Sage'O Sonic

@smcglobal banks always lead the overshoot. check put OI before assuming more downside

✅ INDEX NIFTY 23866.85 -1.63% NIFTY FUT. 23939.10 -1.95% Gift Nifty 23715.50 -0.81% Sensex 76863.71 -1.72% Bank Nifty 55735.75 -2.13% 📢 OUTLOOK The market is expected to open in the red and continue their downward trend on Thursday, due to weakness in global markets, as rising crude oil prices from the intensifying US-Iran conflict raised inflation worries and unsettled investors. 🌐 GLOBAL MARKET Major stock market indexes in the Asia-Pacific region traded mostly lower on Thursday amid the ongoing conflict between the United States and Israel on one side and Iran on the other. U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday as markets largely looked past a tame inflation report, focusing instead on intensifying hostilities and mounting repercussions related to the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. Oil rose in Asia on Thursday even after announcements of huge releases of crude from strategic reserves in an attempt to bring down prices in the wake of the Iran war. 👁‍🗨 FIIs/ FPIs As per provisional figures (NSE, BSE and MSEI in Capital Market Segment), Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs)/ Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) sold shares worth net Rs.6267.31 crore and Domestic institutional investors bought shares worth net Rs.4965.53 crore on 11th March 2026.

market open in 30 min. 301 fallout or crude driving this lower? drop your pre-market read below

FII sold 6267cr yesterday. VIX spiked 11% to 21.06. GIFT Nifty at 23825, down 115 pts. pre-market says today opens ugly

India facing a double barrel nobody's pricing in. Section 301 probe + Brent at $99 + Nifty below 24000. this isn't 2018 trade war. this is worse

@rajuidesai this is the tariff backdoor after SCOTUS. pharma exports first in the crosshairs

U.S. Accuses 16 Trading Partners of Unfair Practices and Opens Investigation A trade investigation focuses on the European Union, China, India and other countries and will likely lead to tariffs to replace those struck down by the Supreme Court. nytimes.com/2026/03/11/bus…

@prsablue historical support means nothing when the macro inputs are completely different. Jul 2022 and Mar 2025 didn't have Brent at , Hormuz shut, and the biggest supply shock since 1973. India imports 85% of its crude. this time the fundamental backdrop makes technical levels irrelevant

#Nifty just hit the level that stopped every crash in the last 3 years 👇 ✅Jul 2022 → Bounced 🚀 ✅Mar 2025 → Bounced 🚀 ❓Mar 2026 → Same level. Right now. Can it become the high probability bounce zone??⚡ #nifty50 #sensex #stockmarket #banknifty #StocksToWatch #giftnifty #StocksInFocus #stocks #watchlist #investment

@kotakneo this isn't profit booking, it's risk repricing. crude at 99 changes the entire equation

📌 Previous market close ➤ Benchmark indices corrected sharply. The Nifty ended down by 395 points, while the Sensex was down by 1342 points. ➤ Sectorally, almost all the major sectoral indices registered profit booking at higher levels, but the Auto index lost the most, shedding over 3 percent. #StockMarket #Nifty #Sensex #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis 2/3

Trade setup for Mar 12th, 2026👇 📌 Key levels to watch: Nifty: 🔺 Resistance – 24000, 24150 🔻 Support – 23700, 23600 Sensex: 🔺 Resistance – 77500, 78000 🔻 Support – 76300, 76000 #StockMarket #Nifty #Sensex #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis 1/3

@blitzkreigm everyone screamed fear at 23700 Monday and it bounced. real question is whether crude holds above 95

Cues For Today  - Fear all around  - Dow Fut -400 Pts  - Oil Nears $100  - Gift Nifty -200 Pts  - Nifty Bank -1200 Pts yesterday  - Nifty to open near Monday low of 23697 Wall St overnight  - Dow -0.6% - S&P -0.08% - Nasdaq +0.08% Brent Crude at $100 - Market weighs threats to tankers against IEA oil stockpile release - IEA announces release of 400m barrels of reserve oil  Trump Says: Have a job to finish in Iran  Cash Market Flows FII   -6267 Cr DII  +4965 Cr - FII Gross Volumes 12% lower than March Avg    India Vix +11% yesterday, back above 21 Monday’s Low key to track Nifty                  23697 Nifty Bank       55271 - FIIs sold 3034 Cr in Index Futures - FIIs added 19000 short contracts  - FII net shorts at 2.02 lk contracts - FII Longs at 11.7%, Shorts at 88.3% Nifty Positioned for  Support:          23600-23700 Resistance:    24250-24350 Nifty Pharma  - Likely to outperform, as capital seeks haven there   @CNBCTV18Live #CuesForToday #StockMarket

@saditya10p @SandeepKrJainTS holding the fort works until crude at 99 breaks DII margins too

@SandeepKrJainTS FIIs clearly in exit mode, while DIIs are holding the fort. Shows domestic investors are key support amid geopolitical tension.

FIIs negativity in full swing🐻🐻🐻 FII and DII as on 11 March 2026 FII F&O (Net) -8266.04 Cr FII INDEX FUTURE -3034.39 Cr FII INDEX OPTIONS -2956.84 Cr FII STOCK FUTURES -1709.54 Cr FII STOCK OPTIONS -565.27 Cr FII CASH -6267.31 Cr DII CASH +4965.53 Cr #IranIsraelWar #stockmarketcrash

@NimblePesos except this time you add crude at 99 to the mix. worse macro backdrop than any of those 6

in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/9L… Whenever Monthly RSI lost 50… NIFTY lost ~20%. It has happened 6 times already. RSI today: 50.92 Will markets respect history for the 7th time? #TickTock #Nifty #RSI #Bears

@saditya10p @mohak_ailani midcap margins get crushed first when crude hits 99. where's the stop on this view?

@mohak_ailani Small & midcaps holding up better shows market breadth is stronger than Nifty suggests.

#CNX500/#Nifty Ratio - Breakout! During the worst war-times, small/midcap indexes have fallen lesser than Nifty. Shows you that Nifty is managed to create an illusion Tell the operators that we all can see charts!

@Maaachaaa69 double hit incoming. Section 301 tariffs on top of crude at when India imports 85% of its oil. trade deficit about to blow out and RBI will burn reserves defending INR. been tracking this all week, check my posts. what's the rupee floor if this escalates?

cnbctv18.com/economy/trump-… DOLAAND's love for INDIA is increasing day by day The Trump Administration on Wednesday has announced new trade investigations of 16 countries, including India, with the goal of replacing President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariff policy, which was deemed illegal by the country's Supreme Court last month.

@DeNebulord @accounting_ds 20 isn't the floor when Hormuz is shut and crude is at 99. new baseline is 22+

@accounting_ds So buy VIX at lows (like 20) is what I’m hearing. Trump loves drama eh?

Almost nobody is talking about Azerbaijan right now, which is strange because if you look at a map and think about borders, you can see Crystal clear how Iran is operating A big part of Trump’s Iran plan is to box Tehran out economically and politically so civilians and neighbors turn on the regime in the South Caucasus, the opposite is happening, and you can see it by understanding this map That green line along the Iran Armenia border near Meghri is the old Zangezur corridor concept, rebranded last year as the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP) after a US brokered deal Washington and Yerevan agreed to create a TRIPP development company to build rail, pipelines, and fiber through roughly 40 plus kilometers of Armenian territory there, with the US taking a 74% stake and Armenia 26% That is a direct US equity stake in physical infrastructure linking Turkey to Azerbaijan and on to Central Asia while completely bypassing Iran Now look at the orange box, that thin strip between Nakhchivan and Iran That’s Tehran’s only friendly border access to the South Caucasus Armenia was their one non hostile neighbor up there, the TRIPP corridor functionally eliminates that, once it’s operational, Iran is boxed out of overland Eurasian trade north of its borders The red circle is Nakhchivan,Iranian drones hit the airport there and a school nearby, a hostile threat to the Azerbaijani territory, Nakhchivan is 10 kilometers from the Iranian border, hosts Turkish Bayraktar drones, and sits right where the TRIPP corridor will connect, Iran hit it for a reason Now look at the top right mainland Azerbaijan,The BTC pipeline and the entire Southern Gas Corridor run through there Azerbaijan is not going to enter this war, Aliyev’s response to the drone strike was performative He gave a tough speech, pulled diplomats, closed the border then called Pezeshkian four days later and reopened it Neocon commentators wanted an Azerbaijani uprising against Iran instead, Aliyev is signaling that he will not trade his country’s core infrastructure for symbolic retaliation He’s not going to sacrifice the BTC pipeline over a drone that hit an airport terminal That restraint is actually the bullish signal though, It means the Southern Gas Corridor stays online The Middle Corridor keeps moving cargo and the TRIPP corridor development continues, Azerbaijan absorbing the hit without escalating Iran is being geographically squeezed from the north through corridors it can’t control, but it also is playing with house money and willing to sink infrastructure that keeps the world running, I am not predicting anything, however, this is not a TACO situation Looking at headlines for hopium is not concrete evidence to real solutions for the war to end I expect heightened volatility in the coming weeks to continue None of this is political or even a bull/bear post, just honest thoughts 💭

DOE forecast: . Reality: . and Hormuz is still shut. 572M barrel global SPR dump didn't even dent it

Brent crude at . One tanker attack away from . The entire global macro picture just changed and half of fintwit is still debating rate cuts

@CNBCTV18Live @hormaz_fatakia because you can't dump reserves into a supply shock. SPR doesn't fix shipping lanes being shut

#Explained — Why #oilprices are still rising despite #IEA decision on emergency reserves @hormaz_fatakia cnbctv18.com/market/commodi…

@Trinhnomics @natixis @NatixisResearch day 13 and everyone's still modeling like Hormuz reopens next week

@natixis @NatixisResearch Middle East Conflict: Counting the Shocks on the Global Economy and Impact on Financial Markets It’s Day 13 of the war and financial markets have been roiling by the impact of the Iran War, with disruptions to the energy market in focus. For oil and gas, our base case scenario is a two-week disruption, and we project Brent crude averaging $90/bbl over March and April and European gas (TTF) at €50/MWh, with severe, prolonged outages potentially driving Brent to $119/bbl and TTF to €108/MWh over the same period. Whilst the magnitude of any oil price spike can be moderated by strategic reserves, gas markets will need to balance via demand destruction. Metals are also affected as supply shocks are driving up aluminum prices and creating significant supply tightness for sulfuric acid, which is crucial for base metal extraction like copper and nickel. While gold initially surged as a safe haven, price will likely return to pre-war levels if the conflict is short, though a prolonged war could lead to renewed price increases due to inflation. Beyond metals, disruption of transportation also threatens freight and air travel demand. Stagflation risks are on the rise as duration of the conflict drags on, with growth sagging, and terms of trade deteriorating for oil importers. By region, other than the Middle East, Asia is most directly affected, followed by Europe via higher energy prices, and the Americas. Asian economies are vulnerable to a prolonged conflict through higher energy and food prices, transportation disruptions, reduced remittances, and tighter financial conditions. Europe faces inflation and growth risks, with impacts varying by duration: intermediate ones suggest sustained price hikes and potential rate hikes, while severe, prolonged conflict risks stagflation and economic slowdown requiring tighter monetary policy. For the US, a prolonged conflict would lead to persistent US inflation and a severe growth slowdown, prompting the Fed to implement four rate cuts. Latin America would face weaker growth, higher inflation, and FX depreciation. Geopolitical shocks are generally short-lived and create more noise than lasting trends for most asset classes. Since the war, US risk assets have outperformed, while Asian and emerging markets (EM) have lagged. If the conflict remains brief, a reversal towards European and EM is expected, with US equities to perform in line with European equities in 2026. In FX, investors sought safe havens, bidding up USD and CHF, but we expect longer-term dollar weakening, favoring EUR/USD recovery and USD/JPY. In rates, we expect widening Eurozone sovereign spreads (France, Italy) and a favored short position in German short-term bonds (Schatz). In real estate, turmoil in the Middle East may favor safe-haven Western European and Asia markets... Read on here: research.natixis.com/Site/en/public…

@RedTruckTimes DOE forecasting crude by year end. it's at right now with Hormuz shut, tankers exploding, and SPR releases doing absolutely nothing. love the optimism though

• The U.S. Department of Energy is forecasting crude oil prices will fall to $70 per barrel by year's end.

@hyperflated could change that? Brent at says it already has. next CPI print is going to be ugly when the energy shock flows through

Inflation held firm last month — but the war with Iran could change that cnn.com/2026/03/11/eco…