Colin Ferrian

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Colin Ferrian

Colin Ferrian

@SavingPlants

student of the cannabis industry and PM @poseidoninvest Disclaimer: https://t.co/O0JrVdNrQc

Boulder Katılım Şubat 2010
468 Takip Edilen1.3K Takipçiler
Upslope Capital
Upslope Capital@UpslopeCapital·
Aristides reacting to people shining a light on their track record:
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Emily Paxhia
Emily Paxhia@empax1·
Buckle up, weirdos.
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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
"I know thinking is hard in this sector"
Colin Ferrian tweet mediaColin Ferrian tweet mediaColin Ferrian tweet media
FR Research@FR_Research1

$MSOS and hemp crowd, think for a minute (I know thinking is hard in this sector): • The hemp-intoxicant loophole maybe isn’t closing — Congress gave it a 12-month glide path. • The same bill gives FDA 90 days to publish a list of all naturally occurring THC-class cannabinoids. • If the goal was truly “kill all THC,” why give a year runway and order FDA to define what’s naturally occurring vs. synthetic? • And for the “Trump only pretended to be pro-weed” during an election year crowd — does it track that his administration would nuke THC into midterms? Let’s try logic (also hard): • The administration isn’t trying to kill THC. They’re shutting down the synthetic slop that’s exploded nationwide. – Bondi’s raids this year make the point: they’re hitting “hemp” vape shops selling synthetics, and repeatedly saying these are illegal marijuana products. – If the goal were killing THC, they’d be raiding state-regulated dispensaries, not gas stations. • Rescheduling gives political and bureaucratic cover to “study” THC. – Yes, everyone sane knows the science exists. – But DC doesn’t do “no-brainers.” Everything gets litigated through incrementalism. • You reschedule cannabis → FDA publishes the list of known naturally occurring cannabinoids → now the federal government finally has the scientific scaffolding to regulate all THC uniformly. • I don’t think the Trump administration wants federal legalization. But I also don’t think they want to kill THC. – The 2018 Farm Bill accidentally normalized THC consumption. – Tens of millions of Americans now use THC products. There’s no political path to reversing that. So what’s the actual endgame? • After the “study phase,” the administration can roll out a federal framework that lets states legalize naturally derived THC (regardless of whether it comes from hemp or marijuana). Think States Reform Act 2.0. • This reframes the issue as states’ rights — exactly the framing Trump used when asked about Amendment 3 in Florida. • The administration isn’t “legalizing marijuana.” They’re “regulating a product already legal in 40+ states” and giving states a standardized federal overlay. That’s the logical path. And it makes far more sense than the idea that they’d intentionally wipe out THC during an election cycle.

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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
@SmithBrian8989 I mean, I hope you're right, but same stance as Nick - StateHouse deal was about a finalized tax bill and a structured repayment. $TCNNF is still disputing whether 280E applies. Those scenarios are materially different. x.com/CannaVestments…
CannaVestments@CannaVestments

@TheDankInformer @SmithBrian8989 @realpristinecap Yeah- statehouse is the only precedent in support and there are dozens of companies that have attempted and failed historically. A big part of the statehouse reduction was their ability to actually pay the outstanding bills. Again something that doesn't apply to trulieve

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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
Another impressive $TCNNF qtr, but 10Q discloses the IRS continues to fight unpaid 280E, with $38.1m in penalties proposed in Sep25. UTPs are in the billions on similar claims across canna industry, so add'l penalties could meaningfully raise liabilities until/if S3 finalizes.
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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
@SmithBrian8989 Not a tax expert, but reasonably confident this isn't within the realm of likely outcomes. OICs are narrow & apply after a final liability is established, usually for doubtful repayment. This is a legal dispute over 280E, still under appeal.
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B.Smith
B.Smith@SmithBrian8989·
@SavingPlants OIC. Offer in Compromise. Should reduce principal (30-60%). Balance is paid monthly on a very reasonable payment plan over time. They do this daily and are staffed for this specific "work out".
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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
@curated_value Agree- feels like a high probability. Wish we could go long the law firms drafting these opinion letters, then collecting years of fees defending the position.
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
@SavingPlants My blind guess is that they will eventually need to pay these tax liabilities, but it will be dragged out for years as they battle it out in court
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Kyle Sherman
Kyle Sherman@KyleSherman·
This cannabis strain bleeds red. I’ve never seen anything like it.
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CannaVestments
CannaVestments@CannaVestments·
@jfberke @CultivatedNews Super interesting. So much talk of the original medical ROs being given a huge advantage and it's essentially all home-grown brands that have emerged as leaders
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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
@vincentelifani @srg444 @jamiecampbell Their chairman used $270m to bail out a distressed private REIT he founded to diversify their asset base from future canna defaults they can no longer cover up with lease amendments.
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Scott R. Grossman
Scott R. Grossman@srg444·
Lost in all the noise was the $IIPR pivot into life sciences. Probably worth going thru that transcript. Trying to thread the div needle. Mkt is saying otherwise. No strong view.
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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
@jmana8891 Hi Justin - Happy to. I just sent you my email on linkedin as I don't stay on top of my twitter dms.
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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
PharmaCann lasted just 43 days into its resolution with $IIPR before defaulting again. The incremental rent loss is approx. 10.6% of IIPR’s rental income, bringing total rent lost to ~17% in 3 mths. Leverage is available, but this looks close to dividend-cut territory.
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Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants

The result: 37% rent reduction for $IIPR largest tenant, Pharmacann. Full rent abatement of MI & MA facilities, and modest reductions for the remaining properties. This sets an important precedence as other tenants will demand similar concessions. bit.ly/4jv6PXv

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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
@timothy_dexter_ Thank you, Dex! I’ve realized my view of success with content like podcasts comes down to feedback from people I respect and know really put in the work, so these words mean a lot.
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Dexter Capital
Dexter Capital@timothy_dexter_·
Missed this until now but highly recommend - Colin is an incredibly smart and overall great guy (and kudos to the Poseidon fund as a whole, one of the few that’s still strongly executing). I particularly love the IIPR topic because it’s a situation where performance will clearly be reflected in the stock price - which Colin’s correctly judged through careful analysis of their tenants, assets, markets, etc. I look forward to the day that this will be the case for MSOs, and granular analyses on strategy, facility design, IP, license apps, real estate, etc are everyday discussion topics.
Jesse Redmond@jesseredmond

🎙️ New Episode of Higher Exchanges! 🎙️ Join @MorganPaxhia and me today at 4 pm EST for a deep dive with the wise and underappreciated @SavingPlants on private and public cannabis investing. Topics we’re covering: 💰 Private Markets – Health, trends, & key state insights (Ohio, New Jersey) 📈 Capital & Pricing Trends – Where the money is flowing & upcoming state developments (Minnesota, Maryland) 🏦 Public Markets & Credit – Breaking down major lenders ( $IIPR, $NLCP, $AFCG ) & shifting market sentiment 🤔 Reverse Interview – Colin asks Jesse and Morgan surprise questions 🤖 AI in Investing – How @PoseidonAsset is using AI & insights from NotebookLM @higherexchanges streams live on X, LinkedIn, and YouTube and will be on podcast platforms tonight.

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Jerry Derevyanny
Jerry Derevyanny@JDerevyanny·
Great podcast with Colin (@SavingPlants) from Poseidon. Especially good discussion of the risks of $IIPR (which he is short) vs. $REFI (which he and I are long) Not a big poster, but when he says something people, especially $MSOS investors, should listen.
Jesse Redmond@jesseredmond

🎙️ New Episode of Higher Exchanges! 🎙️ Join @MorganPaxhia and me today at 4 pm EST for a deep dive with the wise and underappreciated @SavingPlants on private and public cannabis investing. Topics we’re covering: 💰 Private Markets – Health, trends, & key state insights (Ohio, New Jersey) 📈 Capital & Pricing Trends – Where the money is flowing & upcoming state developments (Minnesota, Maryland) 🏦 Public Markets & Credit – Breaking down major lenders ( $IIPR, $NLCP, $AFCG ) & shifting market sentiment 🤔 Reverse Interview – Colin asks Jesse and Morgan surprise questions 🤖 AI in Investing – How @PoseidonAsset is using AI & insights from NotebookLM @higherexchanges streams live on X, LinkedIn, and YouTube and will be on podcast platforms tonight.

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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
@JDerevyanny @fatehsmann Really appreciate you guys listening in. I'm hoping to provide more detailed research on this specific dynamic in the near future.
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Jerry Derevyanny
Jerry Derevyanny@JDerevyanny·
@fatehsmann @SavingPlants Yes, the rotating list of “premium” brands was very interesting to me too. It shows how difficult it is to grow premium with consistency, and how people have forgotten that consistency is a key brand trait in and of itself.
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Colin Ferrian
Colin Ferrian@SavingPlants·
@coryazz Assuming 4Front didn't pledge the IP to $IIPR (don't think that's even allowed), lenders/former BODs probably strip that out first, then foreclosure time.
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