Rajat ฿🚀

Only Goal of 2022: CUT OUT THE NOISE - Cut out the YouTube subs - Cut out useless email subs - Cut out clickbait BS - Cut out worthless wealth twitter shit. Stack hard. Stop working for $$$. Work for love.

I feel like if the market is going to bait everyone into "believing again" it kinda has to santa rally for a bit, still too much disbelief, natives were swearing off the space a week ago

@Anonymistxyz @BarrySilbert Need to dump on retail ASAP.

The largest exchange in China listing $ZEC tomorrow. Probably nothing … 👀

@BritishHodl @fundstrat You fucking Moron. Where were you before this POS went down -70% ?? Always "GREAT TIME TO DCA" - Pay attention.

MSTR down significantly less than Bitcoin in early Pre-Market is potentially a signal. Pay attention right now. As I said on spaces a few days ago & videos last year - function which @fundstrat broke down beautifully yesterday, the value that MSTR plays absorbing the desire to leverage short Bitcoin could be early signalling a lift off. The speculative platform that MSTR allows is part of its value stack to the growing economy of Bitcoin and that justifies its oscillating premium.

@chrissssjohnson @AMPMSose I can’t with BTC as 90% of my worth. Just can’t ignore everything based on “LoNg TeRm”. Peace out bro. Big fan of your Bitcoin knowledge journey.

@AMPMSose @razyfired I’ll let you guys underperform in peace

What exactly do you want me to acknowledge bro This is the S&P 500 priced in Bitcoin Holding SPY makes you poorer in Bitcoin terms, there’s no two ways to look at it

@Camden_Chris @chrissssjohnson Did you see the cruise control setting ?

@razyfired @chrissssjohnson Turtle won the race lol

@chrissssjohnson Bro, I am driving on cruise control. But for a new driver, you can't ignore the storms and road blocks which can get anyone better routes is all i am saying. Long term eventually you die. So it's different and btw I ain't sold nothing since 2022

@razyfired We start in California, we’re racing to New York I’m in Ohio, you’re in Arizona Then you get on the internet and say “I went 0-60” faster than you this year, forgetting that you’re in Arizona and I’m in Ohio

@sunny051488 The only thing left in BTC thesis to destroy is this 20% return. Let the price close below $93600 by Dec 2025 and it will certainly be over for the so called BTC OG's as well.

This would eliminate 99% of all new bitcoin holders on this platform if this played out with a modest 20% CAGR the next 5 years. The only people losing their minds on price action are the ones that have unrealistic expectations. If you ingest moonboi slop on here daily, you will be disappointed to the core.

@sminston_with What's the bear market for USD ? That will be worst for decades. They can't talk about for lowest vol so they don't even try for highest vol.

TradFi definition of "bear market" is simply a -20% drawdown from ATH. It is baffling to me why this hasn't been updated decades ago for more volatile assets. Shouldn't there be a "bear market table" with drawdown % vs. duration (days, weeks, etc.)? Someone collaborate with me on standardizing this for the modern age, spearheaded by Bitcoiners. Thanks, Smitty

Getting closer

@krugermacro Only a matter of destroying last bit of 4 year cycle theory. Close BTC under $93.5k making it -ve YoY and look ripe for a LONG bear market. Then rip it up other way next year when all theories are removed. BTC behaves like a macro asset.

That was Hawkish Fed repricing (called it) + AI doomerism (data says doomers are wrong) + profit taking + high beta unwinds + negative gamma + momentum. Bottom in or close. Macro fundamentals didn't change, and there are several positive catalysts coming after the FOMC, which, granted is very far away. Extraordinary poor bounce from BTC relative to other assets. This is not "the end of the cycle" but questioning the upside and if it's wroth my time. Maybe it's a matter of ignoring it until year end.

@chrissssjohnson $0.1M and upwards as track is going to attract mostly "never sell" buyers. Which means low volatility and trending upwards similar to NDX.

I’m liking this theory even more All the liquidity got crushed + tariff scares + government shutdown + whales selling we went to $99.5k I think the floor is becoming more and more solid

What if all that OTC buying doesn’t pump bitcoin price like you think it “should” but the bitcoin moving hands from “eventual sellers” to “never sellers” prevents the large drawdowns in the future I think that’s why Saylor says Bitcoin winter isn’t coming back

@Matt_Pinner Where is my kung pao chicken ?

How would you describe this ? Best caption wins! 😂

@ZssBecker If you are a perma bull retard that kept your followers in the horse shit for ever dreaming about alt season, You are a bagholding fucking soy boy. PS: always start by saying “ I only have 5% of NW in this in your disclaimer”

The goverment is printing again. Rates are going down. Every gov, corporation and bank/payment processor is adopting crypto. If your full “crypto is dead here”. You are fucking foolish.

@Evan_ss6 How deep down are you ? Can’t BTFD anymore ?

“Bob Loukas, so confused that his incredible “buy and sell every four years for guaranteed aristocrat status” isn’t providing necessary signal, recently tweeted that BTC could either go to $180k or $60k by end of year. This is actually the same way that Warren Buffett invested as well. Bob Loukas, king of the 4 year cycle, sold some of his BTC at $75,000 in q1, right before it went out a 60%+ rally in 90 calendar days. These people would struggle to keep jobs at the local grocery store in any other market regime.” -@chumbawamba22

@JoeConsorti -6.54% downside left before the 4-year cycle is truly considered DEAD.

Year-to-date returns: Bitcoin: +6.54% S&P 500: +15.55% Nasdaq: +21.47%

@sminston_with That # is the magnet for market to pull at collapsing all hopes of moonvember/upcember. I don't know how on-chain data lines up with that. Meaning can price wick down to that and stay there long enough to destroy all ST bulls.

@razyfired I have always been skeptical of a tight 4 year cycle

Well, 3 days into November and we're already at -3.3% for the month, below the historical November median trend. That's the update. PS: Hold on tight, they want to shake you out, and they like that $100k number.

@sminston_with Sminston, i think that number is $93429 (EOY 2024). That will literally destroy the last dominant narrative of 3rd year of 4-y cycle when the price goes -ve YoY. Any thoughts on this ?

@_Checkmatey_ Thank you. Does that mean the massive sell range (distribution)has been $55k-$75k ?

@razyfired Here is the 365-day change

Folks are only just coming around to the idea that existing BTC holders are the primary source of sell-side pressure. Chart shows current 30-day sell-side pressure 🟠 is ~$34B/month No, the coins are not rotating into ETFs 🟢, nor are TCos big buyers🟣. Neither is large enough.