sharkboy

1U Lakers SGP (bet365) @ 2.10 at Phoenix No Book and Brooks for the Suns. Lakers coming off a close loss vs the Magic, they should bounce back here today. Lebron over in 38/39 games for points & 32/39 games for assists.

1U Lakers ML vs Warriors @ 1.80 (bet365) I honestly don’t understand why this line is 1.80. It may be a trap but I don’t care. No steph, Jimmy (obv), no KP here, and the warriors recently traded away Kuminga + Hield. They are gonna have to get high tier scoring from their 4th + options or an all around scoring effort from every one. Lakers don’t have Luka but are 100% healthy otherwise. Reaves minutes been ramping up (hit 25 last game, probably sees 28-32 this game). And with the lakers being at home, I like it a little more.

1U Giannis 20+ Points/Lakers ML @ 1.83 (bet365) Giannis has cleared this line in every game he has not gotten injured in. I feel pretty confident on that leg, shouldn’t need much of a write up. Lakers ML is obviously the larger odds booster here. They have played well against sub-par teams, and MIL is a sub-par team. In there only matchup this season (w/o Bron & KPJ), Lakers won big (by 25). Bucks have also been below average on the road at 7-13, I just think lakers will pull this one out. May be a close one tho.

1U Luka 30+ Points/Lakers ML @ 1.76 (bet365) vs Memphis Rui and Reaves remain out for this game. In the L6 games without Reaves, Luka has been very inefficient, more specifically from 3 point land. He is shooting 16/64 (25%) from 3 in those games. I am banking on some positive regression here from him. He also shot over 45% just 2/6 of the L6 games reaves has been out. Luka gamelog w/o AR L6 games: Gamelog of 34, 30, 34, 12 (injured), 45, 29 points. MEM also allows the most pull-up 3s in the league and most pull-up FGM. Filtering for the last 10 games and results are similar. This is one of Luka’s strengths. Grizzlies are also likely without Ja today, which limits their offensive creation. Lakers looked a lot better last game vs Memphis on Friday, I expect them to win today again.

1U Thunder/Lakers ML @ 1.83 Best team in the league facing a warriors team who will be without Dray, Steph, Jimmy, and Melton today. OKC should take care of business today. Though, I wouldn’t be surprised if Warriors make this a competitive game since they are at home. Laker Grizzly game will be good. With the lakers being pretty mid the last 10ish games, I expect them to come out strong today as well as sharp. They also have the two best players in this game (Bron n Luka). Should be a good one here.

Mostly posting this as a vent because this NBA season has been absolutely ridiculous for me, genuinely never seen anyone have worse luck than this. +50u in 2023/24 +76u in 2024/25 -1u in 2025/26 How are the results so bad this year? Well this is how Today's Recap was -3.5u with 7 losing bets - WCJ u8.5 rebounds, has 4 rebounds at the end of the third quarter absolutely no chance this bet should lose yet he grabs 5 rebounds in the 4th to finish on 9 (1.74u swing) - Queen u13.5 points, has 6 points at the end of the third quarter with HOU up double digits, again no chance this bet should lose yet it does, finishes on 14 at the end of the fourth and then gets some points in OT (1.80u swing) - Derozan u2.5 3PA, has 0 3PA with 1 minute left in the 4th quarter. Hits 2 3s with 1 minute remaining to send the game to OT. Gets his third 3PA in OT to go over (1.71u swing) - Nurkic o8.5 rebounds, has 6 rebounds halfway through the second quarter, somehow only gets 2 more for the rest of the game to hook (0.90u swing) - MPJ o6.5 rebounds, this was never tracking well but its a hook with 6 rebounds (0.8u swing) Thats 5 out of 7 losses where we should have won 4 of these and got close on the 5th. Overall the swing on these 4 bets is 7u so what should have been a great day ends up being -3.5u. These types of losses have been happening daily for 2 months now. Just a few days ago I had Jokic u22.5 RA, he had 21 RA with 1 second left, down 1 point. Pretty much guaranteed a winner here as its highly unlikely this game goes to OT. Amen Thompson gets called for an away from play foul, Jamal murray hits the free throw and Jokic misses the buzzer beater to send it to OT. Honestly fuck my life

1U Christmas Builder @ 1.78 (bet365) 🎄 Loving all 3 here, let’s get our Christmas money back. Luka Over in 18/21 games, his volume has been off the charts this season. Even with Reaves back, he should still clear this. KD Over in 21/25 games. Christmas game vs Bron, not many of those left for either of these dudes. Lakers defense has also been atrocious. AD over in 8/11 games where he doesn’t get injured. GSW is not a very good rebounding team, especially when allowing offensive boards (5th worst).