Nicholas G. Reich

Scientific Meeting: Forecasting natural and social systems, 13 - 14 March 2023 @royalsociety @reichlab #forecasting royalsociety.org/science-events…

Join our upcoming scientific meeting on the topic of #forecasting and methodologies used across different scientific disciplines, with Professors Sebastian Funk (@sbfnk), Nicholas Reich (@reichlab), Steven Riley (@SRileyIDD) & Rachel Lowe (@drrachellowe): ow.ly/uAmj50MWQOw

Excited that these two meetings on forecasting (one general, one specific to infectious diseases) are finally happening, 13-16 March, having been years in the making and delayed multiple times due to the pandemic royalsociety.org/science-events… and royalsociety.org/science-events… 1/5

@JPWeiland Interesting predictions. What kind of model is this coming from? do you submit the predictions anywhere so they can be evaluated later on for accuracy? E.g. COVID-19 Forecast Hub? covid19forecasthub.org

A visualization of when spikes are expected in other parts of the country

We are seeing hospitalizations rise quickly in Northeastern states since XBB.1.5 became dominant less than 2 weeks ago Paying attention to hospitalizations is important, as it is a consistent measure of community spread levels past 2021. Case rates are pretty high in MA and CT

I’m excited to announce that I’m looking for a postdoc to join my lab! I feel like most ads focus on the research/project/PI, so here’s a thread about what YOU will get as part of the position. iddjobs.org/jobs/remote-op…

@seabbs Hat tips also to @JustinLessler and @andrewazman who have collaborated on pieces of this (both the paper and the software).

Luckily reality has never held me back before.

Doing some time travel. The past has some nice papers in it. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.10…

@m_hoehle @seabbs Makes the annoying/time-consuming update requests from CRAN worthwhile to see it getting some usage!

@seabbs Always makes me happy to see this work getting used! This was my start in the infectious disease modeling/software dev world, as part of my PhD.

Nice one @reichlab (though this does make it awkward for some work on how we are disrupting the field with some innovations it appears have already happened...)

It was great to have you up here, @FoxandtheFlu! Looking forward to the next visit.

We’re excited to collaborate with @LehighU computational scientist @tomcm39, leader of the Computational Uncertainty Lab, @UMassAmherst’s Evan Ray, a biostatistician developing infectious disease forecasting models, & @GeorgiaTech biomedical engineer & lecturer Todd Fernandez.

With 2 TT positions in Stats and 2 in Biostats @UMassAmherst this hiring season, I'm excited for the growth in our Five College Stats community! @FiveCollegeStat biostat: careers.umass.edu/amherst/en-us/… stat: mathjobs.org/jobs/list/20907

We are hiring *at least two* tenure track faculty in statistics this year! Come be my colleague! mathjobs.org/jobs/list/20907

Here's another new @UMassAmherst TT faculty opening, with a focus in Infectious Disease Epidemiology, w/in the Dept of Biostats and Epi. This position has... - 9 mo. hard money salary 💰 - support from @UMassIALS Come join our team! careers.umass.edu/amherst/en-us/…

@geospacedman @StatModeling And with everything/everyone remote, I know very very few of the grad students in our programs with whom I'm not directly working. That is very different from "before".

@geospacedman @StatModeling totally fair point. this is a complicated issue. what is your professional scope for being engaged with students? I find that I am a better teacher/mentor/advisor in-person, but I imagine that not all feel the same way.

(Now that faculty aren’t coming into the office anymore) Will universities ever recover? statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/10/06/now…

In what kind of an environment is your institution, and are people generally "around" on campus these days, or does it feel like nobody's there?

@Alexander_Tin @CDCgov I will also add that 1. We don't know what's going to happen beyond 4 weeks. 2. The numbers of COVID deaths in the US each week right now are "low" compared to Omicron highs. 3. The number dead from COVID in the past ~1 month is ~= as those who die in 1 yr due to mild flu season

Now published on Thursdays The @CDCgov's national ensemble forecast interpretations this week say the pace of new COVID-19 deaths "will likely decrease over the next 4 weeks" cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…

@Alexander_Tin We have updated our weekly reports now... covid19forecasthub.org/reports/single…

@reichlab Thank you, I saw the page says though "over the last two weeks (ending Saturday, September 17, 2022) and the forecasted counts for the subsequent two weeks (ending October 01, 2022)."

@reichlab What happened to the COVID-19 ensemble forecast for this week?

@Alexander_Tin The state reports at the Hub are correct, we are working on fixing/updating a hard-coded date in the US reports. Should be up in an hour or two. e.g. correct report for CA covid19forecasthub.org/reports/single…

@Alexander_Tin good catch. looking into this.