@peacockreports You might be interested in this!
research.reading.ac.uk/huracan/about-…
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Robert Doane-Solomon
4.1K posts
Robert Doane-Solomon
@robert__ds
Atmospheric Physics PhD @ Pembroke, Oxford.
London, England Katılım Mart 2015
1.8K Takip Edilen189 Takipçiler
Something I've thought about often over the years.
Expansion of the conducive area for tropical cyclones also expands the area in which already tropical ones might hold onto that characteristic. Perhaps even as far as southern/western UK for fast-moving ones (my speculation).
Mystere Météo@MystereMeteo
🌀Vers un renforcement des environnements favorables à la cyclogenèse tropicale dans l'Atlantique Nord aux latitudes moyennes ? Tant sous SSP2-4.5 que sous SSP5-8.5, probabilité + élevée de transition tropicale, augmentant le risque lié à ces systèmes destructeurs en Europe
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Except the jet stream is actually on average shifting north...
nature.com/articles/s4324…
wcd.copernicus.org/articles/3/777…
The increased rain however, could be worse than the models predict...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…
Will Hutton@williamnhutton
2O consecutive days of no sunshine in Aberdeen - the longest period since records began in 1957. It’s part of the same story as extreme cold in the US and Eastern Europe/Ukraine. Jet stream moving south. We are not living through a climate change hoax. It’s for real.
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Robert Doane-Solomon retweetledi
10 points to whoever identifies the very obvious reason you cannot "supply the waste heat from your cooling system to power homes and businesses nearby."
This is your hint:
Carla Denyer@carla_denyer
Here's a better idea: every data centre you build, you build enough renewable energy to power it, and you supply the waste heat from your cooling system to power homes and businesses nearby. Simple. Common sense. And fair.
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Surely the oldest restaurant west of the Mississippi is deserving of a RIH episode @holland_tom @dcsandbrook! After all, General Custer dined here and I don’t think the @TheRestHistory club members have heard enough facts about Custer.
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@levsolonothan I’ve actually thought about this a lot, they’re really designed for American roads and not a lot of “urbanist” roads where the boundary between pavement/road is a lot more blurred
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Robert Doane-Solomon retweetledi
the lengths you have to go when the Botley Road is closed to traffic
The Independent@Independent
Oxford scientists achieve teleportation with quantum supercomputer independent.co.uk/tech/quantum-c…
Wantage, England 🇬🇧 English
This is totally absurd. We should absolutely not be spending 1.5x the amount we have given to Ukraine (!) to give these islands to Mauritius. It's bad for our national security, and the Chagossian people themselves don't even want it! @ChagossianVoic2
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BA if my flight is cancelled it’s usually a good idea to email me to let me know…
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They’ll cancel trains for literally any reason nowadays, even existing…
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I'm reasonably happy with the directional shifts I based my prediction on, but I missed on the magnitude. Trump outperformed with minorities, winning the Sun Belt. Harris held steady with white women, but they didn't swing to her, so it wasn't enough to win the Rust Belt.
Robert Doane-Solomon@robert__ds
US election prediction: Harris will win 270-268 by winning the 3 Rust Belt states, while losing all 4 Sun Belt states (except possibly NC). I'm fairly convinced we will see white women swing towards Harris, and Latino men swing to Trump. I think pollsters are herding (1/n)
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Robert Doane-Solomon retweetledi
A stark lesson from the US for energy policy in the UK: You don’t get the chance to make grand plans about climate or anything else if people feel poorer when they go to the polls in 5 years.
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Looks pretty clear to me that Harris isn’t winning white people by enough to overcome Trump winning diverse people. In fact she might not have improved upon Biden there at all. Trump appears likely to win the election now.
Robert Doane-Solomon@robert__ds
So extrapolating this to swing states implies Harris doing better than her polling in the 3 whiter states (WI/MI/PA) and worse in the 4 more diverse states (NV/AZ/GA/NC). However all it takes is the exact magnitude of these shifts to be a little different than I expect (3/n)
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@levimaxsolomon I think that’s more likely than a super tight race but you have to pick 1 lol
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@robert__ds I’m gonna go with the blowout prediction one way or the other
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US election prediction: Harris will win 270-268 by winning the 3 Rust Belt states, while losing all 4 Sun Belt states (except possibly NC). I'm fairly convinced we will see white women swing towards Harris, and Latino men swing to Trump. I think pollsters are herding (1/n)
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And we'd see Trump win in PA (+ WI/MI) & then win overall. Plus I wouldn't underestimate the anger of Arab-Americans abt Gaza in MI that might not show up well in polling (like the UK election). I am not really confident at all, but if I had to bet, this would be my guess. (4/4)
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So extrapolating this to swing states implies Harris doing better than her polling in the 3 whiter states (WI/MI/PA) and worse in the 4 more diverse states (NV/AZ/GA/NC). However all it takes is the exact magnitude of these shifts to be a little different than I expect (3/n)
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@holland_tom On your recommendation from the Aztec episodes I visited the fantastic Silbury Hill in Wiltshire. Surely far greater than any Aztec Pyramid, only surpassed in recent UK mound history by the timeless one at Marble Arch!
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Interesting dynamics at play over Switzerland this morning! High pressure trapping cloud over the lowlands between the Jura and the Alps, clear skies on north side of the Alps, cloudy in the southern side as storms from Italy push up against the mountains
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