sovereignmind
468 posts

sovereignmind
@sovrgnmind
Working dad. 46h/week. Building what they can't inflate, tax, or take. Documenting my exit in real time.
Katılım Aralık 2025
28 Takip Edilen59 Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet

@WatcherGuru The largest asset manager on the planet doesn't 'think' rates will be cut. They need them to be.
English

@NoLimitGains Acceleration is what happens when liquidity was never real to begin with.
English


Systematic selling of US equities may be running out of steam:
Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), the algorithm-driven funds that buy and sell based on price trends, have sold -$85 billion in US equities over the last 30 trading sessions.
This marks the largest 30-day sale since the 2020 pandemic, when CTAs sold -$105 billion.
By comparison, the March-April 2025 correction saw -$80 billion in sales.
As a result, CTAs are now short -$37 billion in US equities, the 3rd-highest amount since 2019, behind the April 2025 low and November 2023.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs estimates that CTAs are set to buy in every market scenario over the next month.
The market is setting up for a relief rally.

English

@zerohedge A 10% dip in an asset priced in a currency that loses value by design. The dip isn't the risk, the denominator is.
English

A 10% Dip Is Not A Green Light To Go All In zerohedge.com/markets/10-dip…
English

@zerohedge A correction in private credit with no connection to banks. Just like subprime had no connection to the housing market.
English

*POWELL: SEEING A CORRECTION GOING ON IN PRIVATE CREDIT
zerohedge@zerohedge
*POWELL: DON'T SEE CONNECTIONS FROM PRIVATE CREDIT TO BANKS
English

@RayDalio Most people accept reality until it's their purchasing power. Then suddenly the unit of measurement can't be the problem.
English

Most people fight seeing what’s true when it’s not what they want it to be. That’s bad, because it is more important to understand and deal with the bad stuff since the good stuff will take care of itself. #principleoftheday

English

@sovrgnmind @LukeGromen Bessent’s oil price prediction was what again? Didn’t say one? Oh? Odd post then.
English

@NoLimitGains Betting on the bounce is betting on the printer. I’d rather hold the asset that doesn't rely on a midterm election to maintain its purchasing power.
English

@Schuldensuehner You can’t print energy, and you can’t stabilize a currency with a decaying power grid. Real wealth requires cheap energy and hard money.

English

#Germany’s #inflation rate jumped from 1.9% in Feb to 2.7% in March, driven by a sharp rise in energy prices linked to the war in Iran.
So far, the impact has been largely limited to energy. Core inflation – which excl energy and food – remained unch at 2.5%. Service inflation stayed unch at 3.2%.
However, if the conflict drags on and pushes up the cost or reduces the supply of energy and other raw materials, underlying inflation is likely to rise as well, as business surveys are already starting to indicate. (via CBK)

English

@BullsvsBearMan @Barchart Holding up decently. When you treat the entire fiat world as a risk asset, you tend to sleep well. What about you
English

@sovrgnmind @Barchart Any investment into the communist party of China should have been considered a risk asset
That is all
How’re you holding up Sir SovereignMind
English

@zerohedge The Mag 7 is a flight to digital safety, but metals are the reality of physical scarcity. The market is pricing in a world where neutrality is the only true hedge.
English

Premarket movers:
Mag 7 stocks are all higher: Meta +1%, Nvidia +0.6%, Microsoft +0.9%, Amazon +0.6%, Tesla +0.8%, Alphabet +0.4%, Apple +0.2%
Aluminum stocks, including Alcoa (AA), rise after a rally in the metal price following Iran’s attacks on Middle Eastern aluminum facilities. Alcoa (AA) gains 9%.
Expedia (EXPE) gains 2% and Instacart (CART) rises 1% after Jefferies upgraded both to buy, saying a pullback in internet stocks on concerns about artificial intelligence disruptions has created buying opportunities.
IQiyi ADRs (IQ) gain 12% after the Chinese streaming platform said it’s planning a listing in Hong Kong and announced a $100 million buyback program.
Spire Inc. (SR) gains 4% after agreeing to sell its gas marketing business to Boardwalk Pipelines for $215 million in cash.
Sysco (SYY) falls 4% after the US food distributor agreed to buy privately held Jetro Restaurant Depot LLC for $29.1 billion including debt.
Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN) tumbles 40% after announcing topline results from a clinical trial in active thyroid eye disease.
English

@sovrgnmind @jvisserlabs More of a life raft rather parachute, but the picture is clear.
English

The next two months will put enormous pressure on the Fed.
The oil shock will push inflation higher just as the central bank is already under the spotlight to cut rates, with a newly chosen replacement set to take the chair.
A debt trap will now be colliding with the inflationary pressure of oil and the deflationary pressure of AI.
My new piece on why this is exactly the kind of moment Bitcoin was created for:
visserlabs.substack.com/p/doge-20-debt…

English

@zerohedge Paper gold burns, physical gold is heavy, and fiat is melting. The global repricing of risk has only one logical destination: absolute scarcity.
English

The Crash In Gold Since The Start Of The War Tells Us About The Magnitude Of Global Wealth Destruction zerohedge.com/precious-metal…
English

@NoLimitGains The We're not talking script is the oldest play. means the backchannels are screaming.
English

@Schuldensuehner Germany making 2022 look like a warm up. That 1.2% MoM jump is a massive reality check for the German saver crowd. The 'safe' Euro is being eaten alive.
English

Good Morning from #Germany, where #inflation is picking up again on the back of the oil and gas shock. In North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW), the country’s most populous state, CPI rose 1.2% MoM; the biggest increase since Sep 2022. Year-on-year, NRW inflation accelerated to 2.7%.

English






