Ryan Munce

SOOO much of this going on these days.

New Poll: Indiana Republicans' Support For Redistricting • 78% say it is very important that elected representatives support President Trump’s agenda • 72% support redrawing congressional districts in Indiana • 67% say they would be less likely to re-elect their State Senator if they sided with Democrats Dec 11–12, 2025 | 1,010 GOP Primary Voters | MoE ±3.11% | Mobile Text + Live Interviews | for Fair Maps Indiana View full memo: coefficient.org/wp-content/upl…

NEW: 2026 Texas GOP Senate Primary Poll Ken Paxton and John Cornyn remain locked in a close battle, each enjoying slight leads in various media markets, while Wesley Hunt trails in third in all markets across the state. Ballot: Cornyn: 28% Paxton: 27% Hunt: 19% Undecided: 26% Fielded Dec 1–3, 2025 | n=1,022 Likely Republican Primary Voters | MoE ±3.07% | Not sponsored by any candidate or committee. Full results: coefficient.org/texas-statewid…

New Statewide NJ Poll: Governor: Sherrill (D): 48% Ciattarelli (R): 47% Kaplan (L): 1% Kuniansky (SWP): 0% Undecided: 5% Generic Assembly: Democrat: 49% Republican: 45% Undecided: 6% Oct 23–27, 2025 | 995 LVs | MoE ±3.27% | Not sponsored by any candidate or candidate’s committee. View full results: coefficient.org/new-jersey-sta…

New Statewide VA Poll: While the Governor's race is still competitive with Spanberger out in front, Jay Jones' texting scandal has defined the race for Attorney General with Miyares leading by 4 (46%-42%) headed into the final weeks of the campaign. Governor: Spanberger (D): 49% Earle-Sears (R): 44% Charles (I): 1% Undecided: 6% Lieutenant Governor Hashmi (D): 47% Reid (R): 42% Undecided: 11% Attorney General: Miyares (R): 46% Jones (D): 42% Undecided: 11% Oct 15–17, 2025 | 937 LVs | MoE ±3.19% | Not sponsored by any candidate or candidate’s committee. View full results: coefficient.org/virginia-state…

NEW POLL: Our latest Virginia statewide survey finds voters sharply divided on political violence, who's to blame, and the use of the National Guard. ✔️ 1 in 3 Republicans say recent events increased motivation to vote ✔️ Voters who typically skip off-year elections are reporting an increased motivation to vote. Learn how this could impact November in our full memo: coefficient.org/va-statewide-p… #VAgov #VAleg #VAelection Not paid for by any candidate or candidate’s committee.

How can anyone hear this and not consider it an explicit call for political violence? This = shouting fire in a crowded theater.

It looks like we finally discovered how Nancy Pelosi was sending out all of her fundraising text messages for the last 20 years. Glad that is coming to an end.

New 2026 South Carolina Governor GOP Primary Poll: Nancy Mace: 19% Pamela Evette: 18% Alan Wilson: 16% Ralph Norman: 10% Josh Kimbrell: 2% Undecided: 35% Sept 18–19, 2025 | 1,094 Likely Republican Primary Voters | MoE ±3.17% | Not sponsored by any candidate or candidate’s committee. Full results: coefficient.org/sc-governor-go…

St. Michael the Archangel, defend us in battle. Be our protection against the wickedness & snares of the Devil. May God rebuke him, we humbly pray, & do thou, O Prince of the heavenly hosts, by the power of God, thrust into hell Satan, & all the evil spirits, who prowl about the world seeking the ruin of souls. Amen

New co/efficient Statewide VA Poll: Governor: Spanberger (D): 48% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Lt. Governor: Reid (R): 43% Hashmi (D): 43% Attorney General: Jones (D): 45% Miyares (R): 44% Aug 23-26, 2025 | 1,025 LVs | MoE ±3.1% | Not sponsored by any candidate or candidates committee. Full results: coefficient.org/va-statewide-a…

The media says Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” adds $3T to the deficit. That’s a lie based on a fake baseline. Here’s the truth: 🧵

New co/efficient Statewide Virginia Poll sponsored by @FoundersPolls Governor Spanberger (D): 46% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Charles (I): 2% Undecided: 9% Lt. Governor Reid (R): 41% Dem Candidate: 39% Jones (I): 2% Undecided: 18% Attorney General Miyares (R): 44% Dem Candidate: 44% Undecided: 12% Fielded June 8–10, 2025 | 1,127 LVs | MoE ±3.1% Full results: coefficient.org/va-statewide

WATCH: @BenShapiro discusses our recent poll that asks voters to name the “face of the Democrat party“ The topline result has received the most attention, but the data among self-identified Democrats is even more revealing. Vice President Harris performs better among Democrats than the general electorate, but she still trails AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Jasmine Crockett. This may be the worst news for Gavin Newsom, who barely registers across any group or demographic. The full crosstab and methodology are available here: coefficient.org/face-of-the-de…

New Data Release: National Foreign Policy Study New findings on: - Support for deportation - US involvement in Ukraine - US policy in the Middle East, and more. Full memo here: coefficient.org/national-forei… #ForeignPolicy #Russia #Ukraine

Because we know that Trump's policies have been overwhelmingly popular, I thought this poll was worth digging into. We downloaded the actual 250 policy statements tested by @YouGovAmerica and asked ChatGPT for a non-biased review of the statements. Here is what we found: According to ChatGPT 4.5: ✅ Accuracy: Actual Trump Administration Policies: Based on available information, approximately 35–40% of the listed policies align with official actions, executive orders, or proposals from the Trump administration as of May 2025. ❌ Inaccuracies and Misattributions: Approximately 60–65% of the policies listed do not correspond to any verified actions or proposals from the Trump administration. ⚠️ Bias and Framing Concerns: Many policy descriptions in the list are framed in a manner that could be perceived as biased or designed to cast the administration in a negative light. Examples include: Inflammatory Language: Phrases like "Arresting and deporting millions of illegal immigrants" or "Using Guantanamo Bay to detain thousands of migrants" use charged language without context or nuance. Speculative Assertions: Statements such as "The U.S. siding with Russia over Ukraine in the war between the two countries" are speculative and not grounded in official policy declarations. Exaggerated Claims: Descriptions like "Firing hundreds of thousands of U.S. federal workers" lack substantiation and may exaggerate the scope of administrative actions. There you go.

New Data Release: National Approval Study - Trump approval: 49% - No clear face of the Democratic Party (AOC leads at 26%) Full memo here: coefficient.org/national-appro…

@Chiefs Thanks for the great memory! @Chiefs

Treat yourself today. Happy National BBQ Day, Chiefs Kingdom! 🍗

@VaChangeAgent Accuracy matters! We wish you all well.

@NickJFreitas A great flyover after the national anthem at a football game on Veterans Day needs to be added to the list.

A slight whimper after stepping on a Lego gets a mulligan.

Times when it’s ok for a man to cry. 1. Family member dies 2. Close friend dies 3. Dog dies 4. John Wayne dies in “The Cowboys” 5. Daughter gets married In all other situations, get your crap together and turn those emotions into productivity or sarcasm! Preferably both!