Robert Friedland

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Robert Friedland

Robert Friedland

@robert_ivanhoe

Founder @IvanhoeMines_ | @IvanhoeElectric | Everything affects everything, everywhere, all the time 🌎

Katılım Ağustos 2022
266 Takip Edilen43.3K Takipçiler
Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
The indefatigable genius, Craig Tindale, has done it once again with a deep-dive analysis on the supply crunch of the chemicals needed to make the world go round. The situation the world finds itself in has never before been articulated as clearly as Craig has analysed it here… All those that care how our world is changing, with absurdly profound consequences, should IMMEDIATELY READ his analysis. @ctindale explains how chemical reagents have overtaken geology as THE main bottleneck impacting the global supply chain of metals. An unprecedented shock has been created in the supply of sulphur and sulphuric acid. Initially, this was caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz… and further exasperated by subsequent export restrictions imposed by other major exporters of sulphur and sulphuric acid as they protect thier own industries. As Craig points out, sulphuric acid is essential in the production of critical metals, such as copper, nickel, cobalt, uranium and rare earths… He goes into detail on how the growing contraction in the supply of acid is already impacting the production of critical metals in Chile, Africa, Indonesia and Kazakhstan. Not to be forgotten is that over 50% of the world’s sulphuric acid is used in the production of fertilizer. The supply shock is also having a significant impact on the security of food supply. Governments have a priority to ensure their populations have enough food to eat at a price they can afford to eat it at….leading to further export restrictions. Craig forecasts: 1) vertical integration and “reagent security” will become essential to metals producers, 2) the supply of chemical reagents will be weaponized, and 3) technological substitution will accelerate as we seek alternatives to solve our dependency. Craig’s incredibly insightful analysis even includes a handy Reagent Brittleness Index (RBI), which he artfully uses to create a Sulphur & Acid Supply Risk Dashboard for Critical Mining Assets. Spoiler: Craig notes that the Kamoa-Kakula Copper Complex in the DRC emerges as a mining operation least at risk to chemical supply shocks, as our new on-site copper smelter becomes a major sulphuric acid PRODUCER for the region. We are genuinely alarmed by the consequences of the new reality the world finds itself in… take an hour out of your weekend and carefully read it for yourself.
🇦🇺Craig Tindale@ctindale

x.com/i/article/2055…

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Jeffrey Currie 🆔++
Jeffrey Currie 🆔++@CommodMkt·
Welcome to the most asymmetric trade in modern financial history. The thread below lays out why. The opportunity exists because capital has chased the AI trade while ignoring the physical assets AI requires to run — assets that have quietly become the best-performing asset class of the decade. Since October 2020 when we first called for the commodity super cycle: QCI Total Return +217%, GSCI Total Return +205%, Gold +140%. NASDAQ trails at +130%. S&P 500 at +85%. The top three are all commodities. Yet oil cannot get out of its own way while copper and the broader atom complex prints fresh highs . That is the dislocation. That is the trade. Get long. Buckle in. Hang on for the ride. Forgive the longer posts in this thread — attempting to mimic my old 10-bullet commodity takes. On to it.
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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
Wall Street’s leading metals & mining analyst, Chris Lefemina at @Jefferies, just made this bullish comment on copper: “We had been accused of being too bullish on copper in recent years, but our price deck now appears to be overly conservative, as we forecast an average price of just ~$5.84/lb from 2026-2030. We believe an environment of >$8/lb copper for an extended period is increasingly likely over the next 3-5 years.”
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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
Another 5,000 lots of that Sept call spread (buying $15,500/t call options and selling $17,000/t call options) went through an LME broker earlier today… Extremely bullish
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe

Big money just spoke loud and clear on the LME. A monster Sept ’26 15,500–17,000 call spread traded in 5,500 lots for roughly $22 million in premium. That’s not retail noise, that’s institutional conviction betting copper is heading significantly higher by late 2026. The supercycle thesis just got expensive confirmation. At @IvanhoeMines_ we’re proud to be one of the world’s largest and highest-grade copper producers, with the Kamoa-Kakula copper complex powering our energy future.

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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
Santa Cruz continues its journey to become the next large-scale 99.99% pure copper cathode producer in the United States, delivering the copper that America needs to support industry, technology, and national defense
Ivanhoe Electric@ivanhoeelectric

NEWS!: @ivanhoeelectric plans to acquire a state-of-the-art, American-made tunnel boring machine for decline development at the Santa Cruz Copper Project in Arizona. President and CEO, Taylor Melvin comments, “Acquiring the Robbins Crossover XRE TBM will marry America’s best tunnel boring technology to America’s next great underground porphyry copper producer.” Read the news release: bit.ly/4eEEVZ3 #AmericanCopper #ArizonaMining #SantaCruzCopperProject

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Robert Friedland retweetledi
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Copper prices have surged to a record $6.58 per pound, now up +75% since October 2023 and over +40% in 12 months. The surge comes amid tight supply, declining inventories in China, and surging demand for data center construction. Furthermore, supply disruptions at the world's 2nd-largest copper mine in Indonesia are adding to the pressure. Meanwhile, China's exports jumped +14% YoY in April, led by booming clean-tech shipments, components that are materially copper-intensive, tightening the market even further. The global economy is scrambling for copper.
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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
Copper just hit a fresh all-time record high, powered by surging AI data center demand. Citi says it’s time to chase the move higher.  The message hasn’t changed: copper is the fundamental metal of the global economy, and there simply isn’t enough of it. AI, electrification, and the broader energy transition are colliding with persistent supply constraints. Mines take decades to build, permitting remains broken, and existing operations face growing headwinds. At @IvanhoeMines_ we’re proud to be delivering some of the world’s highest-grade copper from Kamoa-Kakula and advancing the next wave of projects. The supercycle isn’t coming, it’s here. Early innings still. cnbc.com/2026/05/12/thi…
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Ivanhoe Mines
Ivanhoe Mines@IvanhoeMines_·
The world needs copper. EVs. Power grids. Data centers. Defence. Analysts are flagging structural supply deficits starting in 2026 - and Kamoa-Kakula, one of the world’s largest and highest-grade copper producers, is positioned to be part of the answer.
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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
It's been three years since this fireside with @ErikSchatzker at @BloombergLive’s @QatarEconForum in 2023. The message is even truer now than it was then: copper is fundamental to the global economy and when it comes to supply, there’s just not enough of it. Even as the world desperately needs more copper mines, we’re seeing supply constraints at existing mines like never before. Meanwhile, demand is gathering steam. Drivers like war and the need to replenish armaments – sadly - and AI are adding to the picture. New Yorkers HAVE become more thoughtful about the source of their ham sandwiches. They’re starting to get the picture, but we’re still in the early innings both in terms of the structural constraints and the understanding of those constraints. Since the day of that conversation 3 years ago, the price of copper has risen 77% from $3.64 per pound to $6.45 today.
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Ivanhoe Mines
Ivanhoe Mines@IvanhoeMines_·
Shaft #3 at our Platreef Mine in South Africa is complete. What that means: hoisting capacity increases five-fold to 5 Mtpa. Shaft #3 will significantly increase the rate of underground mining and underground development. Phase 2 earthworks are underway. Production targeting over 450,000 oz PGMs and gold is within reach by end of 2027.💥 The build continues.
Ivanhoe Mines tweet mediaIvanhoe Mines tweet media
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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
Big money just spoke loud and clear on the LME. A monster Sept ’26 15,500–17,000 call spread traded in 5,500 lots for roughly $22 million in premium. That’s not retail noise, that’s institutional conviction betting copper is heading significantly higher by late 2026. The supercycle thesis just got expensive confirmation. At @IvanhoeMines_ we’re proud to be one of the world’s largest and highest-grade copper producers, with the Kamoa-Kakula copper complex powering our energy future.
Robert Friedland tweet mediaRobert Friedland tweet media
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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
China is pulling platinum into the country hard. A major Chinese refiner reports surging physical delivery demand on the new Guangzhou Futures Exchange platinum contract. Speculators and industrial users are opting for delivery rather than closing shorts, capturing the premium over London spot prices. Global prices have more than doubled in the past year, inventories remain tight (~600kg vs 14.4 tons open interest for the key June contract), and Beijing’s export restrictions are tightening international supply further. Long-term supply contracts are now being requested. Platinum is in the spotlight. Meanwhile,@IvanhoeMines_ Platreef mine in South Africa, one of the world’s largest developing PGM projects, is ramping up production to help meet this growing global demand. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
At long last — the one and only @CommodMkt Jeff Currie is officially here. Legendary voice in commodities, markets, and the real economy just dropped his first post. @abaxx_tech @abaxx_exchange — the old economy is back and it’s bringing atoms, not just bits.
Josh Crumb 🆔++@JoshCrumb

At long last, let’s all welcome #JeffCurrie to @X (@CommodMkt is his real account btw, the others popping up are fake) #OOTT #LNG #Gold #Oil #Copper #Commodities #RevengeOfTheOldEconomy #AtomsAndBits #LetsGetPhysical

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Robert Friedland
Robert Friedland@robert_ivanhoe·
The smelter at our Kamoa-Kakula Copper Complex currently produces circa 1,300 tonnes per day of high strength sulphuric acid as a byproduct. In December 2025, when we commissioned the smelter, we were expecting to sell sulphuric acid for $200 -$250 per tonne… the most recent contract we signed is for $725 per tonne and we estimate prices will to be over $1,000 per tonne within the next month should the Strait of Hormuz remain closed. wsj.com/finance/commod…
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