Jerry Mitchell

@traderhc The most bullish results come from failed bearish outcomes.

Everyone's waiting for the post-halving crash because that's what the cycle says should happen next. 2018 had overleveraged retail and miner capitulation. 2022 had the same. The playbook is burned into crypto's collective memory. But pull up the actual data on $BTC right now. Funding rates are flat. Leverage is clean. Miners aren't capitulating. Network activity is at cycle highs. The conditions that caused every prior 50-80% drawdown simply aren't present. What's different this time isn't vibes. It's ETF infrastructure funneling institutional capital into a market that used to run purely on retail emotion and exchange leverage. I think BTC grinds toward 82K this month. Not a face-ripper, just the slow bid that comes when everyone's bracing for a crash that has no fuel. The halving cycle is the most crowded pattern-match in all of crypto. What happens when the whole market is hedged for a drawdown that never comes?

@lady_valor_07 COMMON SENSE!!

What do Republican women have that Democrat women don’t?

@alshfaw Last week it was VAXTRO, week before that it was KOSPI, now it's the King of England, really?

$SPY Completion with Full Moon? It was 3/30 which started the bullish move. We're back at it with a Full Moon, Flower moon to mark completion again. $AAPL can crown it all at $7200 $SPX or slightly higher. Last August I wrote that this cycle cannot close without $7200, it is the 2X from the post COVID lows. Mathematical destiny. To the bears, 30 days from hell. The New Moon will also mark completion of King Charles visit on 05/01 tomorrow. The number of days between Trump's visit to the UK and the King's visit was 2 cubed, or 222 days. There's a rhythm to the madness. $AAPL will complete a cup and handle here. If it doesn't fail, it will rise to $292 while they sell $SOXX during that time? Or they sing altogether faster and higher? If it fails, that's all she writes here. Share & Subscribe, <>: $SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

@traderhc I'm fading IWM vs SPY into Friday's ISM. The auction is telling you which print actually matters. The tell is small caps cracking while the index pins. That's where the therapy starts.

Everyone read weak GDP + weak Chicago PMI and screamed stagflation. Tape said no. $IWM +1.29%, energy bid, financials bid. Stagflation needs dollar UP and oil UP. We got dollar 98.05 and oil down 2%. That's not stagflation. That's the dollar easing financial conditions for the most domestic cohort on the board. The tell isn't the index, it's the long bond. 30Y sitting at 4.98%, two basis points from 5.00%. Hold under 5 and small caps keep leading. I think IWM tags a fresh weekly high before Friday close. Break 5.00% and the whole reflation trade gets a rug pull. What's your line in the sand? Here we go

@traderhc My call: the 710-711 range breaks by Friday close. Direction follows breadth, and breadth is leaning down. $IWM led lower at -1.27% with oil at $273.74. Small caps can't carry $100 crude and a Fed that won't cut. I'm fading IWM vs SPY into Friday's ISM.

Chicago PMI 49.2 vs 53. Reflex says buy bonds, sell small caps. Tape did the opposite. Since the 9:45 miss: $IWM +0.96%, XLF +0.60%, USO +0.75%. TLT -0.12% (yields UP), UUP -0.29%, QQQ only +0.21%. A real recession bid puts TLT up, QQQ leading on duration, dollar bid as haven, credit wider. You got the inverse on every leg. The market is voting hard data (Claims 189 vs 215, ECI wages 0.8 vs 0.5) over soft data (PMI, LEI). Small caps + steeper curve + weaker dollar = cyclical reflation, not stagflation. Thesis cracks if ISM Services Tue 5/05 prints sub-50. Until then, QQQ lagging IWM is rotation, not warning.

@FightStorage BOO!

Here’s a President that never gets booed.

@traderhc One thing I noticed, btc did have an inside day today, and right now is sitting right between the 20 day and 20 ema.

Shorts are now paying longs to stay short on $BTC. Read that twice. ETFs puked hard today, IBIT led the outflows, and BTC closed down just 0.63%. Price is sitting right on the 20-day. Refusing to break. Funding flipped negative on both BTC and ETH. Annualized around -4 to -5%. That's not a breakdown setup. That's a squeeze setup. The leverage cycle tool flags this reset as complete. The historical parallel is January 2023, post-FTX. You remember what came next. Macro backdrop has zero stress. Factor crowding washed out at 6/100. When the marginal seller is exhausted AND shorts pay carry to be wrong, the path of pain is up. Lose the 20-day with conviction and I'm wrong. Until then I like the asymmetry. What's your read on BTC here? There it is

@traderhc Well, Q's off to a good start!

Negative funding + ETF outflows + price refusing to break the 20-day is the textbook setup for a squeeze, yeah. Shorts pressing into a market that won't crack rarely ends well for them. But I'd want to see $BTC reclaim the 50-day with QQQ confirming . if equities roll, the squeeze fuel doesn't matter.

@alshfaw What do you make of VIX selling off?

Remember we have a unique situation today, they put the A2M2 earnings in "one day", normally they give us two days alternating between good and bad news. E.g. Last time bad $META $MSFT then good $AMZN ALPHABET $GOOG. Today, an all-in-one ticket. This is an "unprecedented event" it never happened before the question is why? Max impact in which direction? Wdyt? Share & Subscribe, <>: $SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

@alshfaw @michaeljburry VIX??

FROTH METER $GLW. $180 to $145 overnight. #BOJ is making the bed for #Powell in the bond market this AM. See the credit spread oscillator shot higher overnight. I entered $SOXS semis shorts with @michaeljburry the same day he did, the timing was impeccable coinciding with the geometric $SPX top at $7147. The little throwover was immaterial. Share & Subscribe, <>: $SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

@kathyM_12 @AZ_Brittney @donkoclock Unless someone on the right says something similar, then it's called cancel culture.

@AZ_Brittney @donkoclock She can always change the channel. It's called freedom of speech.

Melania Trump says Jimmy Kimmel’s hateful and violent rhetoric is intended to divide our county. I stand with Jimmy against Melania Trump! Who is with me? 👍

@ChrisDJackson @JoeBiden You got the quiet part right, but that's about it.

Who else misses the boring, no-drama days of @JoeBiden? No chaos. No circus. No daily embarrassment. Just quiet competence from a president who actually knew how to do the job.

@bourscheid You're a f'ing idiot!

Did Trump just stage an assassination attempt again to reverse abysmal approval ratings & get MAGA defectors back in his corner? Judging by the comments I’m seeing, sure seems like it.

@thelou2023 @ShaykhSulaiman Idiot

@ShaykhSulaiman Israel is doing it. America is corrupt but it wouldn’t make sense for them to blow up their own refinery in Texas.

THEY ARE DESTROYING OIL REFINERIES AROUND THE WORLD Oil refineries/energy facilities blown up: ✅ 3rd April: Russia's Major Oil Export Terminal ✅ 4th April: Russia's Crude Distillation Unit ✅ 7th April: India's Power Plant ✅ Mexico's Refinery ✅ 14th April: India's Power Plant ✅ 15th April: Australia's Energy Refinery ✅ 20th April: Russia's Oil Refinery ✅ 21st April: India's Oil Refinery ✅ 21st April: Romania's Power Plant ✅ 21st April: Texas Oil Rig Why do you think they are doing this?

@alshfaw IWM response?

$KOSPI Is this the Coup Final for all markets? Markets synchronicity. $KOSPI and $NIKKEI double-topped. Kospi red tonight at last. Remember what Kospi did last February? Where's $SNDK to testify? One more tweet, and the KOSPI Aviator will hit the Eject button of the 2nd rocket ship. No runway left in the diagonal. $SPY hear me now. Share & Subscribe, <>: $SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

@CurrentPlc @TriggerTrades Why don't you do your own shit?

@TriggerTrades WHY didn't you tell this last week ? Your a-b-c was going to bring us a lower lower with now b topping around 6850. It was 7150 friday. And now your telling us to go to 7650 for a [5] ? I don't think so. Elliott is NOT a backdrawing machine !

7,400–7,650. That's where $SPX is headed. That's the MAGNET. Why? The 50–61.8% fib extensions of the 2025 rally. A measured move off the cycle low. Where 5th waves go to die. Bullish until crossed. The dip is coming. Get ready to buy in 1–2 weeks.

@PimpleCapital @BeardoTrader Put/Call is like .5

@BeardoTrader nope. no more red days. only green days - everyone is bearish, and 6 months later fintwat says we will be up 42.7% 99.2% of the time. just go all in long margin here

> Small $SPY sell off tomorrow. > Lure in the shorts. > Gap it up Monday or Tuesday and blow them out. > Reverse it back down later in the week.

@valuetrader_ @BeardoTrader Does if you're short.

@BeardoTrader Almost the worst signal ever. Does this even bring a positive return 😂😂😂😂

Want to short $QQQ? Wait for S5FI near 80% for a better setup.

@BeardoTrader Could this be used as a divergent indicator since we are at new highs?