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shunsanto
@shunsanto
freedom pursuer, BTC hodler & AI shareholder 🇹🇼📚☕️🪙🛫🌕
Taipei City, Taiwan Katılım Temmuz 2022
680 Takip Edilen300 Takipçiler
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Kevin Warsh just ended his first ever FOMC meeting as Fed chair.
His message to markets: "I can't give you any guidance on what we're going to do next."
Here is what he said:
1. Inflation is still way above the Fed's 2% target and prices are too high for most people
2. "We will fix five years of misses on inflation", he is directly saying the previous Fed failed
3. The Fed will no longer tell you in advance what it plans to do with interest rates
4. He watches stock market prices more than anything else when making decisions
5. Interest rates are hurting the housing market but are not slowing down financial markets
6. All 19 members at the table agreed not to raise rates today
7. The 2% inflation target is not changing
8. He refused to say whether bond yields rising after today's decision concerns him
9. He refused to say whether he has spoken to Trump since becoming Fed chair
Under Powell, the Fed always told markets what was coming next. Under Warsh, that is gone.
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Technology CapEx spending is exploding:
The CapEx-to-Sales ratio of developed market tech firms is up to a record 11.5%.
Over the last 2 years, this percentage has risen +4 points, far outpacing any other 2-year increase in history.
To put this into perspective, the previous peaks seen in the 1990s and early 2000s were at 9.0% and 8.5%.
By comparison, the developed market excluding tech CapEx-to-Sales ratio stands at just 7.0%, below its own long-term average.
The AI buildout is also driving investment spending higher in other sectors, with utilities now leading at a CapEx-to-Sales ratio of ~23%, well above its long-term average of ~15%.
The AI investment boom is reshaping capital allocation across the entire economy.

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Retail investors are piling in to SpaceX stock:
Over the last 2 trading sessions, retail investors bought nearly as much SpaceX, $SPCX, as every other US single stock combined in the entire prior week, according to Vanda Research data.
On Monday alone, retail purchased +$93.8 million of $SPCX shares, accounting for ~73% of all retail single-stock purchases during the day.
In the first 10 minutes of Monday’s session, retail investor turnover in the stock exceeded $7 million.
Individual investors also bought some semiconductor stocks such as Marvell $MRVL, Micron $MU, SanDisk $SNDK, and Broadcom $AVGO.
Retail appetite for risk shows no signs of slowing.

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ANNOUNCEMENT:
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Our analysis provided a net return of +30.7% in 2025, outperforming the S&P 500's 2025 return of +16.4%.
Since 2020, our investment strategy has now returned +516.3%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500’s +111.9% return over the same period.
Our 2025 return builds on +8.1% in 2024, +15.5% in 2023, +92.8% in 2022, +35.3% in 2021, and +44.8% in 2020.
Since 2020, our analysis has delivered a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of +35.4%, outperforming the S&P 500’s +13.3% CAGR.
Read the full annual report here:
thekobeissiletter.com/performance


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Digital Money should be stable, liquid, digital, and yield-bearing. Bitcoin-backed credit makes that possible. The next wave is not just stablecoins — it is stable-value money with yield, built on Bitcoin. $BTC
Michael Saylor@saylor
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The "Digital Asset Stack" by @saylor outlines a structured approach to Bitcoin-native finance. Strata's USDat markets address two of its components:
• Senior USDat = Digital Money - fixed 7.8% APY, with built-in downside protection.
• Junior USDat = Digital Yield - amplified exposure to $STRC price and dividends.
Backed by @Strategy's Digital Credit via @saturn_credit.

Michael Saylor@saylor
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SpaceX seems to be draining the entire US stock market right now.
The S&P 500 is down -0.38% today, wiping out $240 billion.
The Nasdaq is down -0.52%, wiping out $200 billion.
But $SPCX is up 8.71%, adding $220 billion in a single session.
Every dollar flowing into SpaceX is a dollar leaving every other index.

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@zerohedge Great news to the democracy civilization. China’s housing has been collapsing while it also has printed out the most money out of thin air in the past decade 👏👏👏
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