Ryan McComb

i swear having the number of your local chipotle manager can give you the ability to pull more levers than the number of your congressperson

this ratio makes me unimaginably happy

@TiredBambooLaw @OrganizerMemes Can we please have a link...I'm foaming at the mouth for this

@OrganizerMemes didn't check the underlying data but this was easier to build than i thought.

Need a scoragami bot that tracks the Supreme Court decision Makeups like "This is the first time KBJ and Alito are sole dissenters on a case, they disagree on 86% of rulings"

Holy misleading, for a sec I thought they ment 40% and not 40% of the original price, and I was like woahhhhh

@bcherny @itsolelehmann yes fs

@itsolelehmann We’re always experimenting with new ideas. 90% don’t ship because we don’t think they’re good enough experiences. Still on the fence about this one — should we ship it?

i can't believe more people aren't talking about this part of the claude code leak there's a hidden feature in the source code called KAIROS, and it basically shows you anthropic's endgame KAIROS is an always-on, *proactive* Claude that does things without you asking it to. it runs in the background 24/7 while you work (or sleep) anthropic hasn't turned it on to the public yet, but the code is fully built here's how it works: every few seconds, KAIROS gets a heartbeat. basically a prompt that says "anything worth doing right now?" it looks at what's happening and makes a call: do something, or stay quiet if it acts, it can fix errors in your code, respond to messages, update files, run tasks... basically anything claude code can already do, just without you telling it to but here's what makes KAIROS different from regular claude code: it has (at least) 3 exclusive tools that regular claude code doesn't get: 1. push notifications, so it can reach you on your phone or desktop even when you're not in the terminal 2. file delivery, so it can send you things it created without you asking for them 3. pull request subscriptions, so it can watch your github and react to code changes on its own regular claude code can only talk to you when you talk to it. KAIROS can tap you on the shoulder and it keeps daily logs of everything. > what it noticed > what it decided > what it did append-only, meaning it can't erase its own history (you can read everything) at night it runs something the code literally calls "autoDream." where it consolidates what it learned during the day and reorganizes its memory while you sleep and it persists across sessions. close your laptop friday, open it monday, it's been working the whole time think about what this means in practice: > you're asleep and your website goes down. KAIROS detects it, restarts the server, and sends you a notification. by the time you see it, it's already back up > you get a customer complaint email at 2am. KAIROS reads it, sends the reply, and logs what it did. you wake up and it's already resolved > your stripe subscription page has a typo that's been live for 3 days. KAIROS spots it, fixes it, and logs the change endless use-cases, it's essentially a co-founder who never sleeps the codebase has this fully built and gated behind internal feature flags called PROACTIVE and KAIROS i think this is probably the clearest signal yet for where all ai tools are going. we are heading into the "post-prompting" era where the ai just works for you in the background like an all-knowing teammate who notices and handles everything, before you even think to ask

wow...a real deviation from fish dogs are the new trend?

Virginia Redistricting Ballot Measure (3/31): 464,065 Modeled Party: 57% D / 38.4% R / 4.6% NP 57.8% 65+ / 24% 50-64 / 4.6% under 30 70.4% White / 12.6% AA / 3.1% Hispanic / 2.8% Asian 54% F / 46% M .39% New Voters 75% Home Owners Get this data today: ow.ly/NqgX50Yzf2cx

@PredictItPod @Kalshi erm....do I smell an arb oppurtunity

@ryanjmccomb @Kalshi 85% on PredictIt I think is in fact accurate predictit.org/markets/detail…

I feel 90% odds of Platner winning the primary on @Kalshi are a bit too high; I very much see the line of reasoning, but I feel the possibility of an even larger skeleton in the closet, or just an overall vibe shift before primary day, as not being too unlikely.

Another data point in support of thermostatic public opinion

@ZhouJaron, we need an "another skeleton in the closet for Platner" market asap :))

No, no, hear him out.

@cwolovick @MikeNellis I very much see that point, but I feel like we should give him a bit of time, it’s not even the end of the month yet and he still is just the mayor

@MikeNellis I live in IL9, Daniel hasn’t really reached out to the voters who didn’t support him. I hope he does because that’s 71.1% of us, including pro Israel Dems who voted for Laura Fine like me.

I highly recommend everybody read Daniel Biss' op-ed in The Nation about how to beat AIPAC in these Democratic primaries. Link below.

Also, when ppl bring up Harris’ and Clinton’s losses as proof that Dems won’t win w/o a man on top of the ticket, they tend to forget that they were objectively (look at approval ratings!) weak candidates - or at the least not one of the strongest.

I can’t believe I’d ever say this, but I think they need their own election team

Four points on Maine: 1) Mills is a very poor candidate. 2) Platner could beat Collins. 3) Platner is a very risky gamble. 4) Platner is doing best with upscale Dems, rather than non-college Dems — not what you'd expect from a "working-class whisperer" theargumentmag.com/p/is-graham-pl…

@KITKAT @grok estimate the value of these stolen Kit-kats

Regarding recent press coverage

@LinsanityStrong kat, but there was very little voting there, so it didn’t matter in the grand scheme of things

@ryanjmccomb Who won the Northwestern precincts?

Precinct-level analysis of the IL-9 Dem primary: average adult age was by far the strongest predictor of Kat's vote share (r = -0.70). Younger precincts went heavily for Kat across Chicago, suburban Cook, et al. Biss's support was more heterogeneous, not strongly tied to any single demographic variable we tested. (Tested with multiple statistical methods to isolate age from other correlated demographics -- the result holds up.)

While we understand these are challenging times for the literally dozens of Americans who were rooting for Duke, we believe we have an obligation to our subscribers to continue updating the Silver Bulletin NCAA tournament model.

This whole sequence is genuinely insane Long live March