Sl1der

283 posts

Sl1der banner
Sl1der

Sl1der

@ssl1der

Only invest what you can’t afford to lose Software developer #Bitcoin

London, Ontario Katılım Şubat 2017
452 Takip Edilen320 Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Sl1der
Sl1der@ssl1der·
Have you tried Shakepay? Sign up with my link and we'll each get $20 to buy crypto: shakepay.me/r/4PV3L4C
English
0
0
3
382
Hermes Lux
Hermes Lux@HermesLux·
I'm meticulous about tracking my spending via @msexcel. I've been tracking every transaction since Aug 2016, not because I'm like Rain Man (I'm not), but because it happens to be a hobby I weirdly enjoy as a result of my interest in personal finance. I do it more so to observe my spending changes/habits over time. In my opinion, everyone should track their spending regularly just as you would watch you weight and track your health regularly. Still, it pains me to watch certain expenses go up as much as they do, like "Food & Drink", which used to be significantly less. Inflation sure, but I also have a growing family. I track my trades and investments, including fees, with the same rigor. Below is my personal spending for the first four months of 2026 for my family: wife, 3 kids (2 girls, 1 boy; 13/15/17), my dog, and me; +3 cars. This doesn't include my investments, which I keep separate from "Expenses". #PivotTables
Hermes Lux tweet media
English
35
0
68
6.8K
Sl1der
Sl1der@ssl1der·
@sunny051488 @RuddArjen @elsandro What do you think these OG/Whales want to do with this ~ 300 billion USD over the next 5 years? That's a lot of lambos.
English
1
0
0
12
Sunny Po
Sunny Po@sunny051488·
@RuddArjen @elsandro It’s an ongoing slow rotation. I think it takes the next 5 years for this rotation. By the time we get back to 120k I think 3M coins would’ve redistributed into strategy and the ETFs.
English
1
0
4
52
Hermes Lux
Hermes Lux@HermesLux·
and this is how we would handle a theoretical liquidation event: x.com/HermesLux/stat…
Hermes Lux@HermesLux

The MSTR 10Δ Liquidation Contingency Plan This post serves two purposes: 1. To educate those eager to learn about covered call strategies. 2. To address concerns from skeptics who misunderstand the effectiveness of this approach. Many critics lack the experience to see solutions when a long position, like their MSTR stock, is called away. To them, this is catastrophic, as if their investment is lost forever. They often dismiss all covered call strategies as nearly identical, which is far from true. Without the requisite experience, this strategy may feel daunting. Critics tend to focus on the liquidation phase, struggling to see what comes next. In contrast, I view liquidation as an opportunity because I have a clear plan. Let’s explore a hypothetical scenario: Suppose $MSTR has experienced such a massive run-up that somehow my weekly rolling, targeting 40 DTEs, for a credit is no longer viable. For sake of discussion, we will skip past just how statistically improbable this actually is. How would I handle having my shares called away? Consider this: If this happens, that means my portfolio has recently experienced a massive run up; MSTR IV is spiking enormously like it did between Nov-Dec 2024. I would be very pleased with my recent wealth accumulation, and I would take my wife out on a very special date to celebrate. If my account converts to cash post-liquidation, new opportunities arise. After a brief pause over the weekend, I’d reenter the market the next trading day by executing a buy-write trade, simultaneously buying shares and selling covered calls in a single transaction. Unlike my usual approach, I’d sell higher-delta calls in this buy-write. Why? Parabolic price surges rarely persist. By selling a higher-delta call, I lower my cost basis from the outset. The probability of another month-long parabolic move would be even less likely than before, so I’d select a 40 DTE call at a delta that brings my new cost basis below the strike price at which I was previously assigned. Over the following weeks, I’d resume capturing theta decay (time value erosion) just as before. Historically, MSTR often stabilizes after such spikes, as seen from December 2024 to March 2025. Rapid price surges tend to cool off for all tickers, creating ideal conditions for this strategy. Understanding the bigger picture makes weekly adjustments straightforward. Don’t let skeptics deter you; experience and a solid plan make all the difference, and the math is on your side. Godspeed.

English
1
0
6
1.4K
Hermes Lux
Hermes Lux@HermesLux·
The Math Behind the MSTR 10-Delta Strategy The strategy—starting by selling 40 DTE MSTR 10 delta covered calls and rolling out weekly, for a credit, to maintain ~40 days to expiration—is a strategy based on mathematical probabilities. For sake of argument, based on MSTR's typical 80-100% IV, a 10-delta trade is roughly a 1.4-1.5 sigma move on MSTR. This means that if you hold and never roll, there is a <6% probability that the short call will expire ITM and that you would be forced to sell your shares. But since the strategy involves rolling each week, and up when the stock is moving up, the reality is that being assigned (losing your shares) is much less than 6% from the point of the cycle's initiation—the first week you sold the first 10 delta. As a matter of principle, you should either be a long term investor in a company/ticker you believe in, and/or, if you want to be a trader, you should trade based on mathematical probabilities. If you're not trading based on probabilities, you're probably just feeling and guessing. Feeling and guessing does not have a strong track record of success. The diagram below is normal distribution. Stock returns don't follow a perfect normal distribution in reality — they exhibit fat tails, skewness, and jumps. However, the Black-Scholes model still assumes log-normal stock prices (i.e., normally distributed log returns) to calculate theoretical option prices for both calls and puts, whether you're long or short. If you want to invest, invest. If you want to trade for income, use math and trade based on probabilities of success. I am putting a @github link to my strategy below if you haven't reviewed it or need a refresher.
Hermes Lux tweet media
English
10
4
76
8.2K
Shakepay — Buy Bitcoin 🇨🇦
@benogl @aiouy We’re currently rolling out bitcoin-backed loans gradually, so you may not see this feature just yet. Once it’s enabled, you’ll see it on your home screen. If you'd like, share your shaketag and we’ll pass along your interest to the team, no promises on early access though 👀
English
2
0
0
42
Jean Amiouny
Jean Amiouny@aiouy·
To my new followers, we're building a bitcoin financial system @shakepay so you get ✅ bitcoin fast ✅ bitcoin on lightning ✅ bitcoin in your squad ✅ bitcoin when you shake ✅ bitcoin withdrawals free ✅ bitcoin cashback (up to 1.5%) ✅ bitcoin on your cash (up to 3.5%) ✅ bitcoin w no fee, no spread on recurring buys and now ✅ bitcoin backed loans
English
28
14
186
13.8K
Sl1der
Sl1der@ssl1der·
@JM_speakss New problems can arise, problems and solving them make life interesting. To speculate what you may mean here as in like life becomes stress free in this deal. Stress free living is likely worth it.
English
0
0
0
31
The Journey Man
The Journey Man@JM_speakss·
Here’s a wild thought experiment… Bitcoin hits $150K. You’re forced to sell. Life happens.
Family happens.
Pressure happens. And the second you sell… Every single one of your problems disappears. 
Life reset. But there’s one catch: The moment you sell, you completely forget Bitcoin ever existed. Would you take the deal?
English
30
2
29
11.3K
Sl1der retweetledi
Documenting Saylor
Documenting Saylor@saylordocs·
Financial advisor: “A 5% Bitcoin allocation is reasonable.” Michael Saylor: “Of the network?”
English
42
228
3.7K
115.8K
Sl1der
Sl1der@ssl1der·
So $GME making like 5-7% maybe on its $9 billion? Let's turn it up to 11.5% $STRC
English
0
0
2
504
Sl1der
Sl1der@ssl1der·
@vol_farmer Yea but aren't you saying you bought 74 shares here for 2287? Where'd that cash come from? Certainly not 35-45 dte at like .20 delta
English
1
0
0
17
Volatility Farmer
Volatility Farmer@vol_farmer·
Biggest buy yet. Bought $74.5189 shares of $SCHD today. Increased my annual income by $78.24!
Volatility Farmer tweet media
English
3
0
13
715
Shakepay — Buy Bitcoin 🇨🇦
Hidden stacking stat unlocked 🔓 How long has your recurring buy been running? If you’ve had one for a while, we want to see it. Drop your shaketag and we’ll check your streak and the change in value over time 📱
English
49
0
38
4K
Sl1der
Sl1der@ssl1der·
@vol_farmer I use Questrade. $0 trades and $1 options contracts.
English
0
0
0
19
Volatility Farmer
Volatility Farmer@vol_farmer·
Only 100 $MSTR Portfolio just crossed $16,000, First time in over 1 month!
Volatility Farmer tweet media
English
6
0
37
1.5K
Sl1der
Sl1der@ssl1der·
@vol_farmer I hear ya, last few months is pretty rough. My $MSTE position is embarrassing.
English
1
0
2
78
Volatility Farmer
Volatility Farmer@vol_farmer·
@ssl1der Not ideal but It might come to that. Considering I’m down -45% on $MSTR I have to defend the shares till I’m back in profit
English
1
0
0
89
Volatility Farmer
Volatility Farmer@vol_farmer·
Do you think it is possible I’ll be able to build out my retirement account in 30 year to level I can live off of using only 100 of $MSTR?
English
5
0
6
2.3K
Sl1der
Sl1der@ssl1der·
@vol_farmer Appreciate the response. Rolling out a ways would slow down the accumulation of the divi stocks. Was curious if you'd sell any positions to keep the 100 be it buy back call or let it assign and top the shares back up higher than strike.
English
1
0
1
55
Volatility Farmer
Volatility Farmer@vol_farmer·
@ssl1der Going to do my best to defend the shares. May have to roll my covered call very far. We will see what happens. If they do get called away at that point it would be a profit and I’ll look to sell CSP to regain entry.
English
1
0
1
165
Sl1der retweetledi
Michael Saylor
Michael Saylor@saylor·
Stretch Dividend Rate increased by 25 bps to 11.50% for March 2026. $STRC
Michael Saylor tweet media
English
576
978
8.6K
950.7K