alaskacatcrypto

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alaskacatcrypto

alaskacatcrypto

@solbtcethcat

Crypto trader. Invest in AI and tech. Bitcoin is the future and now.

Katılım Kasım 2020
102 Takip Edilen231 Takipçiler
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Berkshire Hathaway discloses new purchases of Alphabet, $GOOGL, Macy's, $M, and Delta Airlines, $DAL. Berkshire Hathaway has also exited its entire position in Amazon, $AMZN, UnitedHealth, $UNH, and Dominos Pizza, $DPZ.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Real Blonde Broker
Real Blonde Broker@blondebroker1·
$420.69 $TSLA at close lol $735-6 $SPY important level to hold OPEX over and in the books Have a good weekend And let’s head to Space next week please!🙏
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
Release Leopold Aschenbrenner’s damn 13F already!!
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alaskacatcrypto
alaskacatcrypto@solbtcethcat·
Two stocks that seem to be of value at these levels are $now and $shop ! Agentic AI is here and these would be smart to take a position in on dips. #ai #h200 $nvda $goog
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First Fellow
First Fellow@spluscollective·
$SHOP is such a beautiful short idea. This one is slowly and steadily heading to Covid lows Avwap at 80-78. Yet another beautiful Saas company that's getting killed due to silly market.
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Cole
Cole@StockOptionCole·
Michael Burry charges a fee to tell his Subscribers he's shorting $NVDA since $200 I've never witnessed a bigger idiot than him
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Real Blonde Broker
Real Blonde Broker@blondebroker1·
$SPX $7455c 5/14 alerted in Discord at $19 Now $58!!! That’s another good day Join us❤️ Link in bio
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
*CEREBRAS SHARES INDICATED TO OPEN AT $350, IPO PRICED AT $185
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
$AAOI is now up ~6-7x at $200+. Feels like nobody else was long last year aside from me and like two other people on X? Remains one of my top high conviction optical longs moving forward into 2027 due to massive revenue ramp + Made in America supply chains.
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alaskacatcrypto
alaskacatcrypto@solbtcethcat·
@BullflowIO You are a awesome company. You have a really great service and I will be upgrading to the newest software.!
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Bullflow.io
Bullflow.io@BullflowIO·
We’ve been getting a lot of questions about upgrading to Premium 👀 If you already have an active Bullflow subscription, upgrading to Premium will NOT be an additional separate $499 charge. Stripe will automatically prorate your subscription based on the time remaining on your current plan!
Bullflow.io@BullflowIO

Bullflow Premium is officially LIVE 🚀 For the first 24 hours only, you can lock in your first year for just $499 using code: PREMIUM After 24 hours, launch pricing is gone. Premium includes: • Darkpool + Darkpool Alerts • AI Agent Analysis • GEX Multi-Map View • Vanna Exposure • Replay Mode • 500% faster heatmap auto-updates

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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
I was told I was getting into $NBIS too late after stock had already tripled but I thought it was worth the risk in a world that will likely stay compute constrained for years. This is no longer just a “neocloud” story but becoming one of the cleanest ways to invest in the AI infrastructure buildout especially as the next phase of cycle shifts toward inference, tokens, orchestration & enterprise deployment.
Shay Boloor tweet media
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay

The neocloud category may be the most misunderstood corner of the AI trade because the market still treats these names as one uniform GPU-hours bet when they are actually very different business models: 1. $NBIS (Cloud Utility for the Agentic AI Age) $NVDA just chose Nebius as an architecture partner for the agentic AI era by co-designing AI factories with them, and the Rubin GPU access that comes with this partnership means Nebius gets the next-generation inference stack before almost anyone else in the market. At a $28B market cap, a 5GW power target and Nvidia’s engineering team embedded in the stack.. this is my favorite name in the neocloud category. 2. $IREN (Energy-to-Compute Engine of the AI Era) The dilution fear is real but the market is misreading it. IREN is not diluting to survive but diluting to scale into a $3.7B ARR target and the $9.3B in funding already secured through customer prepayments and GPU financing means the $6B ATM is optionality capital. The real bottleneck in AI infrastructure right now is power and IREN controls ~4.5GW of secured capacity while needing only ~500MW to support its ARR target by year-end. That 10x ratio of power capacity to near-term need is something no competitor can replicate quickly. 3. $CIFR (Landlord of the AI Utility Era) Cipher is not a pure neocloud but is a hyperscale infrastructure landlord signing decade-long leases to $AMZN AWS and $GOOGL while they fill the shells with compute. The AWS lease alone is expected to generate ~$700M in average annualized NOI for the next decade at nearly 100% NOI margins. Power-rich land is the scarcest resource in AI infrastructure and Cipher controls it with 600MW fully contracted, both facilities fully funded through non-recourse fixed-rate project debt and a 3.4GW development pipeline. 4. $CRWV (The Fragile Giant) CoreWeave’s demand backlog and revenue growth are very real but none of that matters if the capital markets close for even one quarter. Interest expense hit $388M in Q4 and management guided Q1 2026 interest expense to ~$550M which implies an annualized run rate above $2B before a single new data center comes online. The bull case requires capital markets to stay open, rates to cooperate, hyperscalers to honor take-or-pay contracts in full and construction to stay on time. That is a lot of dependencies in a macro environment where oil is approaching $100 and private credit is already showing signs of stress.

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Stephan
Stephan@bengauv·
@ripster47 Hi Rip, what app do you use to see that overnight? I’m curious about Tesla
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Ripster
Ripster@ripster47·
$NVDA Going Crazy Overnight New ATH Jensen Ready to Party in China with Trump
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
So here's the napkin math I did on Nextronics (8147) when I went long. They're the $NVDA CPO supplier for CPO connectors and cage thermal modules. And I modeled around 2 FWD p/e for 2028, which is why I think risk-reward is very compelling for a potential 10x rerating to ~$2B+ MC in 2028. Just for their CPO exposure: -> CPO connector runs roughly $15 to $25 -> ELS thermal cages, maybe ~$50 from est. 18 units per switch: 18x50 = ~$900 CPO Connectors: 72 Optical Engines per switch 72 x $15 = $1,080 (If $NVDA scales their Spectrum-X switch, it goes to $1,920 for CPO connectors). Total Nextronics Content: ~$1,980 (rounded to $2k for calculations) in conservative case. Implied BOM % of rack: 0.08%. Maybe ~1.5% of switch. This looks microscopic to institutions so it probably is ignored. Is it material to Nextronics, a ~$200m company? Yes, absolute massive. For calculations: Applying 50% haircut to Nextronics' share of the Nvidia connector market/cage market because of multi-source. And I’m using GS projections, and assuming $AVGO, $MRVL, ASIC CPO ecosystem is 30% size of $NVDA. Net Income Margin: 22.4% (at 38% GM)- 24.0% (at 40% GM). But going off other projections from just, a rack shipments: 2026: CPO revenue ~10.1M, net income (22.4%) ~2.26M + $12.5M base = $14.7M (540k units for connectors, cage, 40K units, already divided by 50%) 2027: CPO revenue: ~$172M, net income (22.4%): ~$38.53M = $51.03M (~8M units for connectors, ~1.03M units for cage) 2028 scale up expansion: CPO revenue: $450m, net income: $100.93M, ~$11.3M base (~40M units for connectors, 2.98M unit for cages, eg. Nvidia ELS volume is 19.9M) So implied fwd p/e 15.4x for 2026, 4.45x for 2027, 2x for 2028. Of course at scale, blended margins might go down, there might be other players bringing market share down to like 25%, etc. and projections might be more or less than GS. But regardless seems highly asymmetrical even if I'm off by a whole 50%. 2028 is usually the massive re-rating for CPO players, 2026 is still really early. Hope my math is right, but 20x fwd p/e multiple would be $2.26B MC. Even if we drop: -> market share to just 15%. -> compress their net income margin down to 14%. -> connector ASP to $10. At a 20x multiple, the stock would still achieve a ~4.5x return to a $1B+ market cap. We'll see if this is right or not. (NFA, just speculative financial modeling)
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Xecv@Xecvvv

@aleabitoreddit It'd be great if you included your revenue models and projections whenever you share positions you enter. I know in the past you've said it's to simplify for retail, but easier to build conviction when we can see your reasoning and actual numbers (and allow us to double check).

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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Here's the humanoid exposure crowdsourced list: - $OUST - Rainbow Robotics (277810) - $AMBA - Ubtech Robotics - $MKA - Nextronics - $SYM - Harmonic Drive (6324) - $VPG - Beijing Geekplus - $MBLY - $ARBE - Nabtesco (6268) - $SERV - $HSYDF - Robotstrategy - $ZBRA - $CATL - $ABB - $BOT - Unitree (not public yet) - $LSCC - Esunny Robot (300024) - $NOVT - $RR - $PDY - Hesai (2525) - $SHA.DE - $XBOT - $XPEV - $BAM - $ALNT - 6268.T - $AMBQ - $ATOM - $MRAM - $ISRG - $HLIT - Robosense (2498) - $HG - $ACUVI - $CGNX - $KLIC - $BSL - $AEVA - $AUR - $CTH.V - $IMSR - $NEO - $KDK - $MRLN - $KITT - $INDI - $NOVT Off the top of my head: Harmonic Drive, $OUST, $BOT, $VPG, $MBLY, and Ubtech showed up the most. Will start doing DD into mentions.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit

All right chat. I need some more ideas on the early $RKLB equivalent for humanoid exposure. 10x+ potential returns only in the next 2 years and more pure play exposure than $TSLA. What’s your best ideas?

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Real Blonde Broker
Real Blonde Broker@blondebroker1·
I can’t imagine why the market cooled off after $1000 $MU calls hit the tape yesterday lol Rejection at top band $800 and mid at $735 $685 lower band
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alaskacatcrypto
alaskacatcrypto@solbtcethcat·
@fundmyfund I also entered but just seen a insider sold a lot of her stock on the run up.
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Fund.Drone.DefenseTech.Photonics $LPTH $UMAC 🐋
I started $AAON this morning - it is a heating and cooling play that is a low key data center play. More importantly the market liked its earnings and it is now flagging. Rather than chase it I was waiting for some sort of mini pullback after the stock was doing some price discovery the past few days. I would like to add to this if it continues to behave and flags out over the next 3-5 days. If it does all that it could have a new breakout next week. I also like that no one talks about this stock so retail lemmings won't be in it. Never been in it myself before today.
Fund.Drone.DefenseTech.Photonics $LPTH $UMAC 🐋 tweet media
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