sanjay

23.7K posts

sanjay

sanjay

@sansub12

Libran, love the outdoors, being fit always is my motto, Bangalore and Chennai the cities I love

Chennai, India Katılım Ağustos 2009
1.2K Takip Edilen862 Takipçiler
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Giorgia Meloni
Giorgia Meloni@GiorgiaMeloni·
Thank you for the gift
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sanjay
sanjay@sansub12·
@CMOTamilnadu Greetings CM sir. In Karnataka free bus service throughout the state, is only for ladies who have Karnataka Aadhar card.
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Sudarsan Pattnaik
Sudarsan Pattnaik@sudarsansand·
Thank you so much, Hon’ble CM, C. Joseph Vijay Sir 🙏 @actorvijay Your kind words truly mean a lot to me. I am deeply honoured and touched by receiving such appreciation from you is truly special and encouraging for me. Heartfelt gratitude always.
TVK Vijay@TVKVijayHQ

A huge thanks to legendary sand artist Thiru. @sudarsansand Avl. for this breathtaking creation! Your talent never fails to amaze. Deeply touched by this beautiful gesture.

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Sonu
Sonu@Cricket_live247·
Look at Trisha Krishnan’s excitement when she hugs Vijay’s wife and mother during his oath ceremony. Trisha looked very excited for Thalapathy Vijay’s oath ceremony. ❤️
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sanjay
sanjay@sansub12·
@Akshita_N He came, he saw, he conquered. Heading to Fort St. George 👌👏
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Akshita Nandagopal
Akshita Nandagopal@Akshita_N·
Vijay handing over letters of support for a third time to the governor!
Akshita Nandagopal tweet media
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Adv MN Gopinadh
Adv MN Gopinadh@GopinadhMN·
If Reelection happens, TVK will sweep Completely.
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sanjay
sanjay@sansub12·
@dpkBopanna @muruga_TNIE In Kerala, I have noticed nothing of this sort happens. People with good civic sense. Towns are kept neat and clean.
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Deepak Bopanna
Deepak Bopanna@dpkBopanna·
Mirrors installed on walls to prevent people from urinating in Mysuru. It's crazy the things we need to do in India to enforce basic civic sense among adults.
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sanjay
sanjay@sansub12·
@iamdatemike Ooty seat. A history of sorts. First time ever in the Nilgiris belt.
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Sumanth Raman
Sumanth Raman@sumanthraman·
Lessons I learnt from the Tamil Nadu Election results today. 1. It is not necessary to campaign hard every day for weeks together. 2. Booth Agents are not always essential to mobilize voters 3. A powerful manifesto is not required. 4. Political experience is not needed. 5.. Experienced advisors are optional. 6. Meeting the media or taking questions from the press is not necessary. (I thought it was) 7. Money does not always buy votes. 8. Massive ad spends don't get results. 9. Prominent local candidates with clout aren't necessary. 10. Caste is getting to be much less of a factor. Will these revert in later elections or has a decisive change been made? #tamilnadulegislativeassemblyelection2026 #TNElections
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Sumanth Raman
Sumanth Raman@sumanthraman·
What a colossal result!! Admit clearly that I honestly did not see this coming. Congratulations to @actorvijay for a stunning perfomance.
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sanjay
sanjay@sansub12·
@narayananh Heavy rains in Bangalore early morning
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Narayanan Hariharan
Narayanan Hariharan@narayananh·
Weather update: The sun doesn't seem to rise properly this morning in Madras. Gloomy morning in the city.
Narayanan Hariharan tweet media
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sanjay
sanjay@sansub12·
Let the #Cacti remind you that growth and flowering takes time and a lot of your patience! 🌞🌵 #Cactus
sanjay tweet mediasanjay tweet mediasanjay tweet media
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Dhimahi Jain
Dhimahi Jain@Dhimahi11·
Played pickleball for the first time. Basically the combination of badminton and table tennis, nothing more than that. at least we can play this in open ground unlike playing badminton in closed court.
Dhimahi Jain tweet media
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Sreedhar Pillai
Sreedhar Pillai@sri50·
A neat assessment by @sumanthraman where he says his “gut feel is that there seems to be a slight edge for the AIADMK alliance”.
Sumanth Raman@sumanthraman

Let me start this post with a clear Disclaimer: Predicting election outcomes is even more imprecise than predicting the weather. I have been lucky in predicting the last several Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections right and am due to get it wrong. Over the last 2 months I have spoken with thousands of people trying to gauge the mood of the electorate and have visited several of the constituencies too. In my analysis I have relied on the 2024 LS elections data rather than the 2021 data as I believe this may reflect the ground situation better. I have given TVK an overall vote share of 20%, (higher in the urban areas and lower in the rural areas) though I am not convinced that is how much vote share they will get overall. I have factored in VIP constituencies, the intra party issues in some seats, the weakness of the alliance partners and a number of other variables. I have made one assumption: The TVK will take more or less equal vote share from both sides though I have geographically segregated this. A slight deviation to either side may not have much of an impact, but a large deviation will change the projections drastically. While doing all this my focus was on seeing if the incumbent party the DMK would be able to hold on or not. The reason is, when there is a third player there is a natural slight edge for the incumbent. When in doubt about a seat I gave it to the DMK alliance. The numbers I arrived at are as follows: 1.DMK Alliance: 100-115 2.AIADMK Alliance: 118-133 3.TVK: 0-3 Could this be totally off the mark? Of course it can. If TVK takes much more of the AIADMK vote then the situation can reverse and the DMK Alliance could secure a majority. Also if AIADMK can hold its dominance in the Kongu belt and if the PMK pulls its weight in the Vanniyar belt and if the allies of the DMK implode (Cong, DMDK, VCK), it could push AIADMK+ higher. For the DMK alliance to win Vijay has to take a lion's share of his votes from the AIADMK alliance and a low proportion of votes from the DMK alliance. My gut feel is that there seems to be a slight edge for the AIADMK alliance. However, I do not see a total sweep for either alliance unless Vijay takes his votes totally from one side and wrecks the other side. I do not know as yet what the Exit Polls are going to say tomorrow. Once I get further inputs will update. PS: The TVK factor has made predicting this election the toughest one in recent times. There is more than a fair chance I could be getting this wrong. #tamilnadulegislativeassemblyelection2026 #TamilNaduElections2026 #TNElections2026 #tnelection

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