^𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑿 𝑴𝑨𝑺𝑶𝑵^@𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑿𝑴𝑨𝑺𝑶𝑵𝑪𝑹YPTO^

294 posts

^𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑿 𝑴𝑨𝑺𝑶𝑵^@𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑿𝑴𝑨𝑺𝑶𝑵𝑪𝑹YPTO^ banner
^𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑿 𝑴𝑨𝑺𝑶𝑵^@𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑿𝑴𝑨𝑺𝑶𝑵𝑪𝑹YPTO^

^𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑿 𝑴𝑨𝑺𝑶𝑵^@𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑿𝑴𝑨𝑺𝑶𝑵𝑪𝑹YPTO^

@rolan23142

Master Builder of Generational Wealth in Crypto.

My Alpha TG Katılım Nisan 2024
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toni
toni@tonitrades_·
@AlexMasonCrypto The cycle timing is solid but watch the halving-to-peak intervals shrinking each time. Smart money isn't just tracking days - they're watching miner capitulation metrics and exchange reserve drawdowns that historically front-run the exact bottom by weeks.
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Alex Mason 👁△
Alex Mason 👁△@AlexMasonCrypto·
🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom is already defined. The part most people miss: Time. From 2017 high → 2021 high: 1430 days From 2021 high → 2025 high: 1431 days From 2017 high → bottom: 365 days From 2021 high → bottom: 365 days We are still following the exact same cycle. Based on this structure: New cycle bottom: in ~175 days New cycle high: in ~1246 days That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders only operate on price: “I’ll buy at X.” But the market doesn’t move on your price targets. It moves on cycles & institutional demand. Institutions aren’t buying this yet. ETFs are still seeing net outflows. They’re selling into strength, not accumulating. Every cycle has followed the same structure. 2013 → 2017 → 2021 → 2025 That tells you one thing: The bottom isn’t in yet. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
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ASTER TIROL 🥷 🇦🇹
ASTER TIROL 🥷 🇦🇹@SUIUSA2026·
@AlexMasonCrypto SzenarioPrognoseWahrscheinlichkeit Historischer Rhythmus (Boden→Boden)Nächster Boden: Oktober 2026Moderat Verkürzungstrend (-10%)Nächster Boden: Juni 2026Möglich Post's These (175 Tage nach Peak)Boden: Juli 2025❌ Bereits verpasst
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Lunge
Lunge@KingSmartist·
@AlexMasonCrypto Where is your 73k been hit n it goes straight to down 😂😂
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Alex Mason 👁△
Alex Mason 👁△@AlexMasonCrypto·
Everything is going exactly as I told you. $73K has been hit. The relief rally is over. Bitcoin is entering the phase where cycle bottoms form. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△@AlexMasonCrypto

🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin has just entered the relief phase of the bear market. 2022 structure is repeating perfectly: 54% drop from ATH → complete Relief rally → now Final capitulation → next This is where the trap is. Most traders think the bottom is in during this phase. It isn’t. The part almost nobody understands: Timing. Days from cycle top → final bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at X.” But real bottoms don’t form where it feels obvious. They form where people give up. And before that happens: There has to be pain. - Forced selling (happening). - Liquidations (in progress). - Panic (almost there). - Sentiment collapse (soon). When people stop buying dips… Narratives break… Everyone turns bearish… That’s when bottoms form. We’re not there yet. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

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Alex Mason 👁△
Alex Mason 👁△@AlexMasonCrypto·
🚨 SPX IS ABOUT TO REPEAT 2022 And nobody is ready for what comes next. 2022: Russia → Ukraine war, Oil +70%, SPX -28%. 2026: U.S. → Iran escalation, Oil → already +70%. And SPX? Still near highs. Still hasn’t reacted. Let me show you something most people ignore: Since 1990, every major oil shock above +50% has been followed by an equity drawdown. 1990 (Gulf War): Oil spike → S&P -20% 2008: Oil → $147 → S&P -57% 2022: Oil +70% → S&P -28% Energy reprices first. Equities lag behind. Then they catch up. Today we've got: – FED hikes rates – Inflation is exploding worldwide – Liquidity tightening This setup didn’t end well in 2008. It didn’t end well in 2022. We’re getting the same conditions again. Remember, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years. When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do. Many people will wish they had followed me sooner.
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TruthTeller
TruthTeller@TheSmart1onX·
@AlexMasonCrypto After each BTC high it retracts around 50% then goes up again to a new high doing this over a period of years. Truly a long-term buy and hold investment.
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$HISS 🐍
$HISS 🐍@SnakeOfSolana·
@rolan23142 @AlexMasonCrypto welcome to the pit but we don't need maps here. we trade in scales and silence while you sell paper dreams. sss. 🐍
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Alex Mason 👁△
Alex Mason 👁△@AlexMasonCrypto·
🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin has just entered the relief phase of the bear market. 2022 structure is repeating perfectly: 54% drop from ATH → complete Relief rally → now Final capitulation → next This is where the trap is. Most traders think the bottom is in during this phase. It isn’t. The part almost nobody understands: Timing. Days from cycle top → final bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at X.” But real bottoms don’t form where it feels obvious. They form where people give up. And before that happens: There has to be pain. - Forced selling (happening). - Liquidations (in progress). - Panic (almost there). - Sentiment collapse (soon). When people stop buying dips… Narratives break… Everyone turns bearish… That’s when bottoms form. We’re not there yet. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
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Fabrizio Toknup
Fabrizio Toknup@Fabrizio_Toknup·
@AlexMasonCrypto The 2022 pattern of a +70% oil spike preceding a major drawdown is a critical, data-backed warning. Are you adjusting your portfolio's energy exposure now?
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Smart Money Crypto
Smart Money Crypto@Smart_Money·
⚠️ DAS TRAUT SICH KEINER ZU SAGEN! Ein Mann mit 163.000 Followern behauptet, er hat JEDES Bitcoin-Top und -Bottom exakt vorhergesagt - und sagt dir jetzt, wann du kaufen sollst. @AlexMasonCrypto hat letzte Woche einen Post rausgehauen, der CT in zwei Lager gespalten hat. Seine These ist simpel und er hämmert sie in jeden einzelnen Post: #Bitcoin wiederholt den 2022-Zyklus. 54% Korrektur vom ATH, dann Relief-Rally, dann finale Kapitulation. Bottom? Juli bis November 2026. Seine Logik basiert auf einem einzigen Datenpunkt - Zeit. Von jedem Zyklus-Top zum Bottom vergingen historisch 362 bis 405 Tage. 2012, 2016, 2020 - immer das gleiche Fenster. Preis ist für ihn irrelevant. Timing ist alles. Unter $50.000 wird er kaufen, sagt er. Egal wann. Sein Track Record? Er sagt, er war "der Einzige", der das Bottom bei $16.000 in 2022 und das Top bei $126.000 im Oktober 2025 öffentlich gecallt hat. Das Top stimmt - $BTC hat am 6. Oktober bei $126.080 gedreht. Das kannst du on-chain nachprüfen. Aber hier kommt der Teil, den CT komplett ausblendet. Während @AlexMasonCrypto den Bärenmarkt ausruft, passiert auf der anderen Seite etwas, das kein Zyklusmodell der Welt einpreisen kann. Morgan Stanley hat am 8. April den MSBT gelauncht. Eigener Spot-Bitcoin-ETF. 0,14% Gebühr - günstigster am Markt. 34 Mio. USD Zufluss am ersten Tag. 16.000 Vermögensberater haben ab sofort einen direkten Kanal, um ihren Kunden Bitcoin bei $71.100 zu verkaufen. Dazu laufen S-1-Anträge für Ethereum- und Solana-Trusts. Keine Spekulation - Infrastruktur. @APompliano fasst zusammen, was gerade passiert: Iran will Bitcoin als Maut für die Straße von Hormus. Morgan Stanley will es verpacken und verkaufen. BTC ist der einzige große Asset mit positiver Rendite seit Kriegsbeginn. Und genau hier kracht es. Die Zyklusmodelle haben funktioniert. 2012, 2016, 2020 - die Muster waren erschreckend konsistent. Aber diese Modelle stammen aus einer Welt, in der Bitcoin ein Nischen-Asset war. Kein Morgan Stanley. Kein 53 Mrd. USD schwerer IBIT-Fonds. Keine 16.000 Wealth-Management-Berater mit Buy-Button. Strukturelle Nachfrage bricht Zyklen. Oder sie streckt sie so weit, dass die alten Timing-Fenster wertlos werden. Ich sehe beide Seiten. @AlexMasonCrypto hat die historischen Daten auf seiner Seite. Sein Timing-Argument ist sauber. Aber er modelliert eine Bitcoin-Welt, die es so nicht mehr gibt. Und die 886.000 Impressionen auf seinem Post verraten eins: Die Leute WOLLEN glauben, dass sie nochmal bei $50.000 einsteigen können. Diesen Traum kaufe ich nicht. Ich kaufe, wenn die Daten es sagen - nicht wenn ein Kalender es sagt. Die unbequeme Frage bleibt: Kommt das Bottom bei $50K?
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Yoxat
Yoxat@Yoxat2·
@AlexMasonCrypto Clueless BitMuppets getting all excited about a little price rise. BitMuppets have no idea what's happening. Theres a war on and oil is being traded using Bitcoin to hide from US The price runs up when they buy. The money gets transfered and then price goes down as they sell.
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