment and current collective mind of the news out there. Right now, that collective mind is lots of hope for good news while the good news hasn't arrived yet. Markets are forward pricing in nature, not backwards pricing. The current news available and known to everyone does not move price, it already has. That's why we watch the charts, and not the news. That's why we don't try to explain every move using news either since not all news is equally important. The market never cared what Jerome Powell said, only the anticipation and sentiment around it does. If this trade closes into a W and we see new lows, let that be a lesson, to not care about the news, when entering a trade, when holding a trade, when exiting a trade. Because if the deal doesn't go through and $btc makes new lows, everyone will blame it on the deal. But guess what, if the deal goes through and $btc still makes new lows, people will call the asset "bad" or "lagging" or "why is spx moving up and not btc, sell your bitcoin now, the asset is dead". Case and point, there will always be a narrative to why price did x, y or z. People will always look for reasons. Show me the charts and I'll tell you the narrative. Remember my bold claim. Once and if we made new lows and my (bold) plan to build shorts into it plays out, I will go back to this tweet, and you will become wiser, I promise. If not and the idea is wrong, at least, I tried. But I promise you that the business as usual is new lows once more. And, once $btc made new lows, we will not blame it on the deal (if it goes wrong), we will not blame it on $btc being a lagging asset compared to $spx at the moment (if the deal goes right). And then there is the third scenario, where nothing happens, or only a smaller pump. Then the bulls come out loudly, tell me I was wrong, and then we see new lows regardless. So, it's all a façade, hence we will simply ignore the news, news is just a subset of the narrative, which always comes after the move, not before. Markets are forward pricing.

$btc sizeable shorts First zone reached. ✅Taking profits here. ✅ Fourth W in a row in the making. Alright! The plan is ancient, yet the plan is clear. Of me calling loudly and clearly for 74.1k, and taking 1 partial in between. We planned out every single step along the way, as well as every zone we would take profits, and we now reached that first zone. Simple means to take profits. Another trade called live, conviction, and clear instruction every step along the way. With this trade, being a bigger size trade. That's TP1 and our fourth win in a row in the making. Enjoy.

$btc shorts Added the same exact part in again, at the exact same price, with the same exact plan in mind. Alright, our call last time offered the exact predicted $1300 move we wanted to see. It didn't give a cent less, it didn't give a cent more. We entered at that time in anticipation of that move, but due to the slow reaction and bank holiday, exited again. We now reached back to the same price level of 77.4k. This time, it's likely the reaction will be more prompt and clear, especially in the order flow, so I am adding the first portion back in. I realize it's somewhat of a parade of entering and exiting at the exact same price a few times, for which I apologize. Mind you these shorts overall are slightly large in base size than my overall position, especially when positioning is finalized and especially compared to the first 3 trades in this current win streak. And thanks to the signature responding to the $1300 mark perfectly, we get to continue to execute our overall plan and we can continue to operate our overall pre planned execution. So this is exactly where I wanted to ad and stay added now, for the first half of the positioning process of this trade. A trade that carries a bit more conviction, a bit more time, and a bit more management, than my usual endeavour indeed. Conviction comes with clarity, and this trade is the clearest of the 4 trades we had, and so should the overall size after finalisation. I am convinced in this leading us to 74.1k after all is said and done, new lows, and I still don't believe it's worth longing before reaching it. Enjoy, and happy holding along. I will guide you through the entire process of it as always, in live time, with live entries and exits.

We have reset everyone's limits for gpt-5-codex to allow you all to benefit more from it today and as a way to make up for the slowdowns earlier while we were provisioning additional GPUs. We'll continue to add capacity throughout the week to maintain the speed. Enjoy!