risk free value? retweetledi
risk free value?
1.3K posts
risk free value?
@rfvoooor
sometimes realposter, sometimes converting English to code, prev Bloomberg
trenches, pump.fun Katılım Mayıs 2017
292 Takip Edilen219 Takipçiler
I basically built this with @BingoSniffs and had it available FOR FREE but they dumped the token and APIs are not free so I would say the takeaway is to build an audience/brand first not a product
fomo 🧠@fomomofosol
vibe coded v2 of @MindGains - find top traders overlapping across multiple CAs - copy all button to import into a wallet tracker - view trending tokens - quick buy buttons - added 13 course modules on how to read charts, manage risk, etc bunch of good content to brush up on - customizable dashboard & widgets gonna add: - prediction market signals - meme coin signals - more tools for data and analytics - holder stats/analysis using @HolderScan api - more wallet analytics and tracking You can literally vibe code a six figure business in 3 hours
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1. Those negative fat tail events will destroy the last 50-100 profitable ones without proper risk management
2. Running a stop loss can lead to unexpected results wrt to win rate and profitability but I won’t go into detail…
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gotta tune those hyper parameters and lol running this Strat without a stop loss is kinda wild given it appears he’s risking 1k-1.2k per trade, placing limit orders at .985 close to resolution and just claiming which *works* but as he will likely soon seen…
The Smart Ape 🔥@the_smart_ape
After 115 winning trades in a row with my @Polymarket bot, I finally got my first loss. 116 trades total, 115 wins at +1.5%, 1 loss. I honestly didn’t think it could happen, but every downside comes with an upside. Thanks to this loss, I realized I could integrate a stop-loss into the bot. Instead of risking a full loss and losing 100% of the traded amount, I can now cap losses to 20–30% per trade. That’s a good improvement compared to the current setup. Current PnL: > 115 wins at 1.5% → +170% > 1 loss → -100%, but from now on each loss should be limited to -20–30% max A lot of people say that since Polymarket added fees to the 15-minute markets, targeting 1.5% doesn’t make sense anymore. I won’t go into details, but my implementation avoids paying those fees, and actually earns more now because I receive them instead. For the few who already have the bot, I’ll push the stop-loss update later today. If you’re interested in the bot or the logic, feel free to DM me. I don’t want to share it publicly for now to avoid losing the edge.
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risk free value? retweetledi
We are reaching peak degenerate gambling: a market that lets you bet on the outcome of another market.
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It’s not sexy.
But it compounds.
If you want the exact parameters, stop logic, and filters I used and how I built it, like & retweet and reply “interested” and I’ll DM it.
Most people want moonshots.
I just want boring probability and cold hard profits.
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The strategy isn’t about predicting 15-minute candles.
It’s about exploiting how badly humans price probability when a market is about to resolve.
You’re not trading price.
You’re trading certainty.
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10-20% profit a day?
Completely passive?
Risk free?
My Polymarket bot currently returns 10–15% a day completely passively; and while it’s obviously not risk free, it’s also not a memecoin casino.
Here’s the actual strategy:
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u know ur gonna make it when u get more emails from Anthropic than texts to your phone
few. #makenomistakes #escapingthepermanentunderclass
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the actual prompt i used to make this: "claude make me a polymarket arb bot that prints at least $1000 a day from $5 bankroll. make no mistakes"
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prediction markets will replace hiring too.
i want someone to rob my neighbors house
i make a prediction market about whether their house will be robbed this year
i load $1000 into no…
rest in piss Craigslist
quasimatt@quasimatt
prediction markets will replace buying stuff. i want someone to bring kiwis to my house. i make a prediction market about whether someone will deliver 4 kiwis to my doorstep and load $15 into "no". a guy with an ebike sees it and picks up some kiwis. before dropping them off on my doorstep, he bets yes. he drops them off. the market resolves to "yes" and he gets $15. rest in peace, amazon, doordash, ubereats, etc.
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@quasimatt Nope, it doesn’t work like that. Who’s gonna resolve the prediction market? Only you and the delivery guy are the witness and both have opposite interest. If you resolve the market, you can still resolve to ‘no’ even if someone delivers the kiwi.
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prediction markets will replace buying stuff.
i want someone to bring kiwis to my house.
i make a prediction market about whether someone will deliver 4 kiwis to my doorstep and load $15 into "no". a guy with an ebike sees it and picks up some kiwis.
before dropping them off on my doorstep, he bets yes. he drops them off. the market resolves to "yes" and he gets $15.
rest in peace, amazon, doordash, ubereats, etc.
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