RobertT
2.3K posts
RobertT
@rob__tab
Always learning 💻 🗒️. NFA. Views my own. LARP.
Bay area 🔁 Monterey Bay Katılım Haziran 2022
2.8K Takip Edilen384 Takipçiler
The lockup for SpaceX shares is like nothing I have ever seen.
Three groups with different lockup regimes.
The largest group has 180 day lockup after IPO, but with a graduated ability to sell based on share price at milestones before then.
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If the Strait of Hormuz officially reopens and Iran and America actually reach a deal, Trump won't have a carrot to dangle in front of the markets every other day anymore.
And if the deal doesn't go through for some reason, incoming retraces on these pumps.
Interesting times..
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bearish on a dip today, suddenly bullish again on some news tmr
is it j based on vibes or do u actually have a plan?
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Mark Cuban explains how he pulled off one of Wall Street’s greatest trades
“When Yahoo offered us $5.7B in stock, I couldn’t sell it for six months”
“So what I did was I took every penny that I had and shorted the internet index as protection, basically taking insurance out in case the internet bubble popped”
“When I was allowed to sell it, because I couldn’t sell it all at once, it would just crater the market, so I did something called a hedge”
“What the hedge is, you can sell options. So I sold call options, which gave somebody else the right to buy my shares at a higher price in the future”
“I took that money and used it to buy puts, which protected me in case the price of my stock went down”
“When it popped, I actually made more money. It was called one of the top 10 trades in Wall Street history”
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TOM LEE SAYS $2 TRILLION OF SPACEX STOCK UNLOCKS 90 DAYS AFTER THE IPO
- Cites Paul Tudor Jones using the same setup to call the 1999 top
- SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs could total $4 trillion combined
- That's 5 to 7% of the entire S&P 500 in new supply hitting the market
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RobertT retweetledi
When you were taught to value companies based on discounted future cash flows but you just saw a company with no cash flows IPO for a trillion dollars
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I got good news and I got bad news...
Good news is even more blatantly obvious evidence comes out that we're clearly late cycle
Bad news is everyone's busy chasing the shiny inflation story and going to get blindsided by the growth concerns over the next 2 quarters
Normal Guy@Normal_2610
Koreans are surrendering life insurance policies to buy SK hynix, Insurance surrenders at the top 3 life insurers jumped 16% last quarter. Savings bank deposits fell below 100 trillion won for the first time in 4 years. Commercial bank time deposits dropped 12 trillion won since February. The entire financial system is being rerouted into 2 semiconductor stocks. When new money into a rally comes not from income but from liquidating safety nets, that is how the end of every cycle looks man, this is crazy ..... Investors over 50 now hold 62% of margin loans at Korea top 10 brokerages. Among those in their 60s, margin debt doubled from 3.9 to 8 trillion won in one year. These are people who spent decades in fixed deposits and real estate, now entering a semiconductor rally on borrowed money at record highs. When the KOSPI dropped 19% in March, leveraged investors in their 60s lost 20% on average. The rally recovered. same thing in smaller model happening in India - MTF, i feel this so stupid
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soon the top crypto projects won't even be called crypto
it's already true for the leaders today and the trend will continue to accelerate:
• $HYPE is more tradfi than crypto w/ stock + oil trading
• $VVV is more Ai project than crypto
early innings of the convergence
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Trump de-escalates every time the 10y yield gets to 4.5%.
Bonds don't want war, but Israel does. The coming years are a battle between the two over US foreign policy.
Either the US stops being Israel's mercenary army or the bond market implodes.
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modeled out the $PURR mNAV today.
unless I have an incorrect assumption around dilution, the 19% premium as of close seems extremely compelling.
for dat experts, would like your input, but gives me increasing confidence in $PURR as a mechanism to own more $HYPE especially with regulatory clarity unlocked.
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