flyingsnowball

Probably more productive to stare at a wall for an hour than watch reels

The solution to so many of life’s problems is to just keep going.

@RuurdSnijdtDoor thank you 🫡

“HODL and buy the dip” has been a winning strategy for the past 10+ years, but it will take on a whole new meaning if this hypothesis plays out, unless you shift your focus. On a positive note, there is always a bull market starting somewhere.

Intellectual obesity is what happens when you consume too much and produce too little.

the big secret is that everything is actually easy. you just have to do it

@Sheridanblog remember he wants to be better than curry. he's the white ohtani

I am NOT okay with Podz taking that 3 with the game on the line that early in the shot clock. What the fuck, man.

Many traps, yet many keep jumping in…Welcome to Rektcity the only city in the world where the official currency is hopium and the national anthem is someone whispering “it’s just a dip.” Rektcity was founded by a group of crypto visionaries who believed three things: 1.Every dip is temporary. 2.Lambos are inevitable. 3.Risk management is for boomers.

everything you want in life is on the other side of looking cringe

@Larskooistra_ love that you're doing more tradfi stuff

$NFLX I believe price will see a full reversal of the most recent pump we have seen on NFLX. Price frontran our key demand POI and with the combination of there being nothing but a curviture of buyside liquidity above, I am labelling this move up as nothing other than a short sqeeuze and expect price to deliver a full reversal. From there we can establish a HTF range which could deliver HTF #TCT accumulation schematics. The current range is an example of what it could look like, the range is not confirmed.

@lucas67261771 You been cooking

🛢️OIL rising 🚀 What’s next? When oil spikes like this, it triggers inflation across the whole commodity chain. The Persian Gulf region exports a huge share of global fertilizers (urea, ammonia, phosphate). Shipping disruptions and gas supply problems have already pushed fertilizer prices higher. Nitrogen fertilizer is made from natural gas Much of that gas and fertilizer supply comes from the Middle East Shipping through Hormuz is disrupted When fertilizer gets expensive: Farmers plant less acreage Or they use less fertilizer ;lower yields Both situations tighten supply. This could reduce corn plantings in the U.S. and push grain prices higher. Iran conflict → oil spike → fertilizer spike → crop supply stress → corn & grain rally Oil also affects agriculture through: Diesel for tractors Grain shipping Food transportation Higher fuel prices push food inflation globally. So with the Iran situation, the commodities most sensitive right now are: 1.Oil 2.Natural gas / LNG 3.Fertilizers 4.Grains (corn, wheat, soybeans) 🧠Agriculture is usually a delayed reaction, but historically it often follows energy shocks. If the Hormuz disruption lasts into planting season, the market could see a large agricultural rally similar to 2008 or 2022. (Check 2008 oil spike ,fertilizer explosion ,corn rally) 🚀 Similar dynamics could appear again if Gulf tensions escalate. 🧠💡Things I’m Watching now is Gold–Oil ratio combined with fertilizer prices. When these move together in a certain way, it has historically preceded large food commodity rallies. The Gold–Oil ratio measures how many barrels of oil one ounce of gold can buy. Typical levels: 10–15 → oil expensive vs gold 15–25 → normal range 25–35+ → gold expensive / crisis environment Example historically: 2008 crisis: ratio spiked before commodities moved 2020 pandemic: huge spike 2022 war inflation cycle: ratio moved again before food inflation When the ratio rises sharply, it usually signals: monetary stress geopolitical risk inflation pressure building Historically, this often happens before agriculture rallies. 💡With a gold at 5192 and Oil at 86.4, the ratio is at 60. 60 is very rare. What a high ratio usually signals It usually means Gold is extremely strong (fear / geopolitics / monetary stress) Oil is still undervalued relative to gold A commodity inflation wave is coming Agriculture moves slower because of planting cycles. Typical timeline: Geopolitical shock Gold rises (safe haven) Silver pumps Oil rises (energy disruption) Gas 🚀 Fertilizer prices jump Farmers reduce planting or fertilizer use Food supply tightens months later Then grains like corn, wheat, and soybeans rally. 2007–2008 commodity supercycle Oil exploded to $147 Fertilizer prices tripled Corn and wheat hit record high The current environment has several similar ingredients: geopolitical tension around Iran rising energy prices fragile fertilizer supply central banks printing liquidity That combination has historically been very bullish for agricultural commodities….

@lucas67261771 🤣

@Sheridanblog Kerr thinks draymond is Kobe 😭😭😭

Over the last few weeks with Steph Curry out, we've gotten a super clear picture of who's really been hurting the Warriors the most. Let's start w/ the first game w/ Curry out against the 76ers. Draymond started and was a team-worst -27 in a blowout loss. Just so we are clear, you have to be a special kind of bad to be a -27. Keep this in mind as you read the rest of this. Warriors were down by 11 against Suns in Q4 w/ Draymond in there. He came out at the 7-min mark, and they proceeded to win the game w/out him by 4 points, a 15-point turnaround in Q4. Gui Santos hit the game-winning layup. Against Grizzlies a couple of games later, Draymond was a -17 in 24 minutes. Down by 13 with 8 minutes to go in Q4, Draymond took a seat for good, and Warriors made a giant run and won by 1 point, a 14-point turnaround in Q4. Santos hit another game-winning layup and was a +11. Against Celtics a couple of games later, they were down by as many as 34 points, with Draymond being a team-worst -28. Warriors were down by 27 points going into Q4, Draymond was out of the game, and they proceeded to make a giant run and brought it all the way down to an 11-point game, a 16-point turnaround. Santos was a +8. The following game, Draymond was out against the Nuggets, and Warriors convincingly beat the Nuggets by 11 points. A couple of games later, Draymond was out again, and Warriors destroyed the Grizzlies and led by as many as 30+ points. Against Lakers, Draymond was a team-worst -30, blow-out loss. Against the Clippers, Draymond was a team-worst -18, and Steve Kerr benched Gui Santos instead of Draymond. A middle school kid could figure out the trend of what's been going on, but Kerr continues to treat Draymond like he's Kobe, like he's owed everything - he's NOT, because he's NOT Kobe. For the Warriors to play their best basketball, Draymond's role has to be completely minimized, used off the bench, and situationally used at most. Until Kerr the clown fixes this situation, we will continue to see this team look a lot worse than they should, and I mean that with or without Curry.

@SillyBitoshi @Wyckoff_Insider would love to check it out

1 person. 1 complete guide. Follow it — another person waits on the other side. I read this every night for 30 days. Not a book. A document I built from @Wyckoff_Insider 's work. Tweets. Threads. Answers. Concepts. All organized into: THE WYCKOFF INSIDER — COMPLETE ARCHIVE Philosophy • Trading Methodology • Life Optimization I’ll share it for free in the coming days. If you want it — let me know.

@lava_xbt 👀

3.3%

@Larskooistra_ Insane Lars. Slow clap 👏

BTC sub 74K. Beautiful to see.

@Novo_HQ Ok I sent it

@snowballsfly can you plesae email support@novo.co from you new email address?

@Novo_HQ hey novo. I haven't heard back from the support email. I lost access to my business email. Can you help reset my account under a different email?

@Novo_HQ I can’t dm because I’m not a verified user on X

@snowballsfly So sorry to hear this! Please send us a DM with the email address associated with your account in order for us to locate your information! Please also provide the email address you would like to have it changed to.

Your job is to keep the wheels from falling off. If you slip into a doomscroll session, eat too much, or go to bed late, the worst thing you can do is let that bad behavior be a permission slip for more. Get back on the horse. The people you envy aren’t machines. They’re not perfect. They probably just snap back quickly. It’s so easy to spiral when the dam breaks, but the best thing you can do is keep the bus from breaking down entirely. Eliminate the huge swings, if not for the sake of progress, than for your sanity.

"The 'Instagram Generation' now experiences the present as an anticipated memory." - Daniel Kahneman