Jon SGB

9 posts

Jon SGB

Jon SGB

@spencerhgram

ohio Katılım Aralık 2024
92 Takip Edilen21 Takipçiler
Jon SGB
Jon SGB@spencerhgram·
@AlexBores Do you have a sexual harassment case?
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Alex Bores
Alex Bores@AlexBores·
TODAY is the LAST day to vote early! NY-12 Democrats, this primary is a real and rare opportunity to shape the direction of our party and our country—the outcome will impact us for generations. Don’t sit out. Vote for change today or Tuesday: alexbores.com/vote
Alex Bores tweet media
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Jon SGB
Jon SGB@spencerhgram·
@metzgov You’re an idiot if you think he voted for anyone but Nina. He wasn’t friends with either of Lasher/Bores in the assembly.
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Shakeel
Shakeel@ShakeelHashim·
@ilex_ulmus None of Anthropic’s money is being used on election spending
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Grace
Grace@gracecamille_·
2026- I’ll write in harambe before i vote for schlossberg
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Roscoe
Roscoe@fiveohtunes·
@JCColtin It’s a little silly to think Mamdani voted for anyone other than Bores, who has been endorsed by 10x more unions and every single progressive organization.
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Jeff Coltin
Jeff Coltin@JCColtin·
Mayor Mamdani skipped the Met Gala, but the press has come out to watch him vote at the Metropolitan Museum of Art.
Jeff Coltin tweet media
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Jon SGB
Jon SGB@spencerhgram·
@SemioticRivalry Alex also voted NO on: A4550 which would require the Department of Labor to study the long-term impact of AI on the state workforce. Explain that.
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semi
semi@SemioticRivalry·
Not my usual type of post, which hopefully underscores the importance. Alex Bores is one of the best congressional candidates I've seen, unusually competent and smart for a politician, especially on AI. The election is Tuesday. If you're in his Manhattan district, vote. I've looked at hundreds of elections while betting on them and this is the only time I've felt compelled to tweet out a call to action. Bores is in New York's 12th district, which runs roughly between 16th and 100th street in Manhattan, if I'm really convincing hopefully you will contact anyone you know in the district and try to convince them as well, though only registered Dems can vote here. The main theme of the race is AI. Bores wrote the strongest AI regulation bill in the country in the State Assembly. As such, he has been supported by pro AI regulation groups, and opposed by anti AI regulation groups, and this has ballooned into a near $30M spending bonanza. If you support AI regulation, that's a strong reason to support Bores. But in my view, the anti regulation groups are very wrong to oppose Bores so fiercely, and even if you're a strong supporter of AI you should probably also support Bores. As a professional predictor of politics, here are some predictions. Congress will likely produce a significant bipartisan AI bill in the next decade (~80%) AI will be one of the 3 most important issues for Congress in the next decade (~80%) AI regulations are likely to lean in a highly populist direction, eg banning datacenters, massive prohibitive taxes on AI companies (~65%) The voters are hungry to hear politicians be anti-AI, and currently all of the oxygen in the room is towards solutions that are negative both for AI safety and the AI industry. Bores would likely have an outsized voice in the Democratic side of negotiations of whatever AI bill gets through the congressional sludge, for a few reasons: 1: Bores won the first election that hinged on AI issues, in a very high profile election and district with outsized media coverage. 2: Most house dems are giant boomers who know nothing about AI and are entirely happy to hand it off to a member they feel has more knowledge, and Bores has a master's degree in computer science. So in my view, a Bores victory significantly increases the chances that whatever AI regulation comes out of congress would be constructive towards the issues with AI while lowering the risk of totally destroying the industry. And AI is likely to be a giant political issue in the near future with huge implications on almost every part of society. Several people that I trust have talked to Bores 1 on 1 and they say he is quite smart and seems unusually honest and straightforward. He was also recognized by the Center for Effective Lawmaking as the most effective new NY lawmaker. He sponsored more bills than any other freshman and did the same as a sophomore and made 30 laws in the State Assembly. Combining his competence with his instant chops on AI could be really important in a Congress that can't ever do anything. Bores and his main opponent Micah Lasher are very similar ideologically, but Lasher is both a nonfactor on AI, the most important political issue, but also the totally anointed heir to Nadler who is backed by the whole NY establishment, while Bores is just a really effective new legislator. It would be good if more really effective legislators won over establishment heirs. If you live in this district and vote, or contact your friends in this district, you have a very serious possibility of affecting the outcome. This is a house primary with tiny turnout and many candidates, my estimate is that the winner will likely be decided by only a few thousand votes, and could plausibly be decided by hundreds of votes. This race is a massive outlier in that swinging very few votes can potentially have a huge impact on the world. Thanks for reading, and let me know if you have any questions!
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Eli Miller
Eli Miller@ghostrunnerblog·
I asked @MicahLasher a follow up on his stance on the proposed RAD-PACT redevelopment at NYCHA’s Fulton Elliot Chelsea houses. This is one of the few issues where there is a genuine policy disagreement between Lasher and Bores
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