Sach

@TheLongInvest Why wouldn’t you hold all of them? $NBIS is my favourite, $CIFR I have the most in, and $IREN I am in for the ride.

For long term, which one do you prefer? $IREN $NBIS $CIFR At current prices

@gnoble79 So bashing $TSLA to peddle your podcast? You ignore the fact that millions of cars are already robots with software updates. And they haven’t cost the $100k+ that Waymo’s cost. $TSLA is the only firm in the world that can scale quickly, Waymo and $UBER will be obsolete.

Last night was the biggest disaster in the history of Tesla. Let me walk you through what actually happened on that earnings call, because the headlines are doing you a disservice: Elon Musk got on the call and admitted (his words) that Hardware 3 "simply does not have the capability to achieve unsupervised FSD." He said he wished it were otherwise. He said the memory bandwidth is one-eighth of what Hardware 4 has. And that's the end of the conversation. Approximately 4 million Tesla vehicles on the road right now have Hardware 3. Many of those owners paid $8,000 to $15,000 for Full Self-Driving capability based on Musk's repeated promises (going back to 2016) that the hardware was sufficient for full autonomy. As recently as 2022, Musk was publicly assuring owners that HW3 had the processing power to get it done. BUT IT DIDN'T Those promises are now officially broken. The solution is a "discounted trade-in" toward a new car with Hardware 4. Not a refund or a free upgrade... A discount on buying ANOTHER Tesla. Investor Ross Gerber said it too - all HW3 owners got screwed, and with roughly 285,000 FSD purchasers affected, the potential liability runs into the BILLIONS. But that's not even the worst part. Musk was asked if the current FSD v14.3 was ready for unsupervised deployment. He said yes. Then immediately walked it back and admitted Tesla has "major architectural improvements" in the pipeline that would significantly improve safety. What he really means: the software isn't SAFE ENOUGH to deploy without a human watching. Full unsupervised FSD for consumer cars is pushed to Q4 2026. At the earliest... Maybe. How many times has this deadline been pushed? I've lost count. And trust me, I've seen a lot of broken promises. But this one takes the cake. Now let's talk about the numbers everyone is celebrating: Tesla reported $22.4 billion in revenue and $0.41 in non-GAAP earnings. A "double beat." The stock popped 4% after hours. Victory, right? WRONG Dig into the actual filing: The number one driver of operating income improvement wasn't cost reductions, wasn't volume growth, wasn't FSD revenue. It was - and Tesla listed this FIRST in their own shareholder letter - "one-time benefits related to warranty and tariffs." They released warranty reserves. They booked tariff refund windfalls. They stretched supplier payments by 10 days. They took on billions in new debt. Then they presented everything through non-GAAP metrics that strip out over $1 billion in stock-based compensation. GAAP net income was $477 million on $22.4 billion in revenue. That's a 2.1% net margin. On a $1.4 trillion market cap. Let me put that in perspective: 3.75 billion shares outstanding. Annualize the Q1 GAAP profit and you get roughly $1.9 billion. That's a trailing P/E ratio north of 700. Use the adjusted number - strip out stock comp, which is a REAL cost to shareholders through dilution - and you're still at around 250x earnings. All of this is extremely bad, but I didn't even talk about the CAPEX BOMB yet... 3 months ago, Tesla guided to "over $20 billion" in 2026 capital expenditure. Last night they raised it to over $25 billion. A $5 billion increase in a single quarter. That's 3x their historical annual capex run rate - $8.5 billion in 2025, $11.3 billion in 2024. The CFO confirmed on the call that Tesla expects NEGATIVE free cash flow for the rest of the year. So you have a company generating roughly $6 billion in annual free cash flow on a good year, and they're about to spend $25 billion. The math doesn't work. They will almost certainly need to issue equity. Which means dilution. Which means the $1.9 billion in annual earnings gets spread across even MORE shares. The core auto business is literally deteriorating in real time: Tesla delivered 358,000 vehicles in Q1 (missed estimates again). They produced 408,000. That's 50,000 cars sitting on lots that nobody bought. Inventory days jumped from 10 to 27 in just a few quarters. California (their most important US market) saw registrations crash 24% year over year. Their market share in the state fell from 9.2% to 7.7%. That's on top of a Q1 2025 that was ALREADY weak from Model Y retooling. They're declining off a decline. And here's what really kills the bull case... The entire valuation rests on robotaxis, Optimus robots, and autonomy. So let's put numbers on it: Waymo - the actual leader in autonomous driving with 15 million completed rides in 2025 alone, over 127 million autonomous miles driven, operating commercially across 6 US cities with plans to expand to 20 more - just raised $16 billion at a $126 billion valuation. That's the market's verdict on what the LEADING robotaxi company is worth. $126 billion. And Waymo is YEARS ahead of Tesla in actual deployment. Tesla has 3.75 billion shares outstanding. So even if you assign $126 billion in robotaxi value (giving Tesla full credit for matching Waymo despite being nowhere close) that's $33 a share. Add the auto business at generous auto-industry multiples, maybe $20 a share. Throw in energy storage and services, $10-15. Sum of the parts gets you to roughly $65-70 a share if you're feeling generous. Maybe $50 if you're not. The stock is $387. So what exactly are you paying for? You're paying for a STORY. You're paying for PROMISES that keep getting pushed back, technology that keeps falling short, and a business plan that requires spending $25 billion a year while the core product sells fewer units at declining margins in a market where California sales just fell 24% and the federal EV tax credit is gone. I managed the number one mutual fund in America. I founded two billion-dollar hedge funds. I've been doing this since 1981. And I am telling you: Tesla at $387 is one of the most egregious mispricings I have seen in my entire career. THE CRASH WILL BE EPIC

@aleabitoreddit Isn’t $IREN up 60% since your bashing started? I am long about 7 Neoclouds, yes my favourite is $NBIS, but the whole sector will fly including $IREN. There is just too much upside. The bet is when they need to fund, it will be incremental alongside the market cap, so mitigates.

How are there people still long on an F-tier Neocloud like $IREN. Amid a $6,000,000,000 dilution? When $NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked?

@CKCapitalxx $FLY delivering in the space sector

What’s everyone’s highest conviction play and why? Drop them down below.

@Breaking911 Failed the satellite mission for $ASTS though. Disaster overall.

Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin successfully reused its New Glenn booster for the first time on the NG-3 mission, marking a major milestone in reusable rocket technology after the booster landed at sea following flight.

@aleabitoreddit You mentioned $FLY from your follower feeds. Take a look now 😉. Best performing space stock in the April rally.

Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks) By the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others. Short term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%. I focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out. But the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same. And I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore. But the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.

@StockSavvyShay Very poor from $ASTS management, why even risk it in the first place as a Guinea pig? Would be surprised if the stock is not in the $70s again soon.

$ASTS just issued an official update after BlueBird 7 was placed into an orbit too low to sustain operations following Blue Origin’s New Glenn 3 launch. The satellite powered on after separation but will be deorbited while insurance should cover the loss and the next batch remains on track to ship in about 30 days.

@daniel_koss Just buy both. The sector is only going one way, spread it out.

Be careful who you follow! This guy has almost 60k followers on X and regularly shares some of the absolutely worst and objectively wrong takes on X. I can't believe people haven't realized it by now. This is another insanely twisted take that is as close to the opposite of the truth as you can be. Thankfully the people in the comments figured it out. But there are so many other accounts on X that just talk absolute nonsense with high conviction to 100k+ followers. It's ok to be wrong, but at least don't say something that anyone can look up and falsify in 10 seconds to benefit your own agenda?

@SpaceInvestor_D He doesn’t even make any sense with his replies 😂🫠🤡 Imaginary ‘legacy companies’ he cannot name with better performance.

Tim’s been telling everyone on X for years why their space companies aren’t good enough. I’ve kept it respectful, but his latest take crossed the line. From $ASTS to $RKLB, nothing ever meets his standard. At some point, opinions need receipts. I’m ready to show mine. Are you?

@TMFAssociates @SpaceInvestor_D Be interested to know what the ‘stock performance’ is you speak of that is better? Words don’t mean much without facts.

@SpaceInvestor_D It makes it clear enough that you ignore what you consider to be legacy companies, even when they are more important from the perspective of both size and stock performance

It's interesting how some supposed "space investors" have such a warped view of what should be considered to be important "space stocks" (ignoring anything they think of as a legacy company)

@aleabitoreddit Include the ones that have also tanked 50%, it might help the narrative. A lot of people got burned on names like $DPRO etc etc etc, and when there are no other posts as they go down, it’s not a good look. $IREN is also 65% up since the bashing, but no comments...

Genuinely thanks for nice comments. I share my ideas for free in the end though since I want to help out the retail community. $TSEM hit triple digit return... so that's 16 different names YTD. So my YTD hit 1525%+ as a result. Just to recap all the endless abuse and harassment along the way: 1. $AXTI - "Pump and Dump", "Scam Chinese Stock", Got banned from WSB $RDDT after Mods got mad investors actually made money AXT going from $12->$80. 2. $AAOI - "Pumping stock with no fundamentals, Meme stock" 3. $SIVEF - "Pump and Dump" "Meme Stock" 4. $LITE - "Photonics Bubble" 5. $IQE - "Just pumping low MC stocks" 6. $AEHR - "Stock with negative revenue growth, why is anyone following this guy and not paying $2,000+ for my subscription?" 7. $CRCL - "TA says it's going down to $30" 8. $EWY - "Just from followers" (hint, it's the South Korean Index) 9. Unimicron - "Idea is useless give me US stocks" 10. Nitto Boseki - "Idea is useless give me US stocks" 11. $OSS - Stealing Ideas (no, my synthesis around Venezuela was novel) 12. $GDRZF - "You're a terrible human trying to profit off of the War in Venezuela" 13. $RPI - "Meme stock all because of a Meme Trader" (FT, European Media). 14. $SOI - "Pump and dump", "no novel idea" (random analysts) 15. $ALRIB - "Pumping low MC stocks" (no, it's $MSFT quantum information discovery) 16. $TSEM - "Pumping based on followers alone" (bro it's $25B+, these are institutions) Or how about... the idea around fundamentals was right all along? And I'm just sharing information synthesis/discovery before institutions find out about them. Retail and media should be celebrating when 16+ different ideas return 100%+ YTD, since stocks are positive sum. Everyone from retail, the companies, and local economies benefits. Instead, negativity is through the roof and people keep trying to diminish/downplay the ideas like frontrunning the photonics supercycle… even when they actually turn out right? The trolls are starting to get to me, from $IREN folks creating new accounts every day just to send IRL threats, to European media disinformation about "pumping and dumping"... since I do read every comment. But notice... how 95% of things keep going up? And institutions like Point72 and Apollo end up buying the names I mention? Comments like this do make it helpful to stay on X, and I do enjoy taking victory laps on the haters.

@aleabitoreddit The problem is if NVO clicks its fingers again, it goes back down. It relies on too much externally, without having a USP of its own. Pretty sure the independent investigation from the FDC is still ongoing too.

It’s still pretty incredible $HIMS is down 44% even after: 1. $NVO de-risking + partnership 2. Multiple global acquisitions expanding DTC distribution network 3. Peptide arc, with Huberman saying HIMS was set to soar under these conditions 4. Entering a friendlier macro climate. 5. Short interest reaching unsustainable 36%+ The good news is: short interest can only be so much of the float… So it’s inherent buying pressure to cover over time, which does limit downside if fundamentals improves.

@SpaceInvestor_D And $FLY beating them all 💪🏽

Congrats to those who played this right. 🫡 Join the fun: x.com/SpaceInvestor_…

@BlackPantherCap Helps US gov are taking a stake in $USAR too!

NEW Long Idea: $USAR (+96% upside) China just weaponized 7 rare earth elements. Everyone bought $MP. $UUUU. $LYSCF. They’re all wrong layer. Here’s why, and what the actual play is: The supply chain looks like this: Mine → Separation → Metallization → Magnet → Defense/EV/Robots Everyone is focused on mining ($UUUU producing Dy/Tb oxide for the first time in US history, March 2026). But none is talking about metallization. Oxide is not metal. Magnet makers need metal. The step between separated oxide and magnet-grade metal is called metallization; reduction under high vacuum at extreme temperature using proprietary furnace technology. There is exactly one company doing this in North America: $ALOY (REalloys Inc., Ohio). And one company controlling the only US integrated mine-to-magnet stack: $USAR (USA Rare Earth, Texas). $USAR controls Round Top, one of the few US deposits with meaningful dysprosium and terbium, and is commissioning the first domestic mine-to-magnet production in decades at Stillwater, OK. $3.1B in government and private capital already closed. First commercial magnets: Q2 2026. Section 301 probe deadline: July 20, 2026. If tariffs hit Chinese magnets, $USAR is the only US alternative at commercial scale. Not $MP. Not $UUUU. $USAR. Current market cap: $1.8B. Analyst avg PT: $33 (+96% upside). The obvious trade is mining. The real trade is the only integrated stack. -BP Please note: This is not financial advice.

@Skyuhhhggg @TT_stocks_ He lives on the pump and dump, shouldn’t be a surprise

@TT_stocks_ You’re a good trader and all but to say you’re selling mnts at $20 one day then come back and say this the next is low. I get it’s ppls choice to take profits but this is a bad look

@aleabitoreddit Quite a few that dropped in half too 😔

Yep… How did I call out and long. FIFTEEN DIFFERENT STOCKS. 8+7. 9+6. 10+5. After $ALRIB, the $MSFT Quantum supplier went up 113%, that hit 15 different longs. That returned Triple Digits year to date??? No paywall, and I've posted everything before it moved. Hard carrying retail out of the permanent underclass.

@2147mill Neocloud Pie all the way. My fave by a mile $NBIS, closely followed by $CIFR then $IREN

Perhaps I put £10k into single stocks rather than my ETF pie? Shill me your favourite ticker 👇🏽

@yianisz $FLY, best of both worlds and finally getting noticed in the mainstream. $NVDA collaboration too.

Everyone keeps treating the “SpaceX IPO trade” like it’s one big basket.. That worked a few months ago. Now the sector is already separating, and a lot of this move feels late. If I strip it down, $RKLB is still the only one that looks like a real long. Backlog, defense exposure, actual scale. It’s not just a launch story anymore. Neutron is the swing factor but even without it, this is a business. $PL is quietly one of the better setups. Nobody gets excited about it, which is exactly why I like it. Recurring revenue, backlog, moving into AI/data. It feels more durable than most of the names people are chasing. $SPIR is the one I keep coming back to. The pivot into RF and defense makes it a completely different company than what people remember. Not cheap anymore, but still way more grounded than the high-multiple stuff. Then you’ve got $SATL and $LUNR, which I see more as trades. Good stories, real catalysts but the market is already pricing a lot of success. That’s fine.. until something slips. I’m not buying $ASTS up here. Great idea, huge TAM, but the stock is already acting like execution is guaranteed. It’s not. And names like $SIDU and $MNTS.. I get the appeal but that’s mostly narrative. Not enough real business yet. Big thing people are missing: when SpaceX actually IPOs, money might get pulled from these to fund it. That’s usually how this works. So yea! I want exposure.. just not blindly.

@2147mill You said the same thing last week and would have caught the lows. A lot of value out there in beat down sectors, & momentum stocks that show no letting up. Just have to bite the bullet. If picking stocks and ETFs you believe in, that’s all that matters vs ST macro noise.

I have about £10,000 in cash atm Unsure whether to lump it into the market now or dca it and wait for a better opportunity to lump in What would you do rn?

@aleabitoreddit I’m in since $33 🙌🏽🙌🏽, what a name. However also in $IREN, and you have been bashing it relentlessly all month while it’s been smashing it up 40%. 🔥 Time to admit defeat on this one mate.

Glad to see my $NBIS thesis from last year finally start to play out now. Got the short term 2-3M timing wrong last December. Directionally it ended up right 6 months later.