Sachin Kulkarni
88 posts
There is our trap. As posted, our job daily in #ES_F is simply to wait for the daily trap to get our points. Today, trap level was 7415 and I posted sweeps of it to trigger long. We just swept, recovered. Targets were 7432 (hit), 7450, 7460, 7473
Lock gains, leave runner
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Low volatility in #ES_F as always, we wait for traps. We got a fantastic one after Nvidia yesterday. Per newsletter sent before, sweeps of 7415 and recvoeries triggered long. We got it after 6pm, ripped to 7460's No change: 7415, 7377 = supports. 7432, 7450, 7473+ upside
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@AdamMancini4 Ok so the touches of it wouldn’t be considered quick acceptance at that level? I think that’s where my confusion is. Thanks!
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@sckdds I'm not looking to trade 45, I'm looking to trade the failed breakdown of it which we only got at 6pm
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Last night at 6pm we got a textbook Failed Breakdown given in newsletter. 7345 was Thursday lows. Trap & recovery were long trigger. We trapped it to 7337, recovered in #ES_F & ripped. Today's targets were 7402 (hit), 7413 (hit), 7418
7369/77 1st supports of mild interest now
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Last eve, we got our dip buy in #ES_F and bears got trapped as always. Per 4pm newsletter, the long was the Failed Breakdown of 7340-45. At 6pm, we swept it to 7337, recovered, and now we're at 7400 Plan today: Nothing to do. 7402 major res next, 7413, 7418 above. 7369=support
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@AdamMancini4 @Nikhil_pathak31 I have been a subscriber for a long time, and I love the levels/education you provide. My issue is that I work during the day and it’s hard to get into the better entries/exits. I’m wondering if there a way to use your broader targets for swing trades and your thoughts on that?
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@sckdds @Nikhil_pathak31 It depends on your time. As day traders we never "expect" anything - we just react to setups. I have 0 opinion on where price is going on an intraday basis and I don't think about it at all or care. If you are a swing trader though who can hold for weeks then it makes sense
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After spending all ysterday printing points off the 6769 traps, we finally got range expansion overnight in #ES_F. Per newsletter, recoveries of 6716-20 trigger long & overnight traders got 45 points off it
Plan today: 6758 must reclaim to see 6769, 6782+. 6739, 6716-20=supports
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@AdamMancini4 @Nikhil_pathak31 Does it ever make sense to hold future contract (longs) for a longer time if we expect a push up?
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@Nikhil_pathak31 Yes, but markets always take the path designed to cause maximum pain to retail traders trying to predict. We will trap lower, catch bears who are chasing, head up to 6900 again, trap bulls, head back down etc.
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@AdamMancini4 What the longest ES F has gone without a reciprocal squeeze?
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It took all day to get long trigger but we finally got it in #ES_F. As posted for hours the 6920 Failed Breakdown/recovery triggers us up, and we got it. 6930 was 1st target up, hit. 6949, 6964+ remain above. Every "elevator down" sell in ES ends in a squeeze. Newsletter out soon
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Closing update #ES_F: No shock at all where we are into the close. Right at 6920 again and this has been the battleground since Friday ultimately. Same drill, recovery here sees 6930, 6949+ and back up the lvls. Newsletter out soon with next batch of entries
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There's 7020 hit and big payout on these runners. 6955 Failed breakdown of Friday low was our long trigger in #ES_F. Targets given 8am were 6990 main (hit). Bonus slate were 7002 (hit), 7011 (hit), 7020 (here now).
Just ride your runner for 7032, 7048. Same setup daily
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Runners paying nicely and we continue to run the targets. As posted at 8am, the Failed Breakdown of Friday's 6955 Daily low was active. Primary target was 6990 (hit). Bonus slate were 7002 (hit), 7011 (hit), 7020 (making our way there) 7032, 7048 above. 7002, 6990 (key)=supports
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@sckdds Yes exactly - sharp sells mean an increase in volatility
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Holiday rally in full swing & almost at 6963 next target in #ES_F. We had a textbook Failed Breakdown this morning on recovery of 6925 (posted live 930AM and in newsletter). Target given was 6943 (hit). Bonus set were 6948 (hit), 6963 (almost), then 6973
Ride runner through xmas
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Volatility low but #ES_F runner keeps paying, hold it. Today's long was the 6925 (huge shelf there) Failed Breakdown, given in yesterday's 4pm newsletter & posted live 930AM. Targets were 6930, 6934, 6942 (hit). Bonus were 6948 (hit), 6963 (almost), 6973 Then all time highs
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@AdamMancini4 Does No Volatility imply slow grind up? And when volatility is present we dip and set up for a FBD?
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Closing update #ES_F: Holiday rally right on cue. 0.75 points shy from the 6963 second bonus target. The 6925 Failed Breakdown triggered long at 930am. Targets were 6943 main, 6948, 6963 bonus. We saw 6962.75. Hold runner for 6972, then, 6997. Newsletter out soon with new entries
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We continue to dip down the lvls in #ES_F. 6830 Failed Breakdown triggered long to 6847-51 which was a major back-test/breakdown short zone from newsletter. I warned to protect gains there, and down we went. 6790 support, bounced 17, back down
6777, 6764 below. 92 reclaim to pop
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Ultra precise technicals in #ES_F. 6830 Failed Breakdown triggered long as posted with 6847-51 target. We hit 6847-51. I warned there no greed, protect profits. It held *exact* & we sold 50 points. Back to good trading now 6801=support. Bulls must recover 6820. 6790, 6877 below
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@TheTradingChamp @flowtopia_co Not sure how this chart works, but shouldn’t the market run instead of dump right now based on on this?
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$SPY calls are trying to make a run again
huge spike here at low of day
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@AdamMancini4 Where does the stop go in general on a level reclaim entry?
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On Friday, the Failed Breakdown of 6851 (Thursdays low) posted live was long trigger. ES ran to 6907 target this morning, just sold down to 6851 again. Now back at this 6869/6877. Magnet zone since Thursday
No change: Bulls must recover 77 to see 6888, 6893, 6907+. 6841-39 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
After rallying to 6907 1st target target off Friday's 6851 Failed Breakdown. We are back to 6869 in #ES_F and readers recall that was a huge level on Thursday and Friday. Its very well tested/fuzzy now. Bulls need to reclaim 6877 here to work up. 6857, 6841-38 below otherwise
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@TheTradingChamp @flowtopia_co Did you get into puts based on your initial post, then flip for the day?
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@TheTradingChamp @flowtopia_co When do you expect the market to follow?
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@EricSeiler7 @AdamMancini4 Where do you put your stop fo level reclaims?
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@AdamMancini4 As much as I wanted to jump in at that 41-ish afternoon low (because Asian trade respects levels, even minor, like math), that elevated VIX has me waiting for the fatter pitches. Watching 55 here for acceptance, being cautious, but if I see what I need I'll take it.
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It wouldn't be a normal day in #ES_F without late day pop. Today all about 6655 - uptrend line from Friday's low. We flushed it, I posted 6655 had to reclaim to squeeze, underway. 6695/6702 next big hurdle for bulls.
Newsletter out soon with next entries. Big decision point here
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Closing update: 6655 was key support today as posted and #ES_F agrees. We held it 1240PM, rallied to 6702 target. We then flushed 55, reclaimed, squeezed +15. Big inflection point. Bulls need to stick this Failed Breakdown or heavy downside below. Newsletter out soon with entries
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@AdamMancini4 Is this going to be an after hours 65 recovery long..?
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Its been a good micro-dip, but volatility still very low in #ES_F (no data). Levels respecting well. 6800 to 6750=the 3 day range as posted, with 6765 a key magnet. We hit 6800 this morning, sold to 6750, popped to 6765
6765 must clear to work up range to 6774+. 6741, 6727 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Its been a good micro dip today as we fill out the 3 day range in #ES_F: Range given was 6800 to 6750, with 6765 a major magnet in the middle. We held 6800 this morning, dipped to 6750, spent an hour chopping there, then popped to 6765 Bulls need to recover 6765 to see 6774+
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