O que a Receita Federal já sabe sobre seus criptoativos:
📌 Quanto você comprou e vendeu em cada exchange
📌 Seus saldos em 31/12 em todas as corretoras nacionais
📌 Suas transferências entre exchanges
📌 Se você caiu na malha fina — 250 mil pessoas caíram em 2025
O que ela ainda NÃO sabe:
📌 Seus saldos em carteiras de auto-custódia
📌 Suas operações em exchanges descentralizadas (DEX)
A partir de julho, o novo sistema DeCripto vai tentar mudar isso.
4,5 milhões de CPFs já declararam cripto. Você sabe declarar os seus?
The BTC/GOLD ratio is going vertical 🚀
Smart investors are selling precious metals and buying Bitcoin. The catch-up trade of 2026 is happening right now!!
There is not enough Bitcoin available on exchanges but plenty of rocks out there.
SEND $BTC HIGHER.
Today Bitcoin is at $73K, up 21% from its bottom. Many are still not buying because they are being promised lower prices. The narrative suggests that wars - which can disrupt the transportation of real estate, luxury cars, gold, and oil - will also cause deflation in Bitcoin.
They probably forgot that Bitcoin cannot be blocked, destroyed by missiles, stopped at border control, and that transporting it is costless.
O ouro levou mais de 3.000 anos para ir de ornamento cerimonial a moeda cunhada na Lídia.
O Bitcoin fez o mesmo caminho em 16 anos. De collectible cypherpunk a reserva estratégica dos EUA.
23 nações. 194 empresas públicas. 365 milhões de holders. Adoção corporativa 2.5x em 2025. Stock-to-flow já superior ao do ouro.
Publiquei a versão final do meu paper na SSRN.
BITCOIN IS ENTERING THE BEST BUY ZONE OF THIS CYCLE 🔥
THE LAST TIME THIS HAPPENED 🤯
2018 BUY ZONE → 1,700% UP.
2022 BUY ZONE → 660% UP.
2026 BUY ZONE →
EXACT SAME SETUP 🚀
JUST IN: Bitcoin exchange Kraken becomes first crypto bank to receive a Federal Reserve master account 🤯
This makes Kraken the first digital asset bank in U.S. history to gain direct access to the Federal Reserve’s payment infrastructure 🚀
THIS IS VERY BULLISH FOR BTC AND ALTS.
For the 2nd consecutive month, ISM Manufacturing PMI has come above 50%.
If you look at history, every major rally in BTC and alts has happened with ISM > 50%.
This is because when ISM goes above 50, the US economy enters an expansion phase.
During an expansion phase, businesses make more money, people earn more, and spending goes up.
Also, due to high income, risk appetite goes up, which results in a big rally.
If ISM stays above 50 for a few more months, the crypto winter could be over soon.
The bottom is in for #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.
Here's why:
-We are currently seeing the second lowest weekly RSI in the history of $BTC.
-Breakout in 2024 and now a picture-perfect retest in 2026.
Combined with the RSI, this is a very strong signal.
Long upward trend in sight.
#Bitcoin has rebounded from the lower trend line of the channel on the weekly close.
From here, my primary scenario remains a move toward the upper boundary of the channel, completing wave (5) of ⑤ at ~$400k.
$BTC weekly
Stacked more bitcoin today.
I give more weight to price structure than a 4-year cycle, so I am treating this as a potential bottoming zone.
Still saving dry powder in case it goes lower, but I'm not counting on it. This month is the most BTC I've bought since 2022.
The best chart in the ecosystem.
The valuation of $BTC vs. Gold.
It's not about the valuation of $BTC vs. the Dollar, we all know that this is going to up over the years.
It's about #Bitcoin vs. Gold given that these two are hard assets.
The current valuation is the lowest it has ever been.
The key insight: While everyone believes we're only a few months into a bear market (because BTC hit its USD all-time-high in October 2025), the BTC/Gold chart tells a completely different story.
Bitcoin actually peaked relative to gold in December 2024, meaning we've been in a bear market for ~14 months already.
The pattern: Every prior bear market in BTC/Gold terms lasted exactly ~14 months: November 2013 to January 2015, December 2017 to February 2019, April 2021 to June 2022.
The weekly RSI (bottom panel) is now at its lowest level in history, matching the bottoms of each previous cycle.
The reframe: The October 2025 USD all-time-high may not have been genuine Bitcoin strength at all: it was likely just gold and silver ripping higher and dragging Bitcoin's dollar price up with them. In real terms (priced in gold), Bitcoin has been declining for over a year.
The conclusion: Rather than being early in a bear market, we could be in the final chapter of one. And every time BTC/Gold RSI hit these extreme lows, it was followed by years of uptrend.
Anyone betting on further downside from here is essentially betting that this historically extreme low keeps going lower.
Ultimately, history has proven that these moments in time are the best moments to be going all-in on #Bitcoin and should result into a great return.
This time won't be different.
Você é homem. O mais inteligente que você pode fazer é calar a boca, respirar fundo e ficar em silêncio.
Vá sozinho, sem precisar provar nada pra ninguém. É sozinho que você realmente encontra Deus e escuta o que ele tem pra te dizer.
Seja educado e trate as pessoas bem. Trabalhe duro, ganhe seu dinheiro com honestidade, cuide do seu bolso. Vista-se bem.
E, acima de tudo, mantenha a humildade no coração. É vivendo assim que você vence.
Bom dia e bora pra luta fazer acontecer! 🙏🏻