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The 2/4 trendline model confirmed.
$SPX is now entering Wave 4 of the 5-year rally from 2020.
Target zone: 5600-5100
Timeline: 2026
That's a 20-25% correction from the highs.
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TRIGGER TRADES
3.4K posts
TRIGGER TRADES
@TriggerTrades
Creator of Elliott Wave 2.0 | Free + Premium Discord in Bio
1.618 Katılım Mayıs 2014
105 Takip Edilen94.3K Takipçiler
$SMCI whoa
👀
H/t @DougCli13776839
NIK@ns123abc
🚨BREAKING: SUPER MICRO CO-FOUNDER ARRESTED FOR SMUGGLING $2.5B IN NVIDIA GPUs TO CHINA >SMCI co-founder Yih-Shyan "Wally" Liaw arrested today >personally holds $464 MILLION in SMCI stock >charged with smuggling BILLIONS in Nvidia servers to china >used a southeast asian shell company to funnel $2.5B in servers to chinese buyers >$510 million worth shipped in just THREE WEEKS in spring 2025 >built thousands of fake dummy servers to fool U.S compliance auditors >caught on surveillance camera using a HAIR DRYER to swap serial number stickers >coordinated the whole thing over encrypted group chats >SMCI down 12% after hours >faces up to 30 years in federal prison ITS SO OVER…
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Meanwhile — just closed our $TSLA short from $438.50.
Covered at $382.25. +12.83% on commons.
No options. No leverage. Just structure and patience.
3 for 3 in Q1.
100% win rate.
5 more trades open — all green.
This isn't luck.
It's Elliott Wave 2.0.
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AS WARNED, $SPX resolved lower and hit the equal lows in the 3rd wave — EXACTLY as projected.
Now in the 4th wave.
If its not already complete, expect a rejection at the new bearish Daily FVG at 6,636–6,710
That sets up the 5th wave drop to sweep the November lows at 6,508.
If you've been following, you already knew this was coming.
Every level.
Every wave.
MAPPED.
Bias remains lower against 6,700.
One more leg down to go.
Then we'll talk about a bounce.
TRIGGER TRADES@TriggerTrades
$SPX rejected the Daily FVG resistance exactly as expected and the 3rd wave down is back underway. Path of least resistance: equal lows at ES 6635 | SPX 6585. This leg resolves into the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. Bias remains lower against today's high. No reason to fight this.
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@TriggerTrades The path of least resistance is to fade this guy at all costs
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The path of least resistance is DOWN.
$SPX has no support until the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500.
The 3rd wave is confirmed and I'm firmly bearish until $NDX, $SPX, or $DJI crosses their November lows.
No reason to be bullish right now.
Full breakdown:
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@TriggerTrades You will be nowhere close to right on this wave count.. with all the oversold indicator flashing at -5% there is only 1% chance -20% on this sell off.. there is a fed put and trump put. You are talking about September/october low later in year. Spring low 6500-6550.
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The 2/4 trendline model confirmed.
$SPX is now entering Wave 4 of the 5-year rally from 2020.
Target zone: 5600-5100
Timeline: 2026
That's a 20-25% correction from the highs.
English
TRIGGER TRADES retweetledi
TRIGGER TRADES retweetledi
@TriggerTrades Congrats on the good calls. It’s half the battle.
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@TriggerTrades So much wrong with your analysis …
You’re breaking the biggest rule- your 3rd wave is the shortest. And you’ve got ABC structures for a leading diagonal…unlikely.
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Today's snapback rally just confirmed the structure.
1st wave decline — complete.
Now correcting in the 2nd wave.
Watching for a 61.8–78.6% retrace into the Daily FVG at 6883–6915.
That zone already rejected price hard twice — don't expect the third time to be friendly.
If this correction completes there, the 3rd wave down will DWARF what we just saw.
ALT: If we can't close above the first FVG resistance ~6811, CPI Wednesday could kickstart the 3rd wave without the deeper retrace.
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@TriggerTrades I don’t understand how charts like these supposedly indicate future market moves. As if what’s going to happen in the the next days and weeks isn’t driven by Trump tweets, TACO, Hormuz, Iran’s responses, a random incidents where a bunch of US soldiers are killed, etc
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$ES Equal Lows SMASHED.
Gave you the weekly bias FREE.
You're welcome.
TRIGGER TRADES@TriggerTrades
The path of least resistance is DOWN. $SPX has no support until the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. The 3rd wave is confirmed and I'm firmly bearish until $NDX, $SPX, or $DJI crosses their November lows. No reason to be bullish right now. Full breakdown:
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ALT:
If $SPX trades above 6687, its most likely price completed a 5-wave down off the 200-DMA signaling a bounce to 6740-6760
THEN the flush to the November lows would be next.
There are two bullish SMTs on $ES, which would resolve into a bearish B-Wave triangle then flush.
An H4 close above $ES 6715 would send a Buy SIGNAL.
Bears have control without a breach of those levels.
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For Weekly Projections like this, join the discord:
whop.com/elliottwaveclub
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Projected the rejection.
Projected the path.
Projected the target.
$GC delivered.
I crush every market I touch.
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Pre-FOMC Analysis:
"My lean is that we ultimately resolve lower and break last week's lows, targeting the equal lows on the Daily / Weekly at ES 6635"
Now -77 points and counting...
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$SPX rejected the Daily FVG resistance exactly as expected and the 3rd wave down is back underway.
Path of least resistance: equal lows at ES 6635 | SPX 6585.
This leg resolves into the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500.
Bias remains lower against today's high.
No reason to fight this.
TRIGGER TRADES@TriggerTrades
$SPX has now retraced over 50% of Wave 3 — the first warning that a larger Wave 2 / B-Wave correction may be developing. That said, price rejected the nearest Daily FVG resistance, while the fractal count off the lows continues to look corrective. Primary lean: We resolve lower following FOMC targeting the 6550-6500 Monthly FVG As long as today’s high holds, the bearish bias remains valid.
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Price action was rough today, but my new indicator caught a clean W4/W5 short 🔥
Already the best Elliott Wave indicator out and its still in beta testing.
EWC members (Elite and Free) will be able to try it out first.
whop.com/elliottwaveclub
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ALT (Expanded Corrective Rally):
A break above today's high and the correction is expanding — opening the door to the next Daily FVG resistance at 6,773–6,811 for a larger 2nd / B-Wave rally.
Daily close above 6760 confirms it.
Until then, bears have the edge.
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$SPX has now retraced over 50% of Wave 3 — the first warning that a larger Wave 2 / B-Wave correction may be developing.
That said, price rejected the nearest Daily FVG resistance, while the fractal count off the lows continues to look corrective.
Primary lean: We resolve lower following FOMC targeting the 6550-6500 Monthly FVG
As long as today’s high holds, the bearish bias remains valid.
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